1747 Pole Bridge Rd · Avon, NY 14414

$50,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,150 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1956 0.90 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.5/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Calling all investors, renovators, and HGTV enthusiasts! This 3-bedroom home offers a spacious backyard and plenty of potential for someone ready to roll up their sleeves and bring new life to a property with great bones. The walls, floors, and ceilings appear to be in good condition, providing a solid starting point for your vision. Let's be upfront—this home needs a renovation. There is currently water in the basement, so you may want to put your wellies on before heading downstairs! The electric is off, the home is serviced by a fuse panel that will to need updating, and the condition of the furnace, hot water heater, and other mechanical systems is unknown. What you see is what yo

Key facts

• Spacious backyard
• Good condition walls
• 0.9 acre lot

Tags

• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• GOOD CONDITION WALLS
• GOOD CONDITION FLOORS
• GOOD CONDITION CEILINGS

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage; 1 garage space
• Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Septic tank
• Home design: Single-story home; Existing property condition
• Construction: Brick and composite siding exterior; Asphalt roof; Block foundation; Built as existing structure
• Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Rectangular residential lot; Road frontage on a city street

Interior

• Kitchen: Electric cooktop; Refrigerator
• Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
• Flooring: Carpet; Varied flooring
• Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present (see remarks)
• Interior features: Entrance foyer; Eat-in kitchen; Separate formal living room; Full basement
• Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Water heater

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $811 ($10k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads 72/100 on livability (#373 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Avon Central School District (town): math 53% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #349 of 590 in NY (top 59%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 86 units permitted in Livingston County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Livingston County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $50,000

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.93% ✓
• Cap rate: 25.76%
• Cash-on-cash: 69.52%
• DSCR: 4.09
• GRM: 2.8

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $247,250
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
126 High St	0.73mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,092 (-5%)	3mo	$235,000	$215	50
50 Temple St	0.72mi	3/2.0	1,259 (+10%)	1mo	$257,000	$204	45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 69.0%
• Equity multiple: 4.11×
• Total profit: $43,574
• Equity at exit: $7,455

10-year hold

• IRR: 73.1%
• Equity multiple: 8.47×
• Total profit: $104,547
• Equity at exit: $4,323

Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 14414

• Home prices YoY: -14.1%
• Active inventory: 37
• Price-to-rent: 2.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,464 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$262
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$62 /mo · $750/yr
• Insurance: −$21
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$307
• Net cashflow: $811

Break-even live

Break-even rent $437

Max offer price $50,000

Occupancy floor 40%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $12,500
• Closing costs: $1,500
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
146 Sackett Rd Unit RD10 Avon, NY	2.0	1.0	700	$1,200	$1.71	2d	1	1.08mi
148 Sackett Rd Unit RD05 Avon, NY	2.0	1.0	750	$1,200	$1.60	2d	1	1.09mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-17
   remarks 693-char remark
2. 2026-06-17
   listed $50,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,568
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,801
• − Property taxes: −$750
• − Insurance: −$250
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,405
• − Management: −$1,405
• − Depreciation: −$1,455
• Taxable income: $9,502
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$2,280
• After-tax cash flow: $7,452/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Avon Central School District
• NCES district ID: 3603660
• Math proficiency: 53% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 50% ▲ 12.00%
• Median HH income: $55,407
• Composite: 44.56/100
• National rank: #2786
• State rank: #349 of 590 in NY

Livability — Avon

• Score: 72/100
• State rank: #373
• US rank: #6426

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A- Crime B+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Livingston County · 6,576 people
• City population: 6,576
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• Population (ZIP): 6,576
• Household income: $72,006
• Rent vs Own: 27.5% rent · 72.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 100.0

Population outlook (Livingston County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 63,466 people
• By 2030: 61,966 · -2.4%
• By 2040: 58,398 · -8.0%
• By 2050: 54,955 · -13.4%
• By 2075: 49,958 · -21.3%
• By 2100: 43,944 · -30.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (92%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 92% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 6% Italian 4% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · China, Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Livingston

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+21.4) · D 39.3% · R 60.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -13.6pp toward R · 2008: -7.9pp · 2024: -21.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+21.4 2020: R+18.2 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+9.4 2008: R+7.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -40.57%
• Current HPI: 247.7027
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Rochester, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-17 Listed $50,000 UNYREIS

Property tax history

-6.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,193 · +0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.