40957 W Shaver Dr · Maricopa, AZ
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $610 – $1,132
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 114°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.4/30.0
- Appreciation +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$254,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable Rancho El Dorado community offers a functional layout with an open-concept design and comfortable living spaces. The kitchen features quartz countertops, white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a large island with breakfast bar seating, and ample storage, all flowing seamlessly into the main living area--ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a dual sink vanity and separate shower. Additional highlights include an interior laundry room and a 2-car garage. The backyard offers a covered patio and open space ready for customization. Rancho El Dorado is known for its golf course, scenic lakes, walking paths, and community parks, with convenient access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
Key facts
- Open-concept design
- Quartz countertops
- Large island
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $255k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-88 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $239k (6.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (18.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (18.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 3.7% in Maricopa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#28 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, employment A-, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Maricopa Unified School District (4441) (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #128 of 249 in AZ (top 51%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 860 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 9,504 units permitted in Pinal County in 2024 (776 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 61 days — a 6% lower offer ($239k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $28k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 61 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.49%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $365,849
- List price
- $254,700
- Delta
- -30.38%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40913 W Sunland Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,592 (+3%) | 2mo | $315,000 | $198 | 90 |
| 41039 W Sunland Dr | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 | 1,614 (+5%) | 2mo | $319,990 | $198 | 87 |
| 40643 W Shaver Dr | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,447 (-6%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $214 | 79 |
| 22727 N Rocco Rd | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,448 (-6%) | 0mo | $295,000 | $204 | 70 |
| 41793 W Sunland Dr | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,481 (-4%) | 3mo | $270,000 | $182 | 68 |
| 22100 N Lynn St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,585 (+3%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $227 | 64 |
| 22040 N Lynn St | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,585 (+3%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $221 | 62 |
| 40410 W Haley Dr | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,721 (+12%) | 2mo | $362,250 | $210 | 61 |
| 40045 W Bunker Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+9%) | 2mo | $378,990 | $226 | 55 |
| 39970 W Placone Ln | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+9%) | 2mo | $369,990 | $220 | 52 |
| 22385 N Rummler Ln | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,680 (+9%) | 3mo | $382,990 | $228 | 50 |
| 40519 W Wade Dr | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,730 (+12%) | 3mo | $375,000 | $217 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.89% appreciation · 1.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.64×
- Total profit
- $-26,019
- Equity at exit
- $62,857
- IRR
- -2.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-17,841
- Equity at exit
- $67,184
Cash invested: $71,316 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arizona
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 85138
- Home prices YoY
- -0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 860
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,071 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,336
- Tax from tax record
- −$192 /mo · $2,303/yr
- Insurance
- −$106
- HOA
- −$91
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $-88
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $-16 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-161 | +10% $-233 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-252 | -5% $-170 | +0% $-88 | +5% $-7 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $40 | -0.5pp $-24 | base $-88 | +0.5pp $-154 | +1.0pp $-222 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $63,675
- Closing costs
- $7,641
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 40871 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $3,000 | $1.67 | 2d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 40643 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $1,595 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 40915 W Agave Rd Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2152 | $2,100 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 22555 N Diamond Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2180 | $2,200 | $1.01 | 11d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 40785 W Agave Rd Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1902 | $1,999 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 40499 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1317 | $1,599 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 22693 N Davis Way Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1281 | $1,399 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 40499 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,695 | $1.17 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 40356 W Shaver Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,775 | $1.13 | 6d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 40322 W Hillman Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1447 | $1,750 | $1.21 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 22463 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1824 | $2,000 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 22499 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2130 | $3,600 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 41793 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1480 | $1,695 | $1.15 | 13d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 41805 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2210 | $1,925 | $0.87 | 6d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 40145 W Hillman Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $1,750 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 41201 W Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1554 | $1,799 | $1.16 | 2d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 40515 W Chambers Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1978 | $1,795 | $0.91 | 15d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 41889 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1857 | $1,845 | $0.99 | 6d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 41298 W Parkhill Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2037 | $2,000 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,850 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 21742 N