3231 Vineyard Ave., #70 #70 · Pleasanton, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 19 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.4/30.0
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Schools +7.3/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$265,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry
Key facts
- Laminate flooring
- Modern decor
- Ceiling fans
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Hacienda Mobile Home Park; Senior community; Community clubhouse; Community pool (in-ground); Community spa (heated) and sauna; Game room and activities available; Car wash area, guest parking, RV storage; Park interview and pet restrictions (pets allowed upon approval; dogs and cats OK with limits); Gas metered
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (covered) with space for 2 or more cars
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Gas water heater
- Home design: Manufactured in park (mobile home); Double wide
- Construction: Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Back yard; Side yard; Covered patio and deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate counters; Dishwasher; Gas range / cooktop; Free‑standing range / oven; Microwave; Garbage disposal; Pantry; Refrigerator; Updated kitchen
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (street level)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; Primary bath with double vanity, granite, tile, stall shower, solid surface and window; Other bath(s) with tile, stall shower, solid surface, updated finishes and window
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Pantry; Updated kitchen; Dining area; Family room; Living room; Window coverings and screens; Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in laundry closet; Laundry cabinets
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $265k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $941 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $265k).
- Recommended offer: $261k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 1.3% in Pleasanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#17 in CA, #655 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: cost of living F.
- Pleasanton Unified (urban): math 75% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #43 of 1,400 in CA (top 3%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 6% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.0% rent growth), your $74k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.55%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.21%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $311,808
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3231 Vineyard Ave., #102 #102 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (-6%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $142 | 82 |
| 3231 Vineyard Ave Spc 93 | 0.06mi | 2/2.0 | 1,413 (-8%) | 3mo | $287,000 | $203 | 82 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave #174 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,600 (+4%) | 4mo | $315,000 | $197 | 82 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave #125 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,578 (+3%) | 6mo | $310,000 | $196 | 81 |
| 3231 Vineyard Ave #76 | 0.04mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,431 (-7%) | 2mo | $370,000 | $259 | 80 |
| 3231 Vineyard Ave., #94 #94 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,340 (-13%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $172 | 78 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave #189 | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,512 (-2%) | 10mo | $350,000 | $231 | 78 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave #42 | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,590 (+4%) | 9mo | $402,000 | $253 | 72 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave., #116 #116 | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,620 (+6%) | 11mo | $399,999 | $247 | 72 |
| 3231 Vineyard Ave #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-12%) | 10mo | $85,000 | $63 | 70 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave. #35 #35 | 0.19mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (-11%) | 3mo | $295,000 | $216 | 70 |
| 3263 Vineyard Ave #178 | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (-6%) | 8mo | $238,000 | $165 | 70 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $28,084
- Equity at exit
- $39,512
- IRR
- 20.9%
- Equity multiple
- 3.02×
- Total profit
- $150,126
- Equity at exit
- $22,912
Cash invested: $74,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 94566
- Rents YoY
- 6.0%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,509 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,390
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$331 /mo · $3,975/yr
- Insurance
- −$110
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$737
- Net cashflow
- $941
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $66,250
- Closing costs
- $7,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 749 Palomino Dr Unit C Pleasanton, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1130 | $3,250 | $2.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 835 Palomino Dr Unit 2 Pleasanton, CA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $2,850 | $2.64 | 20d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 3819 Vineyard Ave Pleasanton, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 863 | $2,940 | $3.40 | 1d | 14 | 0.70mi |
| 242 Birch Creek Dr Pleasanton, CA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1221 | $3,100 | $2.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 223 Birch Creek Dr Pleasanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1848 | $4,800 | $2.60 | 3d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4059 Vineyard Ave Pleasanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,850 | $2.96 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 1539 Trimingham Dr Pleasanton, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1369 | $3,600 | $2.63 | 2d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 4678 Whiting St Pleasanton, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1538 | $5,500 | $3.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $265,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $265,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $265,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $265,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $265,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $265,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $265,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $265,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $265,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $265,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $265,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $265,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $265,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-28$265,000 Active
-
2022-08-02soldstatus $294,000 Sold 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry
-
2022-07-13status Pending 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry
-
2022-06-30status Pending - Show for Backups 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry
-
2022-06-14$299,000 New 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
A true standout.Rich and elegant, w/backyard! Gorgeous remodeled mobile home w/covered side porch overlooking backyard.Enjoy resort style living in this beautifully upgraded home in quite location.Open floor plan, light and bright.Modern décor incl.laminate flooring throughout, fully framed dual pane windows w/2” blinds,framed Shaker style interior doors w/Bronze colored hardware,ceiling fans,recessed lighting.Large living room opens up to dining area w/built–in cabinet.Well equipped kitchen featuring antique white cabinets,lots of counter space,SS appliances incl.gas stove,built-in microwave,double sink,French door refrigerator,ceiling fan and pantry closet.Spacious family room w/bar area, double slider leading to inviting side porch,covered and w/redwood decking.Master bedroom w/two closets,ceiling fan.Adj. master bathroom w/white dual sink vanity cabinet,w/solid surface,tiled walk-in corner shower with clear glass shower doors. “Nest style termostate,Copper Plumbing,indoor laundry
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 19 unhealthy d/yr today · 21 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $42,107
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,844
- − Property taxes
- −$3,975
- − Insurance
- −$1,325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,369
- − Management
- −$3,369
- − Depreciation
- −$7,709
- Taxable income
- $7,517
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,804
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,484/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained, modern mobile home is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal repairs needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value
- Rental Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves safety and aesthetics for tenants
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
- Rental Replace outdoor light fixtures — Improves safety and aesthetics for tenants ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pleasanton Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0600020
- Math proficiency
- 75% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $123,770
- Composite
- 73.12/100
- National rank
- #351
- State rank
- #43 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Pleasanton
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #17
- US rank
- #655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pleasanton, CA
- County
- Alameda County · 1,614,355 people
- City population
- 78,550
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,222
- Household income
- $191,155
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1190.0
Population outlook (Alameda County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,928,884 people
- By 2030
- 2,069,146 · +7.3%
- By 2040
- 2,338,405 · +21.2%
- By 2050
- 2,586,608 · +34.1%
- By 2075
- 3,061,911 · +58.7%
- By 2100
- 3,234,133 · +67.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Asian 38% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Russian 3% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 33% · China, Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Other Indo-European 10% Chinese 10% Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Alameda
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+53.6) · D 74.6% · R 21.0% · Other 4.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.9pp toward R · 2008: 59.5pp · 2024: 53.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+53.6 2020: D+62.5 2016: D+64.4 2012: D+59.8 2008: D+59.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -841.68%
- Current HPI
- 308.8324
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.04%
- Metro
- San Francisco-Oakland-Berkeley, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-11.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-28 Listed $265,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-08-02 Sold (MLS) $294,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-07-13 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-06-30 Pending — bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
- 2022-06-14 Listed $299,000 bridgeMLS, Bay East AOR, or Contra Costa AOR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…