CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
181 Joe Wheeler Brown Rd
B- Composite 68.45
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$54,900

181 Joe Wheeler Brown Rd · Fulton, MS 38843
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,125 sqft · Other public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1951 1.00 ac lot ↓ 15% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

''Wow'' Adorable Home near College and Waterway. We do not warrant square footage, or acreage. All information is believed correct, but subject to verification.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1951
  • Listed 2 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property listed by Property Specialists Realty LLC

Exterior

  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
  • Exterior features: Approximately 1.6-acre lot; Lot dimensions about 150 x 464; Located about 1/4 mile before Midway Marina on Joe Wheeler Brown Rd

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Contains bedrooms (number not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Interior features: 6 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $373 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($922 rent vs $55k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#133 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: schools D, employment D, amenities F.
  • Itawamba County School District (rural): math 35% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #58 of 130 in MS (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 114 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Itawamba County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Itawamba County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $54,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.46%
Cash-on-cash
29.15%
DSCR
2.30
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.6%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$14,888
Equity at exit
$8,186
10-year hold
IRR
31.5%
Equity multiple
3.84×
Total profit
$43,589
Equity at exit
$4,747

Cash invested: $15,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38843

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Active inventory
114
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$922 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $534/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$194
Net cashflow
$373

Break-even live

Break-even rent $450
Max offer price $54,900
Occupancy floor 55%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $405 -5% $389 +0% $373 +5% $358 +10% $342
Rent -10% $301 -5% $337 +0% $373 +5% $410 +10% $446
Rate -1.0pp $401 -0.5pp $387 base $373 +0.5pp $359 +1.0pp $345

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,725
Closing costs
$1,647
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $54,900 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $54,900 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    remarks 402-char remark
  4. 2026-06-17
    listed $54,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$534 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$534 · $44/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,069
− Mortgage interest
−$3,075
− Property taxes
−$534
− Insurance
−$274
− Repairs & maintenance
−$886
− Management
−$886
− Depreciation
−$1,597
Taxable income
$3,817
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$916
After-tax cash flow
$3,565/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Itawamba County School District
NCES district ID
2802100
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$37,158
Composite
27.48/100
National rank
#6956
State rank
#58 of 130 in MS

Livability — Fulton

Score
64/100
State rank
#133
US rank
#14332

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
12,275

Population outlook (Itawamba County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,011 people
By 2030
23,999 · +-0.0%
By 2040
23,738 · -1.1%
By 2050
22,962 · -4.4%
By 2075
20,240 · -15.7%
By 2100
16,503 · -31.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Black 13% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Itawamba

2024 margin
Solid R (+80.0) · D 9.7% · R 89.7%
2008→2024 swing
-23.9pp toward R · 2008: -56.1pp · 2024: -80.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+80.0 2020: R+75.6 2016: R+75.6 2012: R+61.0 2008: R+56.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -58.26%
Current HPI
124.4402
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-15.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-16 Listed $54,900 NEMSBD
  • 2015-01-23 Sold (MLS) NEMSBD
  • 2014-06-25 Listed $64,900 NEMSBD

Property tax history

-3.8%/yr

Latest (2023): $534 · +6.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…