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406 Rutger St 8-Plex
B+ Composite 79.4
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$649,000

406 Rutger St · Utica, NY 13501
48 bd · None ba · 6,908 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 46 Days on market
Built 1960 $94/sqft · 81% above area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 8 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity! Own this gorgeous 8-unit brick apartment building located in the heart of East Utica. This well-maintained property offers a large parking area and is conveniently situated close to downtown, shopping, restaurants, hospitals, schools, and other local amenities. The building is fully rented and features a diverse unit mix, including: One 3-bedroom apartment One 2-bedroom apartment Four 1-bedroom apartments Two studio apartments This income-producing property offers strong rental demand and an excellent opportunity for investors seeking a fully occupied multi-family asset in a desirable location. Can be purchased individually or as a package with (1000 Park Ave, U

Key facts

  • 3 parking spots
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 45 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 8 × 6-bed/?-bath units multifamily listed at $649k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $8k ($92k/yr) — positive. Per door: $954/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($15k rent vs $649k).
  • Recommended offer: $630k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.4% vs local median 7.7% in Utica — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#104 in NY, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Utica City School District (urban): math 33% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #562 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 143 active listings in the ZIP; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $14,553/mo this rent would consume 332% of the median local household income ($53k/yr) (locally 2251% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $69k of equity ($4k loan paydown + $65k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $182k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$112k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($630k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $629,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.24%
Cap rate
20.41%
Cash-on-cash
50.42%
DSCR
3.24
GRM
3.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$267,553
List price
$649,000
Delta
142.57%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
63.9%
Equity multiple
5.62×
Total profit
$839,589
Equity at exit
$584,671
10-year hold
IRR
57.5%
Equity multiple
12.50×
Total profit
$2,089,711
Equity at exit
$1,260,864

Cash invested: $181,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13501

Home prices YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
143
Price-to-rent
29.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$14,553 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,403
Tax from tax record
$188 /mo · $2,254/yr
Insurance
$270
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$3,056
Net cashflow
$7,635

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,888
Max offer price $649,000
Occupancy floor 43%

8-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (8 units) $14,553

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$162,250
Closing costs
$19,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $649,000 Active 46 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $649,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $649,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $649,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $649,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $649,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $649,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $649,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $649,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $649,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $649,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    remarks 699-char remark
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $649,000 Active 30 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $649,000 Active 29 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $649,000 Active 28 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $649,000 Active 27 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $649,000 Active 26 DOM
  18. 2026-05-04
    listed $649,000 Active
  19. 2023-07-18
    soldstatus $2,810,000
  20. 2012-03-15
    historical
  21. 2010-09-29
    listed $51,900
  22. 2009-08-24
    soldstatus $50,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,254 · $188/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,611 · $551/mo
Expected delta
+$4,357/yr (+$363/mo · 193.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$174,636
− Mortgage interest
−$36,354
− Property taxes
−$2,254
− Insurance
−$3,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$13,971
− Management
−$13,971
− Depreciation
−$18,880
Taxable income
$85,961
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$20,631
After-tax cash flow
$70,992/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Utica City School District
NCES district ID
3629370
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$31,834
Composite
29.01/100
National rank
#6613
State rank
#562 of 590 in NY

Livability — Utica

Score
80/100
State rank
#104
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Utica, NY
County
Oneida County · 89,710 people
City population
72,968
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
Population (ZIP)
38,931
Household income
$52,548
Rent vs Own
49.2% rent · 50.8% own
Severe rent burden
2251.0

Population outlook (Oneida County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
225,223 people
By 2030
220,384 · -2.1%
By 2040
209,071 · -7.2%
By 2050
197,920 · -12.1%
By 2075
175,541 · -22.1%
By 2100
148,491 · -34.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Two or more races 15% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 14% Asian 14%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 8% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
American 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
25% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
Languages at home
62% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 11% Russian/Polish/Slavic 10% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Oneida

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.3) · D 39.4% · R 60.6%
2008→2024 swing
-15.2pp toward R · 2008: -6.1pp · 2024: -21.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.3 2020: R+15.5 2016: R+21.1 2012: R+5.3 2008: R+6.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 20.28%
Current HPI
382.3726
Rent YoY
Metro
Utica-Rome, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1198.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $649,000 CNYIS
  • 2023-07-18 Sold (Public Records) $2,810,000 Public Records
  • 2012-03-15 Listing Removed CNYIS
  • 2010-09-29 Listed $51,900 CNYIS
  • 2009-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,254 · +5.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…