1436 S Keeler Ave · Bartlesville, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +12.5/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$132,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c
Key facts
- Remodeled gem
- Modern upgrades
- Brand new roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (4.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $117k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
- Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $14k of equity ($916 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $132k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 8.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.87%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $149,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1436 S Keeler Ave | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 1,434 (0%) | 1mo | $132,000 | $92 | 99 |
| 1325 S Dewey Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 | 1,484 (+4%) | 4mo | $43,000 | $29 | 79 |
| 304 E 14th St | 0.26mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (-7%) | 2mo | $44,500 | $33 | 73 |
| 1705 S Johnstone Ave | 0.28mi | 3/1.0 | 1,592 (+11%) | 0mo | $198,000 | $124 | 68 |
| 1801 S Santa Fe Ave | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,362 (-5%) | 2mo | $160,000 | $117 | 65 |
| 1326 S Armstrong Ave | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 6mo | $104,166 | $85 | 61 |
| 1522 Colorado Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,344 (-6%) | 0mo | $140,000 | $104 | 59 |
| 616 E 13th St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 | 1,367 (-5%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $113 | 58 |
| 2008 S Dewey Ave | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,408 (-2%) | 6mo | $149,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 1628 S Dewey Ave | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,647 (+15%) | 0mo | $95,000 | $58 | 53 |
| 1643 S Oak Ave | 0.49mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-10%) | 3mo | $137,500 | $106 | 50 |
| 812 SE Delaware | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 | 1,636 (+14%) | 3mo | $99,900 | $61 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $85,623
- Equity at exit
- $119,366
- IRR
- 25.4%
- Equity multiple
- 7.51×
- Total profit
- $241,394
- Equity at exit
- $257,418
Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74003
- Home prices YoY
- 5.0%
- Active inventory
- 137
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,264 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$695
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $438/yr
- Insurance
- −$55
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$266
- Net cashflow
- $212
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,125
- Closing costs
- $3,975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 821 S Johnstone Ave Bartlesville, OK | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 888 | $1,521 | $1.71 | 23d | 1 | 0.56mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-20price $132,500
-
2026-04-07price $135,000
-
2026-03-12price $137,500
-
2026-03-02status Active
-
2026-02-23status Pending
-
2026-02-14price $139,500
-
2026-01-05price $145,000
-
2025-12-10price $150,000
-
2025-10-21price $155,000
-
2025-10-02$160,000 Active
-
2025-05-28soldstatus $49,500
-
2025-05-23soldstatus $49,500 Closed 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c
-
2025-05-02status Pending 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c
-
2025-04-23price $65,000 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c
-
2025-04-08$80,000 Active 201-char remark
Show marketing remark (201 chars)
Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c
-
2003-05-02soldstatus $23,000
-
2002-09-01historical
-
2002-03-05$35,000
-
2001-10-20historical
-
2001-04-20$35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $438 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,192 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$754/yr (+$63/mo · 172.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,172
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,422
- − Property taxes
- −$438
- − Insurance
- −$662
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,214
- − Management
- −$1,214
- − Depreciation
- −$3,855
- Taxable income
- $368
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$88
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,459/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bartlesville
- NCES district ID
- 4003630
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,889
- Composite
- 25.69/100
- National rank
- #7389
- State rank
- #59 of 270 in OK
Livability — Bartlesville
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #175
- US rank
- #13940
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bartlesville, OK
- County
- Washington County · 41,935 people
- City population
- 41,935
- Metro
- Bartlesville, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,024
- Household income
- $47,168
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 395.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 54,946 people
- By 2030
- 56,249 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 58,867 · +7.1%
- By 2050
- 61,600 · +12.1%
- By 2075
- 69,355 · +26.2%
- By 2100
- 73,067 · +33.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.0% · R 72.7% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.1pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -47.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.6 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+44.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.78%
- Current HPI
- 309.9534
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Bartlesville, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+278.6% since first listed21 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $132,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $135,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $137,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-03-02 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-23 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $139,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-12-10 Price Changed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-10-02 Listed $160,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
- 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $49,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-02 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-23 Price Changed $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-08 Listed $80,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2003-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
- 2002-09-01 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2002-03-05 Listed $35,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-10-20 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2001-04-20 Listed $35,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
Property tax history
+0.9%/yrLatest (2025): $438 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…