639 Liberty St · Painesville, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 639 Liberty St in Painesville, a charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home full of space, character, and opportunity! This well-maintained home offers a spacious kitchen, inviting living room, formal dining room, and a dedicated office space, perfect for working from home or added flexibility. With solid bones and classic charm, this home is move-in ready while offering the perfect opportunity for a buyer to add personal cosmetic updates and make it their own. The spacious layout provides comfortable everyday living with room to grow. All appliances stay, including newer appliances that add value and convenience from day one. Whether you're a first-time buyer, looking for extra space, or s
Key facts
- Formal dining room
- Spacious kitchen
- Newer appliances
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Common grounds/area; Sidewalks
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage; Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Above-grade finished area approximately 1,342
- Construction: Built with vinyl siding; Block foundation; Asphalt roof; Updated/remodeled
- Exterior features: Front porch; Back yard; Flat, level lot; Front yard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms on second floor; Carpeted bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet in most living areas and bedrooms; Laminate flooring in kitchen and one bathroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Gas heating
- Interior features: Skylights; Eat-in kitchen; High ceilings; Laminate counters; Pantry; Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $246 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 2.9% in Painesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#360 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Painesville City Local (suburban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #577 of 656 in OH (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 76% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 267 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.53%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,079
- List price
- $139,900
- Delta
- -18.22%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 639 Liberty St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,342 (0%) | 0mo | $153,000 | $114 | 100 |
| 48 Lusard St | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,352 (+1%) | 8mo | $147,000 | $109 | 71 |
| 515 Monroe Blvd | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,402 (+4%) | 7mo | $255,000 | $182 | 62 |
| 219 Meriden Rd | 0.28mi | 3/1.5 | 1,209 (-10%) | 9mo | $225,000 | $186 | 61 |
| 144 Charlotte St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,480 (+10%) | 8mo | $195,000 | $132 | 59 |
| 524 S State St | 0.46mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,240 (-8%) | 1mo | $116,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 167 Wood St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,404 (+5%) | 9mo | $166,000 | $118 | 55 |
| 212 Cedarbrook Dr | 0.29mi | 3/2.5 | 1,506 (+12%) | 9mo | $295,000 | $196 | 53 |
| 200 Tiber Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (+10%) | 10mo | $202,000 | $136 | 50 |
| 210 Charlotte St | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,140 (-15%) | 6mo | $151,500 | $133 | 49 |
| 58 W South St | 0.62mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,437 (+7%) | 10mo | $100,000 | $70 | 44 |
| 287 Liberty St | 0.52mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,516 (+13%) | 8mo | $167,500 | $110 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.68% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-6,034
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.48×
- Total profit
- $18,975
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44077
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 267
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,447 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,267/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $246
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 Pearl St Painesville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,250 | $1.32 | 43d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 763 Mentor Ave Painesville, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1472 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 3d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 762 Mentor Ave Unit 31 Painesville, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1160 | $1,400 | $1.21 | 1d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 244 E Prospect St Painesville, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,195 | $1.20 | 1d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 425 Station 44 Pl Painesville, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1198 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 16d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 189 E Prospect St Painesville, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1240 | $1,600 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 1.28mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-10status $139,900 Pending 39 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,900 Contingent 39 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,900 Contingent 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,900 Contingent 37 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,900 Contingent 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,900 Contingent 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,900 Contingent 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,900 Contingent 30 DOM
-
2026-05-05historical Contingent 1076-char remark
-
2026-05-01$139,900 Active 1076-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,267 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,725 · $144/mo
- Expected delta
- +$458/yr (+$38/mo · 36.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,267
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,389
- − Management
- −$1,389
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $716
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$172
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,779/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Painesville City Local
- NCES district ID
- 3910015
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,381
- Composite
- 26.03/100
- National rank
- #7309
- State rank
- #577 of 656 in OH
Livability — Painesville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #360
- US rank
- #5785
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Painesville, OH
- County
- Lake County · 204,927 people
- City population
- 57,325
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 57,325
- Household income
- $85,056
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1333.0
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,022 people
- By 2030
- 228,151 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 221,018 · -3.9%
- By 2050
- 212,754 · -7.5%
- By 2075
- 200,309 · -12.9%
- By 2100
- 183,315 · -20.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.3) · D 42.4% · R 56.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.2pp toward R · 2008: 0.8pp · 2024: -14.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.3 2020: R+13.6 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.7 2008: D+0.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -183.05%
- Current HPI
- 181.2976
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.68%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
+9.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Sold (MLS) $153,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-06-09 Pending — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-05 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-05-01 Listed $139,900 MLSNOW
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,267 · -31.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…