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21-23 Hebron St Triplex
B Composite 70.92
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.9/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +9.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.5/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.4/15.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$449,000

21-23 Hebron St · Hartford, CT 06112
5 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,062 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 15 Days on market
Built 1920 6,969 sqft lot $147/sqft · at area comps Est $429k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Three family with two bedroom apartments including attic apartment. Natural gas heating system, vinyl siding, large back yard, electrical circuit breakers makes this property a gem for owner occupied investment. It also would make a good investment for investors and could pass all types of financing.

Key facts

  • Large back yard
  • Vinyl siding
  • 6,969 sq ft lot

Tags

NATURAL GAS HEATING SYSTEMVINYL SIDINGLARGE BACK YARDELECTRICAL CIRCUIT BREAKERS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Assessed value listed

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking; 6 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; 30-gallon hot water tank; Gas available in street
  • Home design: Multi-family property (3-family)
  • Construction: Frame construction; Concrete foundation; Asphalt shingle roof; Built as a multi-family residence
  • Exterior features: City views; Vinyl siding; Tan exterior color

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 6 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Full basement; Walk-up attic

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $449k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive. Per door: $463/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($6k rent vs $449k).
  • Recommended offer: $442k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#58 in CT, #3,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Hartford School District (urban): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #150 of 153 in CT (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 84% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Stem Magnet At Annie Fisher School (math 27% / reading 44%, grade F, #335 of 553 statewide, top 61%, 344 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools average 62% FRL vs 84% district-wide (22 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 36% at this address vs 17% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Hartford School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 47 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,867 units permitted in Capitol Planning Region in 2024 (1,399 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $5,634/mo this rent would consume 152% of the median local household income ($44k/yr) (locally 1466% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $48k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $45k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $126k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$77k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($442k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $320k; 40% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $442,265 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.25%
Cap rate
10.01%
Cash-on-cash
13.26%
DSCR
1.59
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$428,692
List price
$449,000
Delta
4.74%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.0%
Equity multiple
3.65×
Total profit
$333,079
Equity at exit
$404,495
10-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
8.25×
Total profit
$911,400
Equity at exit
$872,308

Cash invested: $125,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06112

Home prices YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
47
Price-to-rent
19.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,634 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,355
Tax from tax record
$520 /mo · $6,239/yr
Insurance
$187
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,183
Net cashflow
$1,389

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,875
Max offer price $449,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,643 -5% $1,516 +0% $1,389 +5% $1,262 +10% $1,135
Rent -10% $944 -5% $1,167 +0% $1,389 +5% $1,612 +10% $1,834
Rate -1.0pp $1,615 -0.5pp $1,503 base $1,389 +0.5pp $1,273 +1.0pp $1,155

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $5,634

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,250
Closing costs
$13,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
260-262 Oxford St Fl 1 Hartford, CT 5.0 2.5 2200 $3,500 $1.59 24d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    listed $449,000 Active 301-char remark
  2. 1986-11-01
    soldstatus $120,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$6,239 · $520/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,924 · $660/mo
Expected delta
+$1,685/yr (+$140/mo · 27.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$67,608
− Mortgage interest
−$25,151
− Property taxes
−$6,239
− Insurance
−$2,245
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,409
− Management
−$5,409
− Depreciation
−$13,062
Taxable income
$10,094
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,423
After-tax cash flow
$14,249/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hartford School District
NCES district ID
0901920
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$30,521
Composite
13.54/100
National rank
#9514
State rank
#150 of 153 in CT

Livability — Hartford

Score
76/100
State rank
#58
US rank
#3553

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment F Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hartford, CT
County
Hartford County · 754,208 people
City population
121,162
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
Population (ZIP)
22,333
Household income
$44,460
Rent vs Own
60.4% rent · 39.6% own
Severe rent burden
1466.0

Population outlook (Capitol County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
1,063,519

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (68%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 68% Hispanic / Latino 19% White 9% Two or more races 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 15% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada
Languages at home
81% English-only · Spanish 14% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Capitol

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.9) · D 60.1% · R 38.2% · Other 1.7%
All cycles
2024: D+21.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.58%
Current HPI
310.7763
Rent YoY
Metro
Hartford-East Hartford-Middletown, CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+274.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $449,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Sold (Public Records) $320,000 Public Records
  • 1986-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $120,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,239 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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