Bradford Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1651 | $1,775 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 41284 W Cahill Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1356 | $1,750 | $1.29 | 11d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 41192 W Rio Bravo Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1774 | $1,789 | $1.01 | 20d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 22306 N Van Loo Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1918 | $2,100 | $1.09 | 5d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 21657 N Dietz Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2151 | $1,899 | $0.88 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 21552 N Liles Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1470 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 22303 Bishop Dr Unit 1545930P Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,871 | $2.59 | 13d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 21765 N Rummler Ln Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $2,095 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 40040 W Elm Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1598 | $2,050 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 41334 W Hayden Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2150 | $1,689 | $0.79 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 21619 N Van Loo Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1938 | $3,500 | $1.81 | 4d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 42622 W Hillman Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1819 | $2,099 | $1.15 | 17d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 41570 W Dusty Creek Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1568 | $1,750 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 42706 W Hillman Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2185 | $1,855 | $0.85 | 4d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 42780 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $1,700 | $1.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 21110 N Blue Agave Dr Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $1,895 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 40907 W Robbins Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1891 | $1,749 | $0.92 | 22d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 40010 W Thornberry Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2157 | $1,795 | $0.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 39974 W Thornberry Ln Maricopa, AZ | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1466 | $1,900 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 43194 W Sunland Dr Maricopa, AZ | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1937 | $1,850 | $0.96 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $91 · $1,092/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $254,700 Pending 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $254,700 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-04pricedays on market $254,700 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $283,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $283,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $283,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $283,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-08status Active 775-char remark
Show marketing remark (775 chars)
This 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable Rancho El Dorado community offers a functional layout with an open-concept design and comfortable living spaces. The kitchen features quartz countertops, white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a large island with breakfast bar seating, and ample storage, all flowing seamlessly into the main living area--ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a dual sink vanity and separate shower. Additional highlights include an interior laundry room and a 2-car garage. The backyard offers a covered patio and open space ready for customization. Rancho El Dorado is known for its golf course, scenic lakes, walking paths, and community parks, with convenient access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
-
2026-05-06status Pending 775-char remark
Show marketing remark (775 chars)
This 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable Rancho El Dorado community offers a functional layout with an open-concept design and comfortable living spaces. The kitchen features quartz countertops, white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a large island with breakfast bar seating, and ample storage, all flowing seamlessly into the main living area--ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a dual sink vanity and separate shower. Additional highlights include an interior laundry room and a 2-car garage. The backyard offers a covered patio and open space ready for customization. Rancho El Dorado is known for its golf course, scenic lakes, walking paths, and community parks, with convenient access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
-
2026-04-24status Active 775-char remark
Show marketing remark (775 chars)
This 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable Rancho El Dorado community offers a functional layout with an open-concept design and comfortable living spaces. The kitchen features quartz countertops, white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a large island with breakfast bar seating, and ample storage, all flowing seamlessly into the main living area--ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a dual sink vanity and separate shower. Additional highlights include an interior laundry room and a 2-car garage. The backyard offers a covered patio and open space ready for customization. Rancho El Dorado is known for its golf course, scenic lakes, walking paths, and community parks, with convenient access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
-
2026-04-21status Pending 775-char remark
Show marketing remark (775 chars)
This 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable Rancho El Dorado community offers a functional layout with an open-concept design and comfortable living spaces. The kitchen features quartz countertops, white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a large island with breakfast bar seating, and ample storage, all flowing seamlessly into the main living area--ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a dual sink vanity and separate shower. Additional highlights include an interior laundry room and a 2-car garage. The backyard offers a covered patio and open space ready for customization. Rancho El Dorado is known for its golf course, scenic lakes, walking paths, and community parks, with convenient access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
-
2026-04-03$283,000 Active 775-char remark
Show marketing remark (775 chars)
This 3 bed, 2 bath home in the desirable Rancho El Dorado community offers a functional layout with an open-concept design and comfortable living spaces. The kitchen features quartz countertops, white cabinetry, stainless steel appliances, a large island with breakfast bar seating, and ample storage, all flowing seamlessly into the main living area--ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The primary suite includes a dual sink vanity and separate shower. Additional highlights include an interior laundry room and a 2-car garage. The backyard offers a covered patio and open space ready for customization. Rancho El Dorado is known for its golf course, scenic lakes, walking paths, and community parks, with convenient access to shopping, dining, and local amenities.
