6 Rugraff St · Rochester, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
4 BEDROOM 2 FULL BATH IN THE DUTCHTOWN NEIGHBORHOOD. CURRENTLY RENTED MONTH TO MONTH FOR $1000/MONTH. FEATURES A FIRST FLOOR BEDROOM AND FULL BATH, SECOND FLOOR HAS A FULL BATH AND 3 BEDROOMS. FIRST FLOOR LAUNDRY, FORCED AIR AND CENTRAL AIR CONDITIONING. CONVENIENTLY LOCATED CLOSE TO 490 EXPRESSWAY, PUBLIC TRANSPORTATION, SAHLENS STADIUM AND LOCAL SHOPS.
Key facts
- First floor laundry
- Conveniently located
- First floor bedroom
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected
- Home design: Single-story; Resale property; Wood siding
- Construction: Block and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Concrete driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing range; Oven; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen layout
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms; Bedroom on main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Varies
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $558 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.7% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment F.
- Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 124 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($56k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $622 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.61%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,697
- List price
- $89,900
- Delta
- -14.13%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 760 Jay St | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,684 (+3%) | 2mo | $29,900 | $18 | 86 |
| 7 Rugraff St | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 | 1,487 (-9%) | 2mo | $78,000 | $52 | 79 |
| 71 Lorenzo St | 0.31mi | 3/1.0 | 1,544 (-5%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $45 | 68 |
| 22 Lisbon St | 0.24mi | 3/1.5 | 1,488 (-9%) | 6mo | $125,500 | $84 | 67 |
| 487 Jay St | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,459 (-10%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $103 | 61 |
| 28 Cedar St | 0.29mi | 3/1.5 | 1,395 (-14%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $65 | 59 |
| 64 Lisbon St | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 | 1,392 (-15%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 64 Cameron St | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,440 (-12%) | 2mo | $68,000 | $47 | 56 |
| 88 Sherman St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 | 1,412 (-13%) | 5mo | $63,500 | $45 | 47 |
| 46 Rogers Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 | 1,458 (-11%) | 3mo | $81,000 | $56 | 46 |
| 91 Pool St | 0.59mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,458 (-11%) | 1mo | $162,500 | $111 | 45 |
| 35 Darien St | 0.74mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,796 (+10%) | 5mo | $175,000 | $97 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $25,814
- Equity at exit
- $13,404
- IRR
- 33.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.55×
- Total profit
- $89,454
- Equity at exit
- $7,773
Cash invested: $25,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14606
- Home prices YoY
- -17.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 124
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,420 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$471
- Tax from tax record
- −$55 /mo · $656/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $558
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $609 | -5% $584 | +0% $558 | +5% $533 | +10% $507 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $446 | -5% $502 | +0% $558 | +5% $614 | +10% $670 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $604 | -0.5pp $581 | base $558 | +0.5pp $535 | +1.0pp $511 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,475
- Closing costs
- $2,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 32 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 710-712 Jay St Unit 3 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $895 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 629 Jay St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1193 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 19d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 385 Ames St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1738 | $1,500 | $0.86 | 22d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 69 Angle St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 85 Cameron St Unit B Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1138 | $1,650 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 257 Hague St Unit 257 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 802 Maple St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,800 | $1.67 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 25 Karnes St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1059 | $1,250 | $1.18 | 22d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 87 McNaughton St Unit 87 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1929 | $1,300 | $0.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 48 Thorndale Ter Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1700 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 108 Wetmore Park Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1278 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2 Jay St Unit 2 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1252 | $1,045 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 478 Tremont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $1,500 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 19 Garland Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1104 | $1,850 | $1.68 | 3d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 84 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 89 Twin Beeches Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1096 | $1,250 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 161 Fillmore St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1612 | $1,400 | $0.87 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 190 Warwick Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1240 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 327 Glenwood Ave Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2012 | $1,690 | $0.84 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 136 Garfield St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1152 | $1,200 | $1.04 | 19d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 193 Reynolds St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1342 | $1,800 | $1.34 | 22d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 192 Bartlett St Unit 192 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1099 | $1,295 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 42 S Washington St Unit 401 Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 24d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 42 S Washington St Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $2,300 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 13 S Fitzhugh St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 890 | $2,098 | $2.36 | 11d | 2 | 1.35mi |
| 39 State St Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1154 | $3,500 | $3.03 | 4d | 8 | 1.36mi |
| 367 Hawley St Rochester, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1210 | $1,395 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 249 1/2 Columbia Ave #249 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $1,300 | $0.81 | 15d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 32 Stanton St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1390 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 55 Exchange Blvd Rochester, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,695 | $2.83 | 4d | 28 | 1.47mi |
| 98 Pierpont St Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1973 | $1,295 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 28-30 Carthage Dr Unit 28 Rochester, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1415 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-07$89,900 Active 448-char remark
-
2026-05-07historical
-
2026-02-27$94,900 Active
-
2026-02-27historical
-
2026-02-16price $95,000
-
2026-02-11price $98,500
-
2025-12-30$98,900 Active
-
2025-12-30historical
-
2025-08-12$99,900 Active
-
2025-02-19soldstatus $370,000
-
1999-12-06soldstatus $22,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $656 · $55/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,087 · $91/mo
- Expected delta
- +$432/yr (+$36/mo · 65.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,040
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,036
- − Property taxes
- −$656
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,363
- − Management
- −$1,363
- − Depreciation
- −$2,615
- Taxable income
- $5,557
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,334
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,365/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rochester City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3624750
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,923
- Composite
- 18.98/100
- National rank
- #8850
- State rank
- #589 of 590 in NY
Livability — Rochester
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #222
- US rank
- #3482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rochester, NY
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 432,803
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,538
- Household income
- $55,807
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 986.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 8% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 12% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 3% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -62.59%
- Current HPI
- 287.6868
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.28%
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+308.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-07 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-05-07 Listed $89,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-27 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2026-02-27 Listed $94,900 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $95,000 UNYREIS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $98,500 UNYREIS
- 2025-12-30 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2025-12-30 Listed $98,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-08-12 Listed $99,900 UNYREIS
- 2025-02-19 Sold (Public Records) $370,000 Public Records
- 1999-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $22,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.2%/yrLatest (2025): $656 · -9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…