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275 Mill Rd
D+ Composite 49.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.4/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$2,369,999

275 Mill Rd · Westhampton Beach, NY 11978
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,590 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 184 Days on market
Built 1987 0.50 ac lot $915/sqft · at area comps Est $2394k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Beautifully renovated in 2023, this traditional Hamptons-style three-bedroom, three-bath ranch offers 2,590 square feet of refined single-level living in Westhampton Beach. Timeless design elements and light-filled interiors create a relaxed yet elegant atmosphere throughout the home. The generous floor plan flows effortlessly, featuring inviting living areas, thoughtfully updated bathrooms, and a primary bedroom with a spacious closet. Outdoors, the backyard features an in-ground pool and a separate shed, providing both enjoyment and convenient storage. This move-in-ready residence captures classic Hamptons charm and comfort, ideal for year-round living or a peaceful coastal retreat.

Key facts

  • Separate shed
  • Updated bathrooms
  • In ground pool

Tags

IN GROUND POOLSEPARATE SHEDUPDATED BATHROOMSPRIMARY BEDROOM CLOSET

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $2.37M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1k ($-15k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $2.19M (7.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.91M (19.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.91M (19.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.7% vs local median 9.3% in Westhampton Beach — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#740 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
  • Westhampton Beach Union Free School District (suburban): math 72% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #81 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 1,366 units permitted in Suffolk County in 2024 (216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $19,129/mo this rent would consume 183% of the median local household income ($125k/yr) (locally 43% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $253k of equity ($16k loan paydown + $237k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Suffolk County population projected to shrink 5% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$407k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 184 days — a 12% lower offer ($2.09M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask is 5167% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
  • Current owner paid $1000k; list at $2.37M implies a 137% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,912,878 (19.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 184 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.81%
Cap rate
5.65%
Cash-on-cash
-2.29%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
10.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$2,394,212
List price
$2,369,999
Delta
-1.01%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19 Maple St 0.11mi 3/3.5 2,552 (-2%) 8mo $1,745,000 $684 83
279 Mill Rd 0.03mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,948 (+14%) 7mo $3,250,000 $1,102 63
279 Sunset Ave 0.39mi 3/2.5 2,755 (+6%) 10mo $1,100,000 $399 61
394 Mill Rd 0.48mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,700 (+4%) 9mo $1,700,000 $630 56
50 Depot Rd 0.59mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,666 (+3%) 8mo $2,300,000 $863 56
17 Happy Ln 0.61mi 4/4.0 (+1) 2,764 (+7%) 1mo $2,495,000 $903 50
8 Baycrest Ave 0.56mi 3/3.5 2,864 (+11%) 9mo $2,250,000 $786 47
2 Bridle Path 0.62mi 3/3.0 2,300 (-11%) 8mo $1,375,000 $598 46
38 Baycrest Ave 0.58mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,313 (-11%) 12mo $1,550,000 $670 40
69 Oneck Rd 0.68mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,922 (+13%) 0mo $2,250,000 $770 40
40 Griffing Ave 0.64mi 4/3.0 (+1) 2,830 (+9%) 16mo $2,995,000 $1,058 36
18 Pine St 0.61mi 4/3.5 (+1) 2,340 (-10%) 21mo $1,800,000 $769 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.6%
Equity multiple
2.82×
Total profit
$1,210,370
Equity at exit
$2,135,083
10-year hold
IRR
20.3%
Equity multiple
6.47×
Total profit
$3,628,363
Equity at exit
$4,604,387

Cash invested: $663,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 11978

Home prices YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
10.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$19,129 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$12,429
Tax est. 1.5%
$2,962 /mo · $35,550/yr
Insurance
$987
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$4,017
Net cashflow
$-1,267

Break-even live

Break-even rent $20,732
Max offer price $2,186,692
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$592,500
Closing costs
$71,100
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 15 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
38 Liberty St Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 2.5 2565 $35,000 $13.65 43d 1 0.03mi
31 Liberty St Westhampton Beach, NY 3.0 1.5 2000 $40,000 $20.00 43d 1 0.09mi
37 School St Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 4.0 3204 $50,000 $15.61 22d 1 0.21mi
99 Beach Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 2.5 2600 $20,000 $7.69 5d 1 0.38mi
15 Pin Oak Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 3.0 3.0 2900 $30,000 $10.34 43d 1 0.38mi
60 Aspatuck Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 2150 $10,000 $4.65 43d 1 0.49mi
64 Aspatuck Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 2157 $10,000 $4.64 43d 1 0.50mi
44 Griffing Ave Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 4.5 1825 $12,000 $6.58 19d 1 0.66mi
69 Oneck Rd Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.5 2922 $10,000 $3.42 7d 1 0.70mi
34 Montauk Hwy #12 Westhampton, NY 2.0 3.0 1773 $18,000 $10.15 24d 1 0.78mi
22 Meadow Ln Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 4.0 2500 $70,000 $28.00 24d 1 0.94mi
9 Ocame Ave Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.0 1823 $20,000 $10.97 43d 1 0.99mi
18 Lakeside Ln Westhampton, NY 4.0 2.5 2422 $25,000 $10.32 43d 1 1.01mi
70 Tanners Neck Ln Westhampton, NY 4.0 3.5 2100 $20,000 $9.52 43d 1 1.36mi
20 Jennifers Path Westhampton Beach, NY 4.0 3.5 3000 $20,000 $6.67 22d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 184 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 183 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 182 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 181 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 179 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 175 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 174 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 170 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 169 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 168 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $2,369,999 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-03-12
    price $2,369,999 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    Beautifully renovated in 2023, this traditional Hamptons-style three-bedroom, three-bath ranch offers 2,590 square feet of refined single-level living in Westhampton Beach. Timeless design elements and light-filled interiors create a relaxed yet elegant atmosphere throughout the home. The generous floor plan flows effortlessly, featuring inviting living areas, thoughtfully updated bathrooms, and a primary bedroom with a spacious closet. Outdoors, the backyard features an in-ground pool and a separate shed, providing both enjoyment and convenient storage. This move-in-ready residence captures classic Hamptons charm and comfort, ideal for year-round living or a peaceful coastal retreat.

