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639 Cornwallis Rd
C+ Composite 60.55
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$120,000

639 Cornwallis Rd · Wallace, NC 28464
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,377 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 103 Days on market
Built 1981 0.52 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Handyman special in Teachey! This 3 bedroom, 1 bath home offers a 0.52 acre lot and is being sold as-is. The property is in need of a full cleanout and significant repairs, making it a true fixer-upper opportunity. Investors and handy buyers will appreciate the potential here to restore or renovate and bring new life to this home. Please note: the rear deck is unsafe and should not be accessed. Cash or rehab loans only.

Key facts

  • 0.52 acre lot
  • 0.52 acre lot
  • Built 1981

Tags

0.52 ACRE LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $214 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 1.7% in Wallace — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#306 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Duplin County Schools (rural): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #153 of 178 in NC (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Wallace Elementary (math 16% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 1,147 students, 100% FRL); Wallace-Rose Hill High (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #427 of 535 statewide, top 81%, 807 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 74% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 11 active listings in the ZIP; 134 units permitted in Duplin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($830 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (4.1% local appreciation)).
  • Duplin County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (4.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 103 days — a 9% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,200 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 103 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.66%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

4.11% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.3%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$35,239
Equity at exit
$61,584
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
3.91×
Total profit
$97,832
Equity at exit
$101,322

Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28464

Home prices YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
11
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,201 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$55 /mo · $665/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$252
Net cashflow
$214

Break-even live

Break-even rent $930
Max offer price $120,000
Occupancy floor 77%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $282 -5% $248 +0% $214 +5% $180 +10% $146
Rent -10% $119 -5% $167 +0% $214 +5% $262 +10% $309
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $245 base $214 +0.5pp $183 +1.0pp $152

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$30,000
Closing costs
$3,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-03-16
    status Pending
  2. 2025-12-11
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2025-11-07
    status Pending
  4. 2025-10-29
    listed $120,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$665 · $55/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$984 · $82/mo
Expected delta
+$319/yr (+$27/mo · 47.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,417
− Mortgage interest
−$6,722
− Property taxes
−$665
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,153
− Management
−$1,153
− Depreciation
−$3,491
Taxable income
$632
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$152
After-tax cash flow
$2,421/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Duplin County Schools
NCES district ID
3701200
Math proficiency
23% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$34,900
Composite
22.66/100
National rank
#8052
State rank
#153 of 178 in NC

Livability — Wallace

Score
65/100
State rank
#306
US rank
#12752

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
2,554

Population outlook (Duplin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,701 people
By 2030
56,333 · -2.4%
By 2040
52,736 · -8.6%
By 2050
48,426 · -16.1%
By 2075
36,339 · -37.0%
By 2100
23,866 · -58.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 34% Hispanic / Latino 33% Black 29% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 33% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Duplin

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.2% · R 64.2%
2008→2024 swing
-19.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.4pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+22.1 2016: R+19.2 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+9.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.11%
Current HPI
278.9733
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-16 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-12-11 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2025-11-07 Pending Hive MLS
  • 2025-10-29 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+1.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $665 · +69.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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