7119 Gibraltar Ave · New Port Richey East, FL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$33,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Manufacture home in Beautiful mobile park including pool and activities Newer roof , AC, water heater All Laminate floors Partial furnished New paint in and out Near beaches and 1 hour to Disney Price dropped
Key facts
- Ac
- Laminate floors
- Newer roof
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Single-family house; Living area approximately 1000 (units not specified)
- Exterior features: Lot approximately 63.58 (units not specified)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $33k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $995 ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $33k).
- Cap rate 42.5% vs local median 4.3% in New Port Richey East — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#499 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.9%/yr); 305 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $228 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $990 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.69% ✓
- Cap rate
- 42.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 129.18%
- DSCR
- 6.75
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $222,000
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6221 Wilds Dr | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,024 (+2%) | 2mo | $175,000 | $171 | 75 |
| 7109 Kapp Ct | 0.35mi | 2/2.0 | 1,066 (+7%) | 10mo | $200,000 | $188 | 64 |
| 7325 Calder Dr | 0.36mi | 2/2.0 | 1,074 (+7%) | 11mo | $327,000 | $304 | 62 |
| 6635 Crossbow Ln | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,082 (+8%) | 2mo | $232,000 | $214 | 58 |
| 7427 Banner St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 1,024 (+2%) | 10mo | $240,000 | $234 | 56 |
| 6602 Crossbow Ln | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,082 (+8%) | 9mo | $240,000 | $222 | 55 |
| 6926 Echo Lake Dr | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,068 (+7%) | 11mo | $225,000 | $211 | 55 |
| 6144 Elmhurst Dr | 0.47mi | 2/2.0 | 1,124 (+12%) | 10mo | $182,900 | $163 | 49 |
| 7532 Banner St | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 1,072 (+7%) | 7mo | $284,500 | $265 | 48 |
| 6406 Congress St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 910 (-9%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $159 | 39 |
| 6800 William Tell Dr | 0.67mi | 2/2.0 | 1,126 (+13%) | 11mo | $257,500 | $229 | 38 |
| 7545 Banner St | 0.66mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,085 (+8%) | 11mo | $287,000 | $265 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.79×
- Total profit
- $53,491
- Equity at exit
- $4,920
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.98×
- Total profit
- $110,720
- Equity at exit
- $2,853
Cash invested: $9,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34653
- Home prices YoY
- -18.4%
- Rents YoY
- -2.9%
- Active inventory
- 305
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,548 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$173
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$41 /mo · $495/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$325
- Net cashflow
- $995
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,250
- Closing costs
- $990
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6635 Crossbow Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $1,695 | $1.57 | 18d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 5822 Congress St #104 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 5816 Congress St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 920 | $1,400 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 6430 Polk St New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 22d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 6721 Congress St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,250 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 6332 Pennsylvania Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,250 | $1.30 | 20d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6332 Pennsylvania Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $1,250 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 6447 Eric Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 7039 Lenox Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,795 | $1.38 | 12d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6322 Alaska Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 6405 Eric Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,400 | $1.24 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 6548 Batea Ter New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1120 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 7140 Bellaire Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,350 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7138 Bellaire Ter New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 776 | $1,350 | $1.74 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7320 Broadmoor Dr New Port Richey, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $1,715 | $2.24 | 2d | 59 | 1.06mi |
| 6029 Wyoming Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 792 | $1,850 | $2.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 7704 Riverdale Dr New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1320 | $1,916 | $1.45 | 5d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd Unit PGC C-5432-105 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 895 | $1,360 | $1.52 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd Unit PBMP M-5826 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,380 | $1.73 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd Unit PGC C-5432-209 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,300 | $1.18 | 18d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd Unit PCG G-203 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 770 | $1,275 | $1.66 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd Unit PCG G-101 New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,375 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd Unit PBMP M-5836 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,475 | $1.76 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 6807 Porter Rd New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,475 | $1.76 | 2d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5847 Nebraska Ave New Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,350 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5101 Glenhurst Ln New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1419 | $2,310 | $1.63 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5165 Greenwood St New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,400 | $1.73 | 5d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 5805 Delaware Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 5159 Idlewild St New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,650 | $1.22 | 2d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5551 Executive Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,459 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7212 Carlton Arms Dr New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 877 | $1,609 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 5640 Ferguson Ct #2101 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,650 | $1.56 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5543 Executive Dr Unit B4 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,459 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5521 Executive Dr Unit D1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,379 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 5741 Tennessee Ave New Port Richey, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,200 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5511 Executive Dr Apt E1 New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,459 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 5809 Dailey Ln New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,000 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 5037 School Rd New Port Richey, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1337 | $2,450 | $1.83 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 6332 Grand Blvd Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 894 | $1,950 | $2.18 | 5d | 2 | 1.38mi |
| 5800 Virginia Ave New Port Richey, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,550 | $1.72 | 12d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $33,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $33,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $33,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $33,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 211-char remark
-
2026-06-13$33,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,573
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,849
- − Property taxes
- −$495
- − Insurance
- −$165
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,486
- − Management
- −$1,486
- − Depreciation
- −$960
- Taxable income
- $12,133
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,912
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,024/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — New Port Richey East
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #499
- US rank
- #9203
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Port Richey East, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- City population
- 36,086
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,945
- Household income
- $49,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1439.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.10%
- Current HPI
- 324.6519
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.92%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Listed $33,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…