54 Jericho Rd · Battle Creek, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$39,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Back yard
- Full basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 5.2% in Battle Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
- Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.03%
- Cash-on-cash
- 74.08%
- DSCR
- 4.30
- GRM
- 2.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $86,464
- List price
- $39,900
- Delta
- -53.85%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 Jericho Rd | 0.00mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,293 (0%) | 1mo | $34,000 | $26 | 94 |
| 124 Lathrop Ave | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 | 1,183 (-8%) | 2mo | $101,000 | $85 | 79 |
| 100 Illinois St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,208 (-7%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $99 | 77 |
| 217 Grenville St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,332 (+3%) | 3mo | $148,500 | $111 | 77 |
| 111 Nelson St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,265 (-2%) | 3mo | $119,900 | $95 | 76 |
| 174 Lathrop Ave | 0.22mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,236 (-4%) | 6mo | $129,000 | $104 | 72 |
| 110 Post Ave | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,391 (+8%) | 1mo | $133,500 | $96 | 72 |
| 222 Lathrop Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,320 (+2%) | 6mo | $45,000 | $34 | 71 |
| 37 Inn Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 1,227 (-5%) | 2mo | $105,000 | $86 | 71 |
| 397 Main St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 | 1,434 (+11%) | 4mo | $50,000 | $35 | 70 |
| 195 N Union St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,340 (+4%) | 6mo | $175,000 | $131 | 60 |
| 811 Belton Ave | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,120 (-13%) | 0mo | $205,000 | $183 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 73.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $37,487
- Equity at exit
- $5,949
- IRR
- 77.7%
- Equity multiple
- 8.99×
- Total profit
- $89,318
- Equity at exit
- $3,450
Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49014
- Home prices YoY
- -28.7%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 2.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,242 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$209
- Tax from tax record
- −$66 /mo · $788/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$261
- Net cashflow
- $690
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,975
- Closing costs
- $1,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 226 Taft Ct Battle Creek, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 762 | $985 | $1.29 | 43d | 8 | 0.63mi |
| 98 Van Buren St E Battle Creek, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1118 | $950 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-05-14status Pending 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-05-14status Pending 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-05-14status Pending
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-04-17price $39,900 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-04-17price $39,900 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-04-17price $39,900
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-03-18$49,900 Active 176-char remark
Show marketing remark (176 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-03-16$49,900 Active 175-char remark
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2026-03-16$49,900 Active
Show marketing remark (175 chars)
The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.
-
2014-09-15historical
-
2001-07-31historical
-
2001-01-30$60,000
-
2001-01-30$60,000
-
2001-01-29historical
-
2001-01-29historical
-
2000-10-31$65,000
-
2000-10-31$65,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $788 · $66/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,235
- − Property taxes
- −$788
- − Insurance
- −$200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,192
- − Management
- −$1,192
- − Depreciation
- −$1,161
- Taxable income
- $8,136
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,953
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,323/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Battle Creek Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2600005
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 19% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,697
- Composite
- 10.73/100
- National rank
- #9769
- State rank
- #510 of 540 in MI
Livability — Battle Creek
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #198
- US rank
- #5031
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Battle Creek, MI
- County
- Calhoun County · 91,590 people
- City population
- 91,590
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,980
- Household income
- $69,009
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 416.0
Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 130,157 people
- By 2030
- 126,691 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 118,517 · -8.9%
- By 2050
- 109,855 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 90,486 · -30.5%
- By 2100
- 70,766 · -45.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.29%
- Current HPI
- 241.3422
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Battle Creek, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-38.6% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-05-14 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-14 Pending — SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-18 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-09-15 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2001-07-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2001-01-30 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2001-01-30 Listed $60,000 SW Michigan MLS
- 2001-01-29 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2001-01-29 Listing Removed — SW Michigan MLS
- 2000-10-31 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-31 Listed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $788 · -25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…