400 Morton Ave · Butler, PA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $511 – $949
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BRING ALL OFFERS, AFFORDABLE LIVING<Great Starter home. Being sold "AS IS". Nice city corner lot.
Key facts
- Front porch
- Playroom spaces
- Side porches
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story residence; Resale property; Asphalt roof
- Construction: Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: 50x150x39x141 lot dimensions
Interior
- Kitchen: Main-level kitchen (dimensions 13x11)
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level; Third bedroom on the upper level (dimensions 7x6)
- Flooring: Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air gas heating
- Interior features: Screens on windows; Partial, interior-entry basement
- Laundry & utility: Basement laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $306 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $116k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 3.8% in Butler — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#705 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, schools A-; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
- Butler Area SD (town): math 41% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #181 of 539 in PA (top 34%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+20.4%/yr); 206 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 987 units permitted in Butler County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Butler County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($116k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.92%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $164,505
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -27.11%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 308 W Boyd Ave | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (+2%) | 9mo | $68,620 | $46 | 69 |
| 126 Wilkens Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,459 (+0%) | 10mo | $73,500 | $50 | 67 |
| 201 Wallula Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,414 (-3%) | 3mo | $145,000 | $103 | 66 |
| 221 E Metzger Ave | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,326 (-9%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $113 | 64 |
| 457 Brown Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-8%) | 9mo | $210,000 | $156 | 63 |
| 205 Wallula Ave | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,414 (-3%) | 11mo | $84,250 | $60 | 60 |
| 306 Virginia Ave | 0.55mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+3%) | 4mo | $39,000 | $26 | 57 |
| 514 S Washington St | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,320 (-9%) | 3mo | $82,400 | $62 | 52 |
| 414 S Washington St | 0.49mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,272 (-13%) | 4mo | $20,000 | $16 | 48 |
| 421 W Diamond St | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,367 (-6%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $99 | 46 |
| 218 W Diamond St | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,638 (+12%) | 1mo | $119,900 | $73 | 40 |
| 508 Negley Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 1,255 (-14%) | 10mo | $97,335 | $78 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $7,428
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 18.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.94×
- Total profit
- $65,174
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Pennsylvania
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 16001
- Home prices YoY
- -31.7%
- Rents YoY
- 20.4%
- Active inventory
- 206
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,398 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$120 /mo · $1,442/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $306
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 415 Brown Ave Butler, PA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1640 | $1,500 | $0.91 | 12d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 208 E Walnut St Butler, PA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1297 | $1,050 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 303 Wilson Ave Unit Wilson-313 Butler, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,005 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 313 Wilson Ave Butler, PA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $1,005 | $1.12 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 664-char remark
-
2026-06-02price $119,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-06$124,900 Active 632-char remark
-
2024-01-30soldstatus $110,000
-
2010-04-23$37,850 110-char remark
Show marketing remark (110 chars)
BRING ALL OFFERS, AFFORDABLE LIVING<Great Starter home. Being sold "AS IS". Nice city corner lot.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,442 · $120/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,668 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- +$226/yr (+$19/mo · 15.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,778
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$1,442
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,342
- − Management
- −$1,342
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $1,847
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$443
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,224/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Butler Area SD
- NCES district ID
- 4204590
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,348
- Composite
- 42.65/100
- National rank
- #3180
- State rank
- #181 of 539 in PA
Livability — Butler
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #705
- US rank
- #6951
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Butler, PA
- County
- Butler County · 73,107 people
- City population
- 39,234
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,234
- Household income
- $63,635
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1441.0
Population outlook (Butler County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 190,777 people
- By 2030
- 191,476 · +0.4%
- By 2040
- 189,474 · -0.7%
- By 2050
- 182,050 · -4.6%
- By 2075
- 159,526 · -16.4%
- By 2100
- 129,028 · -32.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Serbian 4% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Butler
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 33.5% · R 65.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -27.4pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+32.5 2016: R+37.5 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -103.40%
- Current HPI
- 222.4445
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 20.36%
- Metro
- Pittsburgh, PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.68%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $309B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Telecommunications / Media | 1 | $124B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 1 | $20B |
|
||
| Chemicals / Materials | 1 | $18B |
|
||
Price history
+216.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Price Changed $119,900 West Penn MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $124,900 West Penn MLS
- 2024-01-30 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
- 2010-04-23 Listed $37,850 West Penn MLS
Property tax history
+0.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,442 · -6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…