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2391 E 3rd St Fourplex
C- Composite 51.7
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$1,520,000

2391 E 3rd St · New York, NY 11223
8 bd · 4.0 ba · 4,080 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 304 Days on market
Built 1950 2,000 sqft lot Est $1493k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

WHOLE HOUSE OCCUPIED BUY TENANTS. CALL BROKER FOR SPECIAL SHOW INSTRUCTION.

Key facts

  • Renovated kitchens
  • High ceilings
  • Oversized windows

Tags

BRICK 4-FAMILY RESIDENCEPRIVATE PARKING SPACEHIGH CEILINGSOVERSIZED WINDOWSGLEAMING HARDWOOD FLOORSRENOVATED KITCHENS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property located in Brooklyn
  • Financial info: Financing considered: exchange, bank mortgage, or cash; Rent income reported; Utility expense: 500.00

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 parking space
  • Utilities: Electric: other; Hot water: gas; Heating fuel: gas
  • Home design: Semi-detached building; Residential property; Building footprint approximately 1,360; Building dimensions about 68.00 x 20.00
  • Construction: Brick construction; Other roof (see remarks); Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard; Side yard; Storage rooms (building)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on level 1; 4 bedrooms on level 2; 2 bedrooms on level 3; 2 bedrooms on level 4
  • Flooring: Tile floors
  • Bathrooms: 4 full baths total; 1 full bath on level 1; 1 full bath on level 2; 2 full baths on level 3
  • Heating & cooling: Gas hot water; Gas heating fuel; Heat delivery: Other; 4 AC units
  • Interior features: Dishwasher; Other interior features; Finished full basement; 4 AC units; Tile floors
  • Laundry & utility: Utility expense listed

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.52M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $377/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.39M (8.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $1.34M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $13,901/mo this rent would consume 263% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 6011% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $426k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.34M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $180k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $742k; list at $1.52M implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $1,337,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.25%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
9.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$1,493,280
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
468 Avenue Y 0.24mi 9/4.0 (+1) 4,452 (+9%) 15mo $1,630,000 $366 56
1602 Avenue V 0.74mi 8/5.0 3,880 (-5%) 5mo $1,920,000 $495 50
2132 E 13th St 0.63mi 7/4.0 (-1) 4,500 (+10%) 4mo $1,500,000 $333 45

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.6%
Equity multiple
0.82×
Total profit
$-77,311
Equity at exit
$226,637
10-year hold
IRR
9.8%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$388,879
Equity at exit
$131,422

Cash invested: $425,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11223

Rents YoY
13.1%
Active inventory
216
Price-to-rent
36.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$13,901 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$7,971
Tax from tax record
$871 /mo · $10,450/yr
Insurance
$633
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$2,919
Net cashflow
$1,507

Break-even live

Break-even rent $11,994
Max offer price $1,520,000
Occupancy floor 84%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $2,367 -5% $1,937 +0% $1,507 +5% $1,076 +10% $646
Rent -10% $408 -5% $957 +0% $1,507 +5% $2,056 +10% $2,605
Rate -1.0pp $2,272 -0.5pp $1,893 base $1,507 +0.5pp $1,113 +1.0pp $712

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $13,901

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$380,000
Closing costs
$45,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-08
    statusdays on market $1,520,000 Pending 304 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $1,520,000 Active 301 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $1,520,000 Active 299 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $1,520,000 Active 298 DOM
  5. 2026-05-06
    price $1,520,000
  6. 2026-04-05
    price $1,579,999
  7. 2025-11-14
    price $1,580,000
  8. 2025-10-20
    price $1,620,000
  9. 2025-08-06
    listed $1,700,000 Active
  10. 2006-07-19
    soldstatus $741,750
  11. 2005-08-12
    listed $789,000 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    WHOLE HOUSE OCCUPIED BUY TENANTS. CALL BROKER FOR SPECIAL SHOW INSTRUCTION.

  12. 2002-04-30
    soldstatus $445,000
  13. 2001-11-15
    listed $479,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$10,450 · $871/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$18,069 · $1,506/mo
Expected delta
+$7,619/yr (+$635/mo · 72.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$166,812
− Mortgage interest
−$85,144
− Property taxes
−$10,450
− Insurance
−$7,600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$13,345
− Management
−$13,345
− Depreciation
−$44,218
Taxable loss
−$7,290
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,750
After-tax cash flow
$19,828/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Kings County · 2,614,986 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
78,093
Household income
$63,368
Rent vs Own
63.9% rent · 36.1% own
Severe rent burden
6011.0

Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,847,441 people
By 2030
2,937,006 · +3.1%
By 2040
3,095,491 · +8.7%
By 2050
3,228,968 · +13.4%
By 2075
3,321,723 · +16.7%
By 2100
3,111,387 · +9.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Asian 26% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
46% · China, Canada, Philippines
Languages at home
41% English-only · Chinese 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Spanish 9%

Political lean MEDSL · Kings

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
2008→2024 swing
-15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -286.92%
Current HPI
430.9891
Rent YoY
▲ 13.09%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+217.3% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $1,520,000 BNYMLS
  • 2026-04-05 Price Changed $1,579,999 BNYMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $1,580,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-10-20 Price Changed $1,620,000 BNYMLS
  • 2025-08-06 Listed $1,700,000 BNYMLS
  • 2006-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $741,750 Public Records
  • 2005-08-12 Listed $789,000 BNYMLS
  • 2002-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $445,000 Public Records
  • 2001-11-15 Listed $479,000 BNYMLS

Property tax history

+5.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $10,450 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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