Fourplex
2391 E 3rd St · New York, NY
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.55%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 72.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.7/30.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- DSCR +5.9/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$1,520,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
WHOLE HOUSE OCCUPIED BUY TENANTS. CALL BROKER FOR SPECIAL SHOW INSTRUCTION.
Key facts
- Renovated kitchens
- High ceilings
- Oversized windows
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property located in Brooklyn
- Financial info: Financing considered: exchange, bank mortgage