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1 W Caribbean
B+ Composite 77.96
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$74,000

1 W Caribbean · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Manufactured · 82 Days on market
Built 1980 Good condition Est $133k · 44% under $2/mo HOA ↓ 13% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home has it all. Located in the active over 55+ community of Spanish Lakes Golf Village. This home has 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, a beautiful Florida room that over looks the pond. An covered front porch that is perfect for relaxing and entertaining. This home is turn key and ready for it's next owner(s). New roof and new AC are key features. Enjoy a wealth of amenities including a free 9 hole golf course, year round heated swimming pool. shuffle board, tennis, billiards, a workout room, sauna, library, clubhouse and many monthly activities. Lot rent is 1,093.76, that includes your lawn care and trash removal. Don't miss out on this one!

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1980

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Senior community; Pets allowed with restrictions (cats ok, breed restrictions)
  • Financial info: Land lease in place (monthly payment, lease expires 2026-06-30)
  • HOA & community: Has association; Association amenities include clubhouse, pool (heated), fitness center, spa/hot tub, sauna, tennis courts, shuffleboard, bocce ball, billiard/game rooms, library, dog park, golf course, bike storage, community room, management/manager on site, street lights; Association fee applies (annual)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; 2 covered/carport spaces; Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected; Cable available
  • Home design: Mobile home (double wide, modular); One story; Faces south; East of US-1 road frontage
  • Construction: Modular construction; Double wide; Shingle roof; No foundation (skirt: other); Mobile length 52'
  • Exterior features: Open patio; Open porch; Deck; Patio; Porch; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Walk-in closet(s); Partially furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $74k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $74k).
  • Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.8% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 646 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $512 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 82 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,560 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 82 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.62%
Cap rate
22.85%
Cash-on-cash
59.12%
DSCR
3.63
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$133,000
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
110 W Caribbean 0.20mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+1%) 5mo $77,500 $55 84
192 W Caribbean 0.39mi 2/2.0 1,416 (+1%) 6mo $49,000 $35 75
166 W West Caribbean 0.32mi 2/2.0 1,450 (+4%) 14mo $38,000 $26 67
8526 Lidflower Ct 0.44mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,404 (+0%) 6mo $70,900 $50 67
7 Giralda 0.21mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-14%) 4mo $21,000 $18 63
8394 Delphinium Ct 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,392 (-1%) 4mo $220,000 $158 59
10 Padre 0.54mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-9%) 4mo $38,000 $30 57
2948 Fiddlewood Cir 0.63mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-9%) 1mo $122,000 $95 55
8522 Leadtree Ct 0.44mi 2/2.0 1,550 (+11%) 15mo $245,000 $158 49
8504 Gallberry Cir 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,264 (-10%) 4mo $178,000 $141 48
3033 Satinleaf Ln 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,248 (-11%) 4mo $195,000 $156 46
3776 Satinwood Ct 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,284 (-8%) 11mo $175,000 $136 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
56.5%
Equity multiple
3.46×
Total profit
$50,966
Equity at exit
$11,034
10-year hold
IRR
61.1%
Equity multiple
6.78×
Total profit
$119,838
Equity at exit
$6,398

Cash invested: $20,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
646
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,942 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$388
Tax est. 1.5%
$92 /mo · $1,110/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$2
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$408
Net cashflow
$1,021

Break-even live

Break-even rent $650
Max offer price $74,000
Occupancy floor 42%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,072 -5% $1,046 +0% $1,021 +5% $995 +10% $970
Rent -10% $867 -5% $944 +0% $1,021 +5% $1,097 +10% $1,174
Rate -1.0pp $1,058 -0.5pp $1,040 base $1,021 +0.5pp $1,002 +1.0pp $982

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,500
Closing costs
$2,220
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 24d 1 0.08mi
1811 SE Walton Lakes Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0–2.0 1117 $1,926 $1.72 15d 6 0.31mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 15d 7 0.38mi
2082 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1524 $1,850 $1.21 24d 1 0.55mi
2058 SE Wild Meadow Cir #101 Port St Lucie, FL 2.0 2.5 1425 $2,200 $1.54 15d 1 0.57mi
1131 SE Parrish Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 1.0 902 $2,000 $2.22 24d 1 0.64mi
2183 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1550 $1,900 $1.23 15d 1 0.66mi
2130 SE Wild Meadow Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 15d 1 0.66mi
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 15d 15 0.72mi
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,300 $2.05 24d 1 0.76mi
1455 SE Colchester Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 921 $1,795 $1.95 15d 1 0.80mi
1516 SE Royal Green Cir #202 Port St Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 921 $2,100 $2.28 24d 1 0.83mi
1520 SE Royal Green Cir Unit K-203 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,800 $2.03 24d 1 0.85mi
2209 SE East Dunbrooke Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1212 $2,950 $2.43 15d 1 0.86mi
1500 SE Tiffany Club Pl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 895 $1,922 $2.15 15d 7 0.95mi
1537 SE Royal Green Cir Unit E204 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,750 $1.98 15d 1 0.96mi
1548 SE Royal Green Cir Unit M-103 Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 886 $1,800 $2.03 24d 1 1.03mi
1618 SE Elkhart Ter Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 2.0 1176 $2,200 $1.87 24d 1 1.07mi
1350 SE La Haven Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1041 $2,100 $2.02 24d 1 1.35mi
1456 SE Rivergreen Cir Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 921 $1,825 $1.98 15d 1 1.36mi
9905 S US Highway 1 Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 966 $2,239 $2.32 15d 15 1.42mi
2051 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1014 $2,539 $2.50 24d 15 1.44mi
1900 SE Hillmoor Dr Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0–3.0 2.0–2.5 1182 $1,799 $1.52 15d 14 1.44mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$2 · $24/yr
Likely covers
trashlandscapingpool

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $74,000 Active 82 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $74,000 Active 79 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $74,000 Active 78 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $74,000 Active 77 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $74,000 Active 76 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $74,000 Active 74 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $74,000 Active 73 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $74,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $74,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $74,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $74,000 Active 68 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $74,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $74,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $74,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $74,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $74,000 Active 61 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $74,000 Active 60 DOM
  18. 2026-04-01
    price $74,000
  19. 2026-03-31
    listed $85,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,304
− Mortgage interest
−$4,145
− Property taxes
−$1,110
− Insurance
−$370
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,864
− Management
−$1,864
− HOA
−$24
− Depreciation
−$2,153
Taxable income
$11,774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,826
After-tax cash flow
$9,424/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This home is in good condition with cosmetic updates needed. It's move-in ready with a new roof and AC, and is located in a desirable community with amenities.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
  • Minor Bathroom tiles — Some wear

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn bathroom tiles — Fresh tiles improve functionality and aesthetics

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance Minor $500–3,000
Bathroom tiles · Some wear Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
  • Both Replace worn bathroom tiles — Fresh tiles improve functionality and aesthetics

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
Port St. Lucie, FL
County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $74,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-03-31 Listed $85,000 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…