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1436 S Keeler Ave
B- Composite 66.94
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +12.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$132,500

1436 S Keeler Ave · Bartlesville, OK 74003
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,434 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 200 Days on market
Built 1925 7,650 sqft lot Est $149k · 11% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c

Key facts

  • Remodeled gem
  • Modern upgrades
  • Brand new roof

Tags

REMODELED GEMMODERN UPGRADESREAL WOOD FLOORSGRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESBRAND NEW ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $132k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $212 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (4.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $117k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.7% in Bartlesville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#175 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime D+.
  • Bartlesville (town): math 30% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #59 of 270 in OK (top 22%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 137 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 46 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($916 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Washington County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $37k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 200 days — a 12% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (17%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $132k implies a 168% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $116,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 200 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
8.22%
Cash-on-cash
6.87%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,136
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1436 S Keeler Ave 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,434 (0%) 1mo $132,000 $92 99
1325 S Dewey Ave 0.21mi 3/1.5 1,484 (+4%) 4mo $43,000 $29 79
304 E 14th St 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,336 (-7%) 2mo $44,500 $33 73
1705 S Johnstone Ave 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,592 (+11%) 0mo $198,000 $124 68
1801 S Santa Fe Ave 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,362 (-5%) 2mo $160,000 $117 65
1326 S Armstrong Ave 0.24mi 3/1.0 1,232 (-14%) 6mo $104,166 $85 61
1522 Colorado Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,344 (-6%) 0mo $140,000 $104 59
616 E 13th St 0.60mi 3/2.0 1,367 (-5%) 2mo $154,000 $113 58
2008 S Dewey Ave 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,408 (-2%) 6mo $149,000 $106 57
1628 S Dewey Ave 0.27mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,647 (+15%) 0mo $95,000 $58 53
1643 S Oak Ave 0.49mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,296 (-10%) 3mo $137,500 $106 50
812 SE Delaware 0.64mi 3/2.0 1,636 (+14%) 3mo $99,900 $61 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
3.31×
Total profit
$85,623
Equity at exit
$119,366
10-year hold
IRR
25.4%
Equity multiple
7.51×
Total profit
$241,394
Equity at exit
$257,418

Cash invested: $37,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 74003

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
137
Price-to-rent
8.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,264 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$695
Tax from tax record
$36 /mo · $438/yr
Insurance
$55
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$266
Net cashflow
$212

Break-even live

Break-even rent $996
Max offer price $132,500
Occupancy floor 78%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,125
Closing costs
$3,975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
821 S Johnstone Ave Bartlesville, OK 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 888 $1,521 $1.71 23d 1 0.56mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-20
    price $132,500
  3. 2026-04-07
    price $135,000
  4. 2026-03-12
    price $137,500
  5. 2026-03-02
    status Active
  6. 2026-02-23
    status Pending
  7. 2026-02-14
    price $139,500
  8. 2026-01-05
    price $145,000
  9. 2025-12-10
    price $150,000
  10. 2025-10-21
    price $155,000
  11. 2025-10-02
    listed $160,000 Active
  12. 2025-05-28
    soldstatus $49,500
  13. 2025-05-23
    soldstatus $49,500 Closed 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c

  14. 2025-05-02
    status Pending 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c

  15. 2025-04-23
    price $65,000 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c

  16. 2025-04-08
    listed $80,000 Active 201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (201 chars)

    Craftsman style home on a corner lot ! Lots of newer vinyl windows, hardwood flooring, 3 beds and 1 bath. The home has a chain link fenced back yard and detached 2 car garage. Wall heat and window A/c

  17. 2003-05-02
    soldstatus $23,000
  18. 2002-09-01
    historical
  19. 2002-03-05
    listed $35,000
  20. 2001-10-20
    historical
  21. 2001-04-20
    listed $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$438 · $36/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,192 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$754/yr (+$63/mo · 172.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,172
− Mortgage interest
−$7,422
− Property taxes
−$438
− Insurance
−$662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,214
− Management
−$1,214
− Depreciation
−$3,855
Taxable income
$368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$88
After-tax cash flow
$2,459/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bartlesville
NCES district ID
4003630
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$48,889
Composite
25.69/100
National rank
#7389
State rank
#59 of 270 in OK

Livability — Bartlesville

Score
64/100
State rank
#175
US rank
#13940

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bartlesville, OK
County
Washington County · 41,935 people
City population
41,935
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
Population (ZIP)
14,024
Household income
$47,168
Rent vs Own
41.3% rent · 58.7% own
Severe rent burden
395.0

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
54,946 people
By 2030
56,249 · +2.4%
By 2040
58,867 · +7.1%
By 2050
61,600 · +12.1%
By 2075
69,355 · +26.2%
By 2100
73,067 · +33.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 7% Black 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.6) · D 25.0% · R 72.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.1pp toward R · 2008: -44.6pp · 2024: -47.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.6 2020: R+48.0 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+47.8 2008: R+44.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.78%
Current HPI
309.9534
Rent YoY
Metro
Bartlesville, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+278.6% since first listed
21 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $132,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $135,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-12 Price Changed $137,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-03-02 Relisted MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-23 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-02-14 Price Changed $139,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2026-01-05 Price Changed $145,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-12-10 Price Changed $150,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-21 Price Changed $155,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-10-02 Listed $160,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-28 Sold (Public Records) $49,500 Public Records
  • 2025-05-23 Sold (MLS) $49,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-05-02 Pending MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-23 Price Changed $65,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $80,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2003-05-02 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
  • 2002-09-01 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2002-03-05 Listed $35,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2001-10-20 Listing Removed MLS Technology, Inc.
  • 2001-04-20 Listed $35,000 MLS Technology, Inc.

Property tax history

+0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $438 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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