17809 Stonebridge Dr · Hazel Crest, IL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
If you're looking for a complete renovation, this is not the home for you. If you're looking for a 3-bedroom 2.1 bath with an office, split level, with a fireplace in the family room, 2.5 car attached garage home that has been cared for. .. this may or may not be the home for you. But if you're looking for a home that has a story & that is rich in future history, a home whose spirit invites you to Create your greatest existence possible, this is DEFINITELY the home for you. Classic & traditional while current & influential. Also, the creek behind the property is perfect for mindful mornings.
Key facts
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1971
- Listed 27 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No master association fee required
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 garage spaces (2 total parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Detached single-family home; Split-level with sub-basement; Fee simple ownership; Estimated living area; Property faces unspecified direction; School bus service available
- Construction: Built approximately 51–60 years ago; Aluminum siding and brick exterior; Shake roof
- Exterior features: Asphalt driveway
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Freezer; Range hood; Stainless steel and ENERGY STAR qualified appliances; Eating-area/table space in kitchen
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms total; Master bedroom on the second level; Additional bedrooms on the second level
- Flooring: Hardwood in living room, dining room, and office; Ceramic tile in parts of family room, kitchen, and laundry; Laminate in lower-level family room; Carpet in bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; Full-body spray shower in a bath; Double sink vanity
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in bookcases; Intercom system; Sub-basement partial basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on lower level; Gas dryer hookup; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $240k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $240k).
- Recommended offer: $236k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#229 in IL, #4,242 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Bremen Chsd 228 (suburban): math 15% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #468 of 620 in IL (top 76%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Mae Jemison School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #1,517 of 2,056 statewide, top 78%, 376 students, 0% FRL); Prairie-Hills Junior High School (math 7% / reading 10%, grade F, #605 of 665 statewide, top 91%, 825 students, 0% FRL); Hillcrest High School (math 4% / reading 4%, grade F, #657 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 1,314 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($236k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $144k; list at $240k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.06%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $296,344
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17956 Sacramento Ave | 0.24mi | 4/3.0 | 2,434 (+12%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $136 | 67 |
| 18103 Cherrywood Ln | 0.55mi | 4/2.5 | 2,312 (+6%) | 0mo | $330,000 | $143 | 64 |
| 3111 Smoke Tree Ct | 0.17mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,983 (-9%) | 7mo | $250,000 | $126 | 62 |
| 17401 Emerson Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 2,200 (+1%) | 10mo | $263,000 | $120 | 61 |
| 2716 Turtle Creek Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,127 (-2%) | 9mo | $285,000 | $134 | 57 |
| 17613 Grandview Dr | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 | 1,852 (-15%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $116 | 54 |
| 18050 Marlin Ln | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,412 (+11%) | 3mo | $389,900 | $162 | 53 |
| 17805 Dogwood Ln | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,874 (-14%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $139 | 51 |
| 2800 174th St | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (-8%) | 4mo | $249,500 | $125 | 50 |
| 17755 Turtlecreek Dr | 0.56mi | 4/2.5 | 1,898 (-13%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $171 | 44 |
| 17710 Hillcrest Dr | 0.70mi | 4/2.0 | 1,900 (-13%) | 2mo | $303,000 | $159 | 42 |
| 17301 Burr Oak Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,036 (-7%) | 10mo | $207,500 | $102 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-17,240
- Equity at exit
- $35,785
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.19×
- Total profit
- $12,972
- Equity at exit
- $20,751
Cash invested: $67,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60429
- Home prices YoY
- -14.0%
- Active inventory
- 79
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,529 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,259
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$300 /mo · $3,600/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$531
- Net cashflow
- $339
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $505 | -5% $422 | +0% $339 | +5% $256 | +10% $173 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $140 | -5% $239 | +0% $339 | +5% $439 | +10% $539 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $460 | -0.5pp $400 | base $339 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $214 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,000
- Closing costs
- $7,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3212 Charlemagne Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1412 | $2,650 | $1.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 2722 Larkspur Ln Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1441 | $2,650 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 17306 Holmes Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,195 | $1.43 | 6d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 3515 Bordeaux Ct Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1486 | $2,900 | $1.95 | 3d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 2223 Hawthorne Rd Homewood, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 26d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $2,250 | $1.29 | 0d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 3900 171st St Country Club Hills, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1750 | $2,250 | $1.29 | 9d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 16901 Orchard Ridge Ave Hazel Crest, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $2,700 | $1.92 | 0d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $239,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $239,999 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $239,999 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $239,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $239,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $239,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $239,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $239,999 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $249,999 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $249,999 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $249,999 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $249,999 Active 6 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,348
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,444
- − Property taxes
- −$3,600
- − Insurance
- −$1,200
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,428
- − Management
- −$2,428
- − Depreciation
- −$6,982
- Taxable income
- $267
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$64
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,008/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bremen Chsd 228
- NCES district ID
- 1707050
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 17% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,625
- Composite
- 15.32/100
- National rank
- #9327
- State rank
- #468 of 620 in IL
Livability — Hazel Crest
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #229
- US rank
- #4242
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazel Crest, IL
- City population
- 14,602
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,602
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 83% White 7% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -46.04%
- Current HPI
- 282.3552
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
||
Price history
+97.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2001-01-24 Sold (Public Records) $144,000 Public Records
- 1979-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
- 1979-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $73,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.7%/yrLatest (2023): $12,133 · +97.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…