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3231 Vineyard Ave., #70 #70
A- Composite 81.43
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +14.3/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Schools +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$265,000

3231 Vineyard Ave., #70 #70 · Pleasanton, CA 94566
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,536 sqft · Manufactured · 21 Days on market
Built 1972 Good condition Est $312k · 15% under ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry

Key facts

  • Laminate flooring
  • Modern decor
  • Ceiling fans

Tags

COVERED SIDE PORCHPRIVATE LOCATIONMODERN DECORLAMINATE FLOORINGDUAL PANE WINDOWSCEILING FANS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Hacienda Mobile Home Park; Senior community; Community clubhouse; Community pool (in-ground); Community spa (heated) and sauna; Game room and activities available; Car wash area, guest parking, RV storage; Park interview and pet restrictions (pets allowed upon approval; dogs and cats OK with limits); Gas metered

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (covered) with space for 2 or more cars
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
  • Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Double wide
  • Construction: Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Back yard; Side yard; Covered patio and deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Gas range / cooktop; Free‑standing range / oven; Microwave; Garbage disposal; Pantry; Refrigerator; Updated kitchen
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (street level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with double vanity, granite, tile, stall shower, solid surface and window; Other bath(s) with tile, stall shower, solid surface, updated finishes and window
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Pantry; Updated kitchen; Dining area; Family room; Living room; Window coverings and screens; Double pane windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in laundry closet; Laundry cabinets

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
  • Recommended offer: $261k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 1.3% in Pleasanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#17 in CA, #655 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
  • Pleasanton Unified (urban): math 75% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #43 of 1,400 in CA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $261,025 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.55%
Cash-on-cash
15.21%
DSCR
1.68
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$311,808
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3231 Vineyard Ave., #102 #102 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (-6%) 9mo $205,000 $142 82
3231 Vineyard Ave Spc 93 0.06mi 2/2.0 1,413 (-8%) 3mo $287,000 $203 82
3263 Vineyard Ave #174 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,600 (+4%) 4mo $315,000 $197 82
3263 Vineyard Ave #125 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,578 (+3%) 6mo $310,000 $196 81
3231 Vineyard Ave #76 0.04mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,431 (-7%) 2mo $370,000 $259 80
3231 Vineyard Ave., #94 #94 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,340 (-13%) 0mo $230,000 $172 78
3263 Vineyard Ave #189 0.13mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,512 (-2%) 10mo $350,000 $231 78
3263 Vineyard Ave #42 0.21mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,590 (+4%) 9mo $402,000 $253 72
3263 Vineyard Ave., #116 #116 0.09mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,620 (+6%) 11mo $399,999 $247 72
3231 Vineyard Ave #74 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-12%) 10mo $85,000 $63 70
3263 Vineyard Ave. #35 #35 0.19mi 2/2.0 1,368 (-11%) 3mo $295,000 $216 70
3263 Vineyard Ave #178 0.17mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,440 (-6%) 8mo $238,000 $165 70

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
9.3%
Equity multiple
1.38×
Total profit
$28,084
Equity at exit
$39,512
10-year hold
IRR
20.9%
Equity multiple
3.02×
Total profit
$150,126
Equity at exit
$22,912

Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 94566

Rents YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
152
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,509 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,390
Tax est. 1.5%
$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
Insurance
$110
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$737
Net cashflow
$941

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,318
Max offer price $265,000
Occupancy floor 68%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$66,250
Closing costs
$7,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
749 Palomino Dr Unit C Pleasanton, CA 2.0 1.5 1130 $3,250 $2.88 43d 1 0.58mi
835 Palomino Dr Unit 2 Pleasanton, CA 2.0 1.5 1080 $2,850 $2.64 20d 1 0.60mi
3819 Vineyard Ave Pleasanton, CA 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 863 $2,940 $3.40 1d 14 0.70mi
242 Birch Creek Dr Pleasanton, CA 2.0 2.5 1221 $3,100 $2.54 43d 1 0.75mi
223 Birch Creek Dr Pleasanton, CA 3.0 2.5 1848 $4,800 $2.60 3d 1 0.80mi
4059 Vineyard Ave Pleasanton, CA 3.0 2.0 1300 $3,850 $2.96 24d 1 0.93mi
1539 Trimingham Dr Pleasanton, CA 2.0 2.0 1369 $3,600 $2.63 2d 1 1.20mi
4678 Whiting St Pleasanton, CA 3.0 2.0 1538 $5,500 $3.58 24d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $265,000 Active 21 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $265,000 Active 15 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $265,000 Active 12 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $265,000 Active 11 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $265,000 Active 10 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $265,000 Active 7 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $265,000 Active 6 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $265,000 Active 5 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $265,000 Active 4 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $265,000 Active 3 DOM
  15. 2026-05-28
    listed $265,000 Active
  16. 2022-08-02
    soldstatus $294,000 Sold 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry

  17. 2022-07-13
    status Pending 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry

  18. 2022-06-30
    status Pending - Show for Backups 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry

  19. 2022-06-14
    listed $299,000 New 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,107
− Mortgage interest
−$14,844
− Property taxes
−$3,975
− Insurance
−$1,325
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,369
− Management
−$3,369
− Depreciation
−$7,709
Taxable income
$7,517
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,804
After-tax cash flow
$9,484/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This well-maintained, modern mobile home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Rental Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves safety and aesthetics for tenants

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
  • Rental Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves safety and aesthetics for tenants

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasanton Unified
NCES district ID
0600020
Math proficiency
75% ▼ -1.00%
Reading proficiency
79% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$123,770
Composite
73.12/100
National rank
#351
State rank
#43 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Pleasanton

Score
84/100
State rank
#17
US rank
#655

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime A- Employment A+ Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pleasanton, CA
County
Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
City population
78,550
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
Population (ZIP)
44,222
Household income
$191,155
Rent vs Own
29.4% rent · 70.6% own
Severe rent burden
1190.0

Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,928,884 people
By 2030
2,069,146 · +7.3%
By 2040
2,338,405 · +21.2%
By 2050
2,586,608 · +34.1%
By 2075
3,061,911 · +58.7%
By 2100
3,234,133 · +67.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 42% Asian 38% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 9%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Russian 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
33% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
59% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Chinese 10% Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Alameda

2024 margin
Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
2008→2024 swing
-5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -841.68%
Current HPI
308.8324
Rent YoY
▲ 6.04%
Metro
San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Listed $265,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $294,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2022-07-13 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2022-06-30 Pending bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
  • 2022-06-14 Listed $299,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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