3 Redding Cir · Middletown, DE
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $476 – $884
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
Key facts
- 6,969 sq ft lot
- 3 parking spots
- Built 1960
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $546 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $280k).
- Recommended offer: $276k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.0% in Middletown — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#17 in DE) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: cost of living C-, commute F.
- Appoquinimink School District (rural): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #6 of 26 in DE (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Appoquinimink High School (math 40% / reading 67%, grade C-, #4 of 40 statewide, top 8%, 1,484 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 18% district-wide (18 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 451 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,367 units permitted in New Castle County in 2024 (201 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- New Castle County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $195k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.36%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $388,125
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Redding Cir | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,725 (0%) | 0mo | $315,000 | $183 | 100 |
| 533 Janvier Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,775 (+3%) | 5mo | $384,900 | $217 | 74 |
| 102 E Redding St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (+7%) | 2mo | $417,000 | $225 | 67 |
| 125 E Lake St | 0.16mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,675 (-3%) | 20mo | $120,000 | $72 | 62 |
| 201 Fields Ter | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,925 (+12%) | 19mo | $245,000 | $127 | 62 |
| 520 Janvier Dr | 0.25mi | 3/2.5 | 1,600 (-7%) | 12mo | $416,000 | $260 | 60 |
| 107 E Hoffecker St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+4%) | 7mo | $430,000 | $239 | 59 |
| 314 Jefferson St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,550 (-10%) | 19mo | $350,000 | $226 | 51 |
| 505-A New St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (-7%) | 24mo | $350,000 | $219 | 46 |
| 703 S Broad St | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 | 1,550 (-10%) | 19mo | $333,000 | $215 | 38 |
| 320 Marldale Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,900 (+10%) | 7mo | $445,000 | $234 | 37 |
| 13 Brady Cir | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,950 (+13%) | 6mo | $490,000 | $251 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-16,058
- Equity at exit
- $41,749
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $9,154
- Equity at exit
- $24,209
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 70 Landlord-Friendly
- State Delaware
- 70 Landlord-Friendly · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 19709
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 451
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,821 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$97 /mo · $1,168/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$592
- Net cashflow
- $546
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $705 | -5% $626 | +0% $546 | +5% $467 | +10% $388 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $324 | -5% $435 | +0% $546 | +5% $658 | +10% $769 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $687 | -0.5pp $618 | base $546 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $400 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 323 E Cochran St Middletown, DE | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2200 | $3,150 | $1.43 | 3d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 407 Champs Ln Middletown, DE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 274 Vincent Cir Middletown, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1670 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 5d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 132 Rosie Dr Middletown, DE | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1450 | $1,990 | $1.37 | 21d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 138 Rosie Dr Middletown, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1510 | $2,150 | $1.42 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 404 Naughty Ln Unit 404 Middletown, DE | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 511 Sally Ln Unit 511 Middletown, DE | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1835 | $2,450 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1600 Lake Seymour Dr Middletown, DE | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1267 | $2,495 | $1.97 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 447 Toftrees Dr Middletown, DE | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,550 | $1.34 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-03-19$280,000 Active
-
2026-03-18historical $280,000
-
2019-06-18soldstatus $195,000
-
2019-06-14soldstatus $195,000 Closed 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
-
2019-05-11status Pending 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
-
2019-05-02price $199,900 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
-
2019-04-10status Active 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
-
2019-04-09$209,900 Active 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
-
2019-04-09historical 180-char remark
Show marketing remark (180 chars)
Come see this newly remodeled home. Equipped with stainless steel appliances, and a massive finished basement, you will be sure to love this home. Listing Agent is also the seller.
-
1993-01-28soldstatus $69,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast DE · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,168 · $97/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,396 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$228/yr (+$19/mo · 19.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $33,854
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$1,168
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,708
- − Management
- −$2,708
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable income
- $2,040
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$490
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,067/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Appoquinimink School District
- NCES district ID
- 1000080
- Math proficiency
- 37% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $93,397
- Composite
- 42.32/100
- National rank
- #3256
- State rank
- #6 of 26 in DE
Livability — Middletown
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #6446
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Middletown, DE
- County
- New Castle County · 483,412 people
- City population
- 53,234
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,234
- Household income
- $132,956
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 268.0
Population outlook (New Castle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 594,686 people
- By 2030
- 609,164 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 632,154 · +6.3%
- By 2050
- 649,068 · +9.1%
- By 2075
- 687,771 · +15.7%
- By 2100
- 694,961 · +16.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 23% Asian 7% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Other Indo-European 4% Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · New Castle
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+32.6) · D 65.5% · R 32.9% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: 40.6pp · 2024: 32.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+32.6 2020: D+37.1 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+34.1 2008: D+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -86.40%
- Current HPI
- 317.1386
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.07%
- Metro
- Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+302.9% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-03-18 Coming Soon $280,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $195,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-14 Sold (MLS) $195,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-11 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-05-02 Price Changed $199,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-10 Relisted — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-09 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2019-04-09 Listed $209,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 1993-01-28 Sold (Public Records) $69,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,168 · +19.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…