684 5th St NW · Paris, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$47,499
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great opportunity for investors or handymen! This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. home sits on a generous corner lot with mature trees. Whether you're looking for a quick flip, rental property, or a blank slate to build your dream home, this property has plenty of potential. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, it's a fantastic investment in a desirable location!
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Listed 146 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property listed for investors or buyers seeking a fixer/flip opportunity; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Listing terms: Cash; Loan type: Treat As Clear; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: On-site parking; Other parking features
- Utilities: City water; City sewer; No municipal utility district
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; One story
- Construction: Year built not specified
- Exterior features: Corner lot with mature trees; Lot under 0.5 acre (approx. 0.23 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Other appliances
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (primary bedroom on main level)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: One-level layout; Living area approximately 1,344; Two main rooms listed; One living area; One dining area; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: No specific laundry/utility details provided
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $47k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $585 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $47k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.6% in Paris — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#984 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Paris ISD (town): math 36% / reading 37% proficiency, ranked #521 of 826 in TX (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Justiss El (math 27% / reading 32%, grade F, #2,525 of 4,322 statewide, top 62%, 552 students, 90% FRL) — zoned schools average 90% FRL vs 70% district-wide (20 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 274 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 119 units permitted in Lamar County in 2024 (71 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($46k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $328 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lamar County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $3k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.64% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 52.74%
- DSCR
- 3.35
- GRM
- 3.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $142,464
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 380 3rd St NE | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 1,305 (-3%) | 2mo | $28,000 | $21 | 73 |
| 435 2nd St NE | 0.36mi | 3/1.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 10mo | $50,000 | $38 | 70 |
| 506 E Price St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,349 (+0%) | 9mo | $205,000 | $152 | 60 |
| 51 PR 43793 | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 20mo | $249,900 | $180 | 59 |
| 341 Graham St | 0.31mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,367 (+2%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $37 | 59 |
| 255 SW 7th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,222 (-9%) | 4mo | $129,900 | $106 | 50 |
| 236 2nd St NE | 0.45mi | 3/1.5 | 1,148 (-15%) | 7mo | $92,000 | $80 | 47 |
| 715 W Kaufman St | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,243 (-8%) | 10mo | $35,000 | $28 | 43 |
| 245 SW 7th St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,184 (-12%) | 15mo | $154,900 | $131 | 36 |
| 965 W Austin St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,150 (-14%) | 19mo | $155,000 | $135 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.23×
- Total profit
- $29,601
- Equity at exit
- $7,082
- IRR
- 56.2%
- Equity multiple
- 6.56×
- Total profit
- $73,992
- Equity at exit
- $4,107
Cash invested: $13,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75460
- Active inventory
- 274
- Price-to-rent
- 3.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,256 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$249
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,666/yr
- Insurance
- −$20
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$264
- Net cashflow
- $585
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,875
- Closing costs
- $1,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 635 7th St SW Paris, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 903 | $1,250 | $1.38 | 43d | 16 | 0.17mi |
| 649 E Price St Paris, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.71mi |
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $47,499 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $47,499 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $47,499 Active 145 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $47,499 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $47,499 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $47,499 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $47,499 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $47,499 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $47,499 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $47,499 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $47,499 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $47,499 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $47,499 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $47,499 Active 128 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $47,499 Active 127 DOM
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2026-05-11price $47,499
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2026-03-24price $47,500
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2026-02-18price $49,999
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2026-01-23$50,000 Active
-
2025-08-18soldstatus Closed 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Great opportunity for investors or handymen! This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. home sits on a generous corner lot with mature trees. Whether you're looking for a quick flip, rental property, or a blank slate to build your dream home, this property has plenty of potential. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, it's a fantastic investment in a desirable location!
-
2025-08-02status Pending 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Great opportunity for investors or handymen! This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. home sits on a generous corner lot with mature trees. Whether you're looking for a quick flip, rental property, or a blank slate to build your dream home, this property has plenty of potential. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, it's a fantastic investment in a desirable location!
-
2025-06-20price $52,900 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Great opportunity for investors or handymen! This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. home sits on a generous corner lot with mature trees. Whether you're looking for a quick flip, rental property, or a blank slate to build your dream home, this property has plenty of potential. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, it's a fantastic investment in a desirable location!
-
2025-03-31$54,900 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Great opportunity for investors or handymen! This spacious 1,344 sq. ft. home sits on a generous corner lot with mature trees. Whether you're looking for a quick flip, rental property, or a blank slate to build your dream home, this property has plenty of potential. Featuring 3 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, it's a fantastic investment in a desirable location!
-
2023-03-16soldstatus Closed 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Investors Special! Sizable property on nice lot with mature trees. The home boasts 1344 square feet! Would make a great flip, rental, or dream home. 3 beds and 2 baths. Good size corner lot.
-
2023-02-06status Pending 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Investors Special! Sizable property on nice lot with mature trees. The home boasts 1344 square feet! Would make a great flip, rental, or dream home. 3 beds and 2 baths. Good size corner lot.
-
2023-01-19$29,900 Active 191-char remark
Show marketing remark (191 chars)
Investors Special! Sizable property on nice lot with mature trees. The home boasts 1344 square feet! Would make a great flip, rental, or dream home. 3 beds and 2 baths. Good size corner lot.
-
2022-12-20soldstatus Closed
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2022-11-22status Pending
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2022-10-24price $35,000
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2022-06-20$84,900 Active
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2011-12-30soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,666 · $139/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,072
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,661
- − Property taxes
- −$1,666
- − Insurance
- −$237
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,206
- − Management
- −$1,206
- − Depreciation
- −$1,382
- Taxable income
- $6,715
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,612
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,403/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Paris ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4834290
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 37% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,515
- Composite
- 29.83/100
- National rank
- #6419
- State rank
- #521 of 826 in TX
Livability — Paris
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #984
- US rank
- #17535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Paris, TX
- County
- Lamar County · 23,426 people
- City population
- 23,426
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,426
- Household income
- $46,473
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1355.0
Population outlook (Lamar County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 48,319 people
- By 2030
- 47,160 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 44,621 · -7.7%
- By 2050
- 42,024 · -13.0%
- By 2075
- 36,577 · -24.3%
- By 2100
- 30,580 · -36.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Lamar
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+61.0) · D 19.2% · R 80.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.1pp toward R · 2008: -42.0pp · 2024: -61.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+61.0 2020: R+57.4 2016: R+59.2 2012: R+50.3 2008: R+42.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -201.50%
- Current HPI
- 145.3511
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Paris, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-44.1% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $47,499 NTREIS
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $47,500 NTREIS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $49,999 NTREIS
- 2026-01-23 Listed $50,000 NTREIS
- 2025-08-18 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2025-08-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-06-20 Price Changed $52,900 NTREIS
- 2025-03-31 Listed $54,900 NTREIS
- 2023-03-16 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2023-02-06 Pending — NTREIS
- 2023-01-19 Listed $29,900 NTREIS
- 2022-12-20 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2022-11-22 Pending — NTREIS
- 2022-10-24 Price Changed $35,000 NTREIS
- 2022-06-20 Listed $84,900 NTREIS
- 2011-12-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,666 · +1.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…