  15. 2026-01-07
    listed $45,000
  16. 2025-12-16
    listed $2,500,000 Active 693-char remark
    Show marketing remark (693 chars)

    Beautifully renovated in 2023, this traditional Hamptons-style three-bedroom, three-bath ranch offers 2,590 square feet of refined single-level living in Westhampton Beach. Timeless design elements and light-filled interiors create a relaxed yet elegant atmosphere throughout the home. The generous floor plan flows effortlessly, featuring inviting living areas, thoughtfully updated bathrooms, and a primary bedroom with a spacious closet. Outdoors, the backyard features an in-ground pool and a separate shed, providing both enjoyment and convenient storage. This move-in-ready residence captures classic Hamptons charm and comfort, ideal for year-round living or a peaceful coastal retreat.

  17. 2025-02-20
    historical $40,000
  18. 2025-01-01
    historical
  19. 2024-12-06
    listed $40,000
  20. 2024-09-03
    historical $40,000
  21. 2024-07-21
    price $40,000
  22. 2024-05-16
    listed $42,000
  23. 2024-05-09
    listed $2,350,000 Active
  24. 2024-05-02
    historical
  25. 2024-03-13
    price $2,350,000
  26. 2023-10-11
    price $2,499,999
  27. 2023-06-16
    price $2,850,000
  28. 2023-05-17
    listed $2,999,999 Active
  29. 2022-06-08
    soldstatus $999,999 Closed
  30. 2022-02-18
    status Pending
  31. 2021-11-09
    status Active
  32. 2021-11-02
    historical
  33. 2021-10-06
    listed $1,100,000 Active
  34. 2021-10-01
    historical $1,100,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥90°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$229,545
− Mortgage interest
−$132,757
− Property taxes
−$35,550
− Insurance
−$11,850
− Repairs & maintenance
−$18,364
− Management
−$18,364
− Depreciation
−$68,945
Taxable loss
−$56,284
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$13,508
After-tax cash flow
$-1,693/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Westhampton Beach Union Free School District
NCES district ID
3631020
Math proficiency
72% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
75% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$88,137
Composite
65.91/100
National rank
#444
State rank
#81 of 590 in NY

Livability — Westhampton Beach

Score
64/100
State rank
#740
US rank
#14093

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing C Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westhampton Beach, NY
County
Suffolk County · 679,920 people
City population
4,705
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
4,705
Household income
$125,179
Rent vs Own
11.8% rent · 88.2% own
Severe rent burden
43.0

Population outlook (Suffolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,505,262 people
By 2030
1,498,318 · -0.5%
By 2040
1,471,101 · -2.3%
By 2050
1,424,848 · -5.3%
By 2075
1,337,157 · -11.2%
By 2100
1,217,720 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Scotch-Irish 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Suffolk

2024 margin
Lean R (+10.0) · D 45.0% · R 55.0%
2008→2024 swing
-16.0pp toward R · 2008: 6.0pp · 2024: -10.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.0 2020: R+0.0 2016: R+8.2 2012: D+2.9 2008: D+6.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.02%
Current HPI
460.3964
Rent YoY
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+115.5% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $2,369,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-07 Listed for Rent $45,000 ONEKEY
  • 2025-12-16 Listed $2,500,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-20 Rental Removed $40,000 ONEKEY
  • 2025-01-01 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-06 Listed for Rent $40,000 ONEKEY
  • 2024-09-03 Rental Removed $40,000 ONEKEY
  • 2024-07-21 Price Changed $40,000 ONEKEY
  • 2024-05-16 Listed for Rent $42,000 ONEKEY
  • 2024-05-09 Listed $2,350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-05-02 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-03-13 Price Changed $2,350,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-10-11 Price Changed $2,499,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-06-16 Price Changed $2,850,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2023-05-17 Listed $2,999,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-08 Sold (MLS) $999,999 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-18 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-09 Relisted OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-11-02 Listing Removed OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-06 Listed $1,100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-01 Coming Soon $1,100,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,869 · +34.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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