212 Main St S · Hurlock, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$112,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor Alert / Fixer-Upper Opportunity! Unlock the potential in this two-level home ready for your vision and finishing touches. Previous renovations have been started, offering a great head start for your next project. The main level features a full bath and a versatile bonus room—perfect for a home office, den, family room, or even a potential 4th bedroom. Upstairs, you’ll find a wide hallway leading to three bedrooms and a spacious full bath. Endless possibilities await—bring your creativity and make this home shine! A must-see opportunity for investors or buyers looking to customize their dream space.
Key facts
- Bonus room
- Full bath
- Wide hallway
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $715 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $105k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.0% vs local median 6.0% in Hurlock — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#332 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Dorchester County Public Schools (rural): math 10% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #23 of 24 in MD (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 81 units permitted in Dorchester County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $12k of equity ($774 loan paydown + $11k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Dorchester County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 76 days — a 6% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 31y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $35k; list at $112k implies a 220% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 76 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.35%
- DSCR
- 2.22
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,170
- List price
- $112,000
- Delta
- -44.87%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 Charles St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 | 1,616 (-7%) | 5mo | $209,000 | $129 | 75 |
| 101 Maryland Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 | 1,578 (-9%) | 16mo | $70,000 | $44 | 69 |
| 104 Andrews | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,563 (-10%) | 9mo | $200,000 | $128 | 69 |
| 415 S Main St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,757 (+1%) | 13mo | $96,000 | $55 | 62 |
| 103 Dogwood Dr | 0.26mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (-3%) | 15mo | $275,000 | $164 | 62 |
| 311 Prospect St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,536 (-11%) | 3mo | $289,900 | $189 | 60 |
| 310 Charles St | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,550 (-10%) | 13mo | $212,000 | $137 | 57 |
| 306 N Main | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,869 (+8%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $96 | 55 |
| 309 Collins Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,532 (-12%) | 14mo | $237,350 | $155 | 51 |
| 202 Taylor Ave | 0.36mi | 3/3.0 | 1,497 (-14%) | 15mo | $297,000 | $198 | 40 |
| 101 Martin Dr | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,512 (-13%) | 8mo | $280,000 | $185 | 34 |
| 101 Miles Cir | 0.70mi | 3/2.5 | 1,924 (+11%) | 15mo | $299,900 | $156 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.40×
- Total profit
- $106,511
- Equity at exit
- $100,898
- IRR
- 39.0%
- Equity multiple
- 9.86×
- Total profit
- $277,827
- Equity at exit
- $217,591
Cash invested: $31,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21643
- Home prices YoY
- 15.5%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,800 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$587
- Tax from tax record
- −$73 /mo · $878/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$378
- Net cashflow
- $715
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $778 | -5% $747 | +0% $715 | +5% $683 | +10% $651 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $573 | -5% $644 | +0% $715 | +5% $786 | +10% $857 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $771 | -0.5pp $743 | base $715 | +0.5pp $686 | +1.0pp $656 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,000
- Closing costs
- $3,360
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 207 Broad St Hurlock, MD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,800 | $1.44 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
Listing history 46 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $112,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $112,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $112,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $112,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $112,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $112,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $112,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $112,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $112,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $112,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $112,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 55 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $112,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-04-24price $120,000 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Investor Alert / Fixer-Upper Opportunity! Unlock the potential in this two-level home ready for your vision and finishing touches. Previous renovations have been started, offering a great head start for your next project. The main level features a full bath and a versatile bonus room—perfect for a home office, den, family room, or even a potential 4th bedroom. Upstairs, you’ll find a wide hallway leading to three bedrooms and a spacious full bath. Endless possibilities await—bring your creativity and make this home shine! A must-see opportunity for investors or buyers looking to customize their dream space.
-
2026-04-06$140,000 Active 632-char remark
Show marketing remark (632 chars)
Investor Alert / Fixer-Upper Opportunity! Unlock the potential in this two-level home ready for your vision and finishing touches. Previous renovations have been started, offering a great head start for your next project. The main level features a full bath and a versatile bonus room—perfect for a home office, den, family room, or even a potential 4th bedroom. Upstairs, you’ll find a wide hallway leading to three bedrooms and a spacious full bath. Endless possibilities await—bring your creativity and make this home shine! A must-see opportunity for investors or buyers looking to customize their dream space.
-
2025-12-29historical
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2025-03-18price $150,000
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2025-03-11price $170,000
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2025-02-21$190,000 Active
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2020-09-10soldstatus $35,000 Closed
-
2020-09-03status Pending
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2020-07-30$29,900 Active
-
2006-01-24soldstatus $140,000
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2006-01-20soldstatus $140,000
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2005-12-13historical
-
2005-10-06$150,000
-
2004-10-07soldstatus $35,000
-
2004-09-27soldstatus $35,000
-
2004-08-25historical
-
2004-04-22$35,000
-
2003-11-15historical
-
2003-05-15
-
1999-07-16soldstatus $37,000
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1999-07-15soldstatus $37,000
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1999-06-08historical
-
1997-07-25$37,000
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1997-06-08historical
-
1996-06-08historical
-
1995-03-08
-
1995-03-08
-
1993-06-30soldstatus $54,900
-
1993-04-12soldstatus $17,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $878 · $73/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,050 · $87/mo
- Expected delta
- +$171/yr (+$14/mo · 19.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,600
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,274
- − Property taxes
- −$878
- − Insurance
- −$560
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,728
- − Management
- −$1,728
- − Depreciation
- −$3,258
- Taxable income
- $7,174
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,722
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,856/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dorchester County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400300
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,767
- Composite
- 14.65/100
- National rank
- #9404
- State rank
- #23 of 24 in MD
Livability — Hurlock
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #332
- US rank
- #17536
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hurlock, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,176
Population outlook (Dorchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,699 people
- By 2030
- 31,054 · -2.0%
- By 2040
- 29,712 · -6.3%
- By 2050
- 28,618 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 28,436 · -10.3%
- By 2100
- 28,937 · -8.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 61% Black 28% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Dorchester
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.6) · D 41.6% · R 56.1% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -8.2pp · 2024: -14.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.6 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+16.0 2012: R+6.6 2008: R+8.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.36%
- Current HPI
- 390.419
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+605.9% since first listed29 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $120,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $140,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-12-29 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-18 Price Changed $150,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-03-11 Price Changed $170,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-02-21 Listed $190,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-10 Sold (MLS) $35,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-09-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2020-07-30 Listed $29,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2006-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2006-01-20 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MRIS
- 2005-12-13 Delisted — MRIS
- 2005-10-06 Listed $150,000 MRIS
- 2004-10-07 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
- 2004-09-27 Sold (MLS) $35,000 MRIS
- 2004-08-25 Delisted — MRIS
- 2004-04-22 Listed $35,000 MRIS
- 2003-11-15 Delisted — MRIS
- 2003-05-15 Listed — MRIS
- 1999-07-16 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1999-07-15 Sold (MLS) $37,000 MRIS
- 1999-06-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 1997-07-25 Listed $37,000 MRIS
- 1997-06-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 1996-06-08 Delisted — MRIS
- 1995-03-08 Listed — MRIS
- 1995-03-08 Listed — MRIS
- 1993-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $54,900 Public Records
- 1993-04-12 Sold (Public Records) $17,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $878 · +20.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…