-
2022-09-21soldstatus $392,325 Closed 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
Estimated Completion Aug / Sept 2022. Puffin floorplan features: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, soaring 10ft Ceilings, Dark Grey Quartz Countertops, Upgraded White Cabinets throughout, Stainless steel Gas Appliances and Tile Flooring in main living space. This home is complete with Smart Home Technology, Front yard landscaping & Blinds. This home is located in the highly desirable Lakes at Rancho el Dorado community.
-
2022-04-17status Pending 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
Estimated Completion Aug / Sept 2022. Puffin floorplan features: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, soaring 10ft Ceilings, Dark Grey Quartz Countertops, Upgraded White Cabinets throughout, Stainless steel Gas Appliances and Tile Flooring in main living space. This home is complete with Smart Home Technology, Front yard landscaping & Blinds. This home is located in the highly desirable Lakes at Rancho el Dorado community.
-
2022-04-09$392,325 Active 419-char remark
Show marketing remark (419 chars)
Estimated Completion Aug / Sept 2022. Puffin floorplan features: 3 bedrooms, 2 baths, soaring 10ft Ceilings, Dark Grey Quartz Countertops, Upgraded White Cabinets throughout, Stainless steel Gas Appliances and Tile Flooring in main living space. This home is complete with Smart Home Technology, Front yard landscaping & Blinds. This home is located in the highly desirable Lakes at Rancho el Dorado community.
-
2020-07-02soldstatus $8,694,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,303 · $192/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,303 · $192/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,267
- − Property taxes
- −$2,303
- − Insurance
- −$1,274
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,988
- − Management
- −$1,988
- − HOA
- −$1,092
- − Depreciation
- −$7,409
- Taxable loss
- −$5,467
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,312
- After-tax cash flow
- $251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maricopa Unified School District (4441)
- NCES district ID
- 0404720
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -18.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,725
- Composite
- 22.92/100
- National rank
- #7993
- State rank
- #128 of 249 in AZ
Livability — Maricopa
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #5943
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maricopa, AZ
- County
- Pinal County · 399,947 people
- City population
- 76,044
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,260
- Household income
- $95,867
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 432.0
Population outlook (Pinal County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 437,574 people
- By 2030
- 446,903 · +2.1%
- By 2040
- 452,589 · +3.4%
- By 2050
- 444,126 · +1.5%
- By 2075
- 430,300 · -1.7%
- By 2100
- 393,536 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Hispanic / Latino 30% Two or more races 17% Black 13% Native American 3% Asian 3% Pacific Islander 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pinal
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+22.1) · D 38.5% · R 60.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.5pp · 2024: -22.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+22.1 2020: R+17.3 2016: R+19.3 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+14.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.89%
- Current HPI
- 258.1461
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.78%
- Metro
- Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.54%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 2 | $13B |
|
||
| Mining / Metals | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Environmental Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $9B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $8B |
|
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Price history
-96.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-04-24 Relisted — ARMLS
- 2026-04-21 Pending — ARMLS
- 2026-04-03 Listed $283,000 ARMLS
- 2022-09-21 Sold (MLS) $392,325 ARMLS
- 2022-04-17 Pending — ARMLS
- 2022-04-09 Listed $392,325 ARMLS
- 2020-07-02 Sold (Public Records) $8,694,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+46.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,303 · +3.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…