23 Prather Ave · Jamestown, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this spacious 4 bedroom, 1 and a half bathroom house in a quiet neighborhood close to downtown. Well maintained home with all natural, original woodwork. 4 large bedrooms upstairs with another room on the first floor that is being used as a bedroom. Cozy breakfast nook area. Partially fenced in back yard and charming front porch. This house has a large attic and basement with plenty of storage. Shared driveway with a 1 car garage. New hot water tank.
Key facts
- Lots of storage
- Large basement
- High-end fixtures
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.3% vs local median 16.6% in Jamestown — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#470 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities D, crime F.
- Jamestown City School District (town): math 33% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #553 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 313 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 127 units permitted in Chautauqua County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chautauqua County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $72k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.9% of price; built in 1907 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1907 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.03%
- DSCR
- 1.80
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $112,914
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114 Kidder St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,071 (-6%) | 7mo | $80,000 | $39 | 63 |
| 214 Palmer St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 | 2,328 (+5%) | 4mo | $160,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 119 Palmer St | 0.50mi | 4/2.0 | 2,106 (-5%) | 6mo | $129,900 | $62 | 61 |
| 265 Prospect St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,203 (-0%) | 12mo | $31,000 | $14 | 56 |
| 141 Hazeltine Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 2,096 (-5%) | 10mo | $139,900 | $67 | 49 |
| 610 Prendergast Ave | 0.68mi | 4/1.5 | 2,102 (-5%) | 15mo | $4,000 | $2 | 48 |
| 334 S Main St | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,941 (-12%) | 8mo | $98,400 | $51 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $9,609
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $39,731
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14701
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 313
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,395 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,577/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $378
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 148 Maple St Jamestown, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1424 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-06status Pending
-
2026-03-06$89,900 Active
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $72,000 Closed Sale or Rented 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Check out this spacious 4 bedroom, 1 and a half bathroom house in a quiet neighborhood close to downtown. Well maintained home with all natural, original woodwork. 4 large bedrooms upstairs with another room on the first floor that is being used as a bedroom. Cozy breakfast nook area. Partially fenced in back yard and charming front porch. This house has a large attic and basement with plenty of storage. Shared driveway with a 1 car garage. New hot water tank.
-
2021-10-01soldstatus $72,000
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Check out this spacious 4 bedroom, 1 and a half bathroom house in a quiet neighborhood close to downtown. Well maintained home with all natural, original woodwork. 4 large bedrooms upstairs with another room on the first floor that is being used as a bedroom. Cozy breakfast nook area. Partially fenced in back yard and charming front porch. This house has a large attic and basement with plenty of storage. Shared driveway with a 1 car garage. New hot water tank.
-
2021-09-17status Pending Sale 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Check out this spacious 4 bedroom, 1 and a half bathroom house in a quiet neighborhood close to downtown. Well maintained home with all natural, original woodwork. 4 large bedrooms upstairs with another room on the first floor that is being used as a bedroom. Cozy breakfast nook area. Partially fenced in back yard and charming front porch. This house has a large attic and basement with plenty of storage. Shared driveway with a 1 car garage. New hot water tank.
-
2021-09-01status Under Contract- Do Not Show 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Check out this spacious 4 bedroom, 1 and a half bathroom house in a quiet neighborhood close to downtown. Well maintained home with all natural, original woodwork. 4 large bedrooms upstairs with another room on the first floor that is being used as a bedroom. Cozy breakfast nook area. Partially fenced in back yard and charming front porch. This house has a large attic and basement with plenty of storage. Shared driveway with a 1 car garage. New hot water tank.
-
2021-08-17$74,900 Active 464-char remark
Show marketing remark (464 chars)
Check out this spacious 4 bedroom, 1 and a half bathroom house in a quiet neighborhood close to downtown. Well maintained home with all natural, original woodwork. 4 large bedrooms upstairs with another room on the first floor that is being used as a bedroom. Cozy breakfast nook area. Partially fenced in back yard and charming front porch. This house has a large attic and basement with plenty of storage. Shared driveway with a 1 car garage. New hot water tank.
-
2017-09-07soldstatus $52,000
-
2015-03-13$59,500
-
2005-07-07soldstatus $46,900
-
2005-07-01soldstatus $49,900
-
2005-04-12$49,900
-
2004-07-05$54,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,577 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,577 · $215/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,738
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$2,577
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,339
- − Management
- −$1,339
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $3,382
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$812
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,728/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jamestown City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3615630
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,240
- Composite
- 30.69/100
- National rank
- #6176
- State rank
- #553 of 590 in NY
Livability — Jamestown
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #8213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jamestown, NY
- County
- Chautauqua County · 38,461 people
- City population
- 38,461
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,461
- Household income
- $49,685
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1838.0
Population outlook (Chautauqua County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 123,454 people
- By 2030
- 118,509 · -4.0%
- By 2040
- 107,311 · -13.1%
- By 2050
- 96,703 · -21.7%
- By 2075
- 76,757 · -37.8%
- By 2100
- 60,984 · -50.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Chautauqua
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.0) · D 39.0% · R 61.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.9pp toward R · 2008: 0.9pp · 2024: -22.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.0 2020: R+19.8 2016: R+24.6 2012: R+8.2 2008: D+0.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.93%
- Current HPI
- 259.402
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Jamestown-Dunkirk-Fredonia, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+66.5% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-03-06 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2021-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-01 Sold (MLS) $72,000 UNYREIS
- 2021-09-17 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-09-01 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2021-08-17 Listed $74,900 UNYREIS
- 2017-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $52,000 Public Records
- 2015-03-13 Listed $59,500 UNYREIS
- 2005-07-07 Sold (MLS) $46,900 UNYREIS
- 2005-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
- 2005-04-12 Listed $49,900 UNYREIS
- 2004-07-05 Listed $54,000 UNYREIS
Property tax history
-2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,577 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…