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2630 Prison Camp Rd
B- Composite 65.61
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.3/30.0
  • DSCR +8.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0

$89,000

2630 Prison Camp Rd · Williamston, NC 27892
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 94 Days on market
Built 1960 0.50 ac lot ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Unleash the potential of this charming three-bedroom home, ideally located within walking distance of the Senator Bob Martin Eastern Agricultural Center! Imagine transforming this property into a delightful Bed and Breakfast with a creative renovation or turning it into an attractive rental for additional income. Alternatively, you can make it your own and enjoy a cozy, welcoming place to call home. The expansive 1,200 sq. ft. shop area in the back opens the door to endless possibilities--think workshops, studios, or additional living space! Don't miss the opportunity to explore all that this property has to offer. Schedule a visit today and envision the future!

Key facts

  • 0.5 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1960

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.5 acre (120' x 184'); Road frontage on city street and state road; Zoned residential; Other structures: see remarks
  • HOA & community: No association amenities

Exterior

  • Parking: 1 total parking space; 1-car garage; Carport (listed); Unpaved parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank; Water available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and frame construction; Shingle roof; Brick/mortar and block foundation; Built as a single-story home
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s); Barn(s); Storage; Workshop; Has view; No pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: No built-in appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 6 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Propane heating; Heat pump; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Storm windows; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $89k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $203 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $81k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.6% in Williamston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 58/100 on livability (#584 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Martin County Schools (rural): math 24% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #150 of 178 in NC (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Williamston Primary (368 students, 99% FRL); Riverside Middle (math 18% / reading 33%, grade F, #388 of 475 statewide, top 83%, 364 students, 99% FRL); Riverside High (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #459 of 535 statewide, top 87%, 447 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 62% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 73 active listings in the ZIP.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($615 loan paydown + $5k appreciation (5.1% local appreciation)).
  • Martin County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 94 days — a 9% lower offer ($81k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $80,990 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 94 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
9.03%
Cash-on-cash
9.77%
DSCR
1.43
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.13% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.5%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$34,080
Equity at exit
$51,112
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
4.68×
Total profit
$91,607
Equity at exit
$88,778

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27892

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
73
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,031 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,295/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$203

Break-even live

Break-even rent $774
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $253 -5% $228 +0% $203 +5% $178 +10% $152
Rent -10% $121 -5% $162 +0% $203 +5% $244 +10% $284
Rate -1.0pp $248 -0.5pp $225 base $203 +0.5pp $180 +1.0pp $156

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $89,000 Active 94 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $89,000 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 90 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 89 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 88 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 86 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $89,000 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 82 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 81 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 80 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 76 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 75 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 74 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 73 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 72 DOM
  17. 2026-05-05
    price $89,000
  18. 2026-04-29
    status Active
  19. 2026-03-31
    historical Active Under Contract
  20. 2026-03-19
    listed $99,000 Active
  21. 2025-08-26
    historical
  22. 2025-06-15
    historical
  23. 2025-05-06
    price $148,000
  24. 2024-07-23
    price $149,000
  25. 2024-07-01
    price $159,000
  26. 2024-06-14
    listed $120,000 Active
  27. 2024-06-14
    listed $169,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,295 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,295 · $108/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,373
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,295
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$990
− Management
−$990
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$1,079
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$259
After-tax cash flow
$2,175/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Martin County Schools
NCES district ID
3702880
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$35,403
Composite
23.94/100
National rank
#7781
State rank
#150 of 178 in NC

Livability — Williamston

Score
58/100
State rank
#584
US rank
#21504

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,387

Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,018 people
By 2030
19,693 · -6.3%
By 2040
16,793 · -20.1%
By 2050
14,171 · -32.6%
By 2075
9,804 · -53.4%
By 2100
6,894 · -67.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 38% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Serbian 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Martin

2024 margin
R (+10.3) · D 44.6% · R 54.9%
2008→2024 swing
-15.0pp toward R · 2008: 4.6pp · 2024: -10.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+10.3 2020: R+5.0 2016: R+0.5 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+4.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.13%
Current HPI
178.4817
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.8% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Price Changed $89,000 Hive MLS
  • 2026-04-29 Relisted Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Contingent Hive MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Listed $99,000 Hive MLS
  • 2025-08-26 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-06-15 Listing Removed Hive MLS
  • 2025-05-06 Price Changed $148,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-07-23 Price Changed $149,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-07-01 Price Changed $159,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-06-14 Listed $169,000 Hive MLS
  • 2024-06-14 Listed $120,000 Hive MLS

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,295 · +110.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…