Triplex
21-23 Hebron St · Hartford, CT
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $829 – $1,539
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.9/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +9.9/10.0
- 1% rule +7.5/10.0
- ARV discount +5.4/15.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
$449,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Three family with two bedroom apartments including attic apartment. Natural gas heating system, vinyl siding, large back yard, electrical circuit breakers makes this property a gem for owner occupied investment. It also would make a good investment for investors and could pass all types of financing.
Key facts
- Large back yard
- Vinyl siding
- 6,969 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Assessed value listed
Exterior
- Parking: Off-street parking; 6 total parking spaces
- Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; 30-gallon hot water tank; Gas available in street
- Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
- Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built as a multi-family residence
- Exterior features: City views; Vinyl siding; Tan exterior color
Interior
- Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full basement; Walk-up attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $449k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $463/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $449k).
- Recommended offer: $442k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Stem Magnet At Annie Fisher School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #335 of 553 statewide, top 61%, 344 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 84% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hartford School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $5,634/mo this rent would consume 152% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($442k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $320k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.25% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.26%
- DSCR
- 1.59
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $428,692
- List price
- $449,000
- Delta
- 4.74%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.65×
- Total profit
- $333,079
- Equity at exit
- $404,495
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 8.25×
- Total profit
- $911,400
- Equity at exit
- $872,308
Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Connecticut
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 06112
- Home prices YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 47
- Price-to-rent
- 19.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,634 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,355
- Tax from tax record
- −$520 /mo · $6,239/yr
- Insurance
- −$187
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,183
- Net cashflow
- $1,389
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,643 | -5% $1,516 | +0% $1,389 | +5% $1,262 | +10% $1,135 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $944 | -5% $1,167 | +0% $1,389 | +5% $1,612 | +10% $1,834 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,615 | -0.5pp $1,503 | base $1,389 | +0.5pp $1,273 | +1.0pp $1,155 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 2 | 1 | $5,634 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $1,878 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $1,878 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $1,878 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,634 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $112,250
- Closing costs
- $13,470
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 260-262 Oxford St Fl 1 Hartford, CT | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $3,500 | $1.59 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-06$449,000 Active 301-char remark
-
1986-11-01soldstatus $120,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $6,239 · $520/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $7,924 · $660/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,685/yr (+$140/mo · 27.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $67,608
- − Mortgage interest
- −$25,151
- − Property taxes
- −$6,239
- − Insurance
- −$2,245
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$5,409
- − Management
- −$5,409
- − Depreciation
- −$13,062
- Taxable income
- $10,094
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,423
- After-tax cash flow
- $14,249/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hartford School District
- NCES district ID
- 0901920
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $30,521
- Composite
- 13.54/100
- National rank
- #9514
- State rank
- #150 of 153 in CT
Livability — Hartford
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #58
- US rank
- #3553
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hartford, CT
- County
- Hartford County · 754,208 people
- City population
- 121,162
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,333
- Household income
- $44,460
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1466.0
Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2
- By 2040
- 1,063,519
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Capitol
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.58%
- Current HPI
- 310.7763
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- F500 in state
- 38
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $38B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $71B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 2 | $18B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $247B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $55B |
|
||
Price history
+274.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Pending — Smart MLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $449,000 Smart MLS
- 2026-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
- 1986-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $6,239 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…