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54 Jericho Rd
B- Composite 67.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$39,900

54 Jericho Rd · Battle Creek, MI 49014
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,293 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1920 4,356 sqft lot $31/sqft · 54% below area ↓ 39% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

Key facts

  • Close to parks
  • Back yard
  • Full basement

Tags

FULL BASEMENTFRONT FENCED IN YARDBACK YARDCLOSE TO PARKSCLOSE TO SHOPPING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 27.0% vs local median 5.2% in Battle Creek — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#198 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Battle Creek Public Schools (urban): math 8% / reading 19% proficiency, ranked #510 of 540 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 132 units permitted in Calhoun County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $276 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Calhoun County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $38,703 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.11%
Cap rate
27.03%
Cash-on-cash
74.08%
DSCR
4.30
GRM
2.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$86,464
List price
$39,900
Delta
-53.85%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
54 Jericho Rd 0.00mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,293 (0%) 1mo $34,000 $26 94
124 Lathrop Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,183 (-8%) 2mo $101,000 $85 79
100 Illinois St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,208 (-7%) 7mo $119,900 $99 77
217 Grenville St 0.34mi 3/1.0 1,332 (+3%) 3mo $148,500 $111 77
111 Nelson St 0.28mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,265 (-2%) 3mo $119,900 $95 76
174 Lathrop Ave 0.22mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,236 (-4%) 6mo $129,000 $104 72
110 Post Ave 0.13mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,391 (+8%) 1mo $133,500 $96 72
222 Lathrop Ave 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,320 (+2%) 6mo $45,000 $34 71
37 Inn Rd 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,227 (-5%) 2mo $105,000 $86 71
397 Main St 0.15mi 3/1.5 1,434 (+11%) 4mo $50,000 $35 70
195 N Union St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,340 (+4%) 6mo $175,000 $131 60
811 Belton Ave 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,120 (-13%) 0mo $205,000 $183 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
73.9%
Equity multiple
4.36×
Total profit
$37,487
Equity at exit
$5,949
10-year hold
IRR
77.7%
Equity multiple
8.99×
Total profit
$89,318
Equity at exit
$3,450

Cash invested: $11,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49014

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,242 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$209
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $788/yr
Insurance
$17
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$690

Break-even live

Break-even rent $369
Max offer price $39,900
Occupancy floor 39%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$9,975
Closing costs
$1,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
226 Taft Ct Battle Creek, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 762 $985 $1.29 43d 8 0.63mi
98 Van Buren St E Battle Creek, MI 2.0 1.0 1118 $950 $0.85 43d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  2. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  3. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  4. 2026-04-17
    price $39,900 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  5. 2026-04-17
    price $39,900 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  6. 2026-04-17
    price $39,900
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  7. 2026-03-18
    listed $49,900 Active 176-char remark
    Show marketing remark (176 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  8. 2026-03-16
    listed $49,900 Active 175-char remark
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  9. 2026-03-16
    listed $49,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (175 chars)

    The home has 3 Bedrooms 1 full bathroom full basement front fenced in yard and back yard, 1 car detached garage this home is close to Elementary school and parks and shopping.

  10. 2014-09-15
    historical
  11. 2001-07-31
    historical
  12. 2001-01-30
    listed $60,000
  13. 2001-01-30
    listed $60,000
  14. 2001-01-29
    historical
  15. 2001-01-29
    historical
  16. 2000-10-31
    listed $65,000
  17. 2000-10-31
    listed $65,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$788 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$788 · $66/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,904
− Mortgage interest
−$2,235
− Property taxes
−$788
− Insurance
−$200
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,192
− Management
−$1,192
− Depreciation
−$1,161
Taxable income
$8,136
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,953
After-tax cash flow
$6,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Battle Creek Public Schools
NCES district ID
2600005
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
19% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$31,697
Composite
10.73/100
National rank
#9769
State rank
#510 of 540 in MI

Livability — Battle Creek

Score
73/100
State rank
#198
US rank
#5031

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute A Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Battle Creek, MI
County
Calhoun County · 91,590 people
City population
91,590
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,980
Household income
$69,009
Rent vs Own
27.0% rent · 73.0% own
Severe rent burden
416.0

Population outlook (Calhoun County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
130,157 people
By 2030
126,691 · -2.7%
By 2040
118,517 · -8.9%
By 2050
109,855 · -15.6%
By 2075
90,486 · -30.5%
By 2100
70,766 · -45.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (78%)
Race & ethnicity
White 78% Black 9% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Calhoun

2024 margin
R (+14.1) · D 42.3% · R 56.4% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: 9.4pp · 2024: -14.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+14.1 2020: R+11.1 2016: R+12.5 2012: D+1.6 2008: D+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.29%
Current HPI
241.3422
Rent YoY
Metro
Battle Creek, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-38.6% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-14 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $39,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $49,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2014-09-15 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2001-07-31 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2001-01-30 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2001-01-30 Listed $60,000 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2001-01-29 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2001-01-29 Listing Removed SW Michigan MLS
  • 2000-10-31 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2000-10-31 Listed $65,000 SW Michigan MLS

Property tax history

-1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $788 · -25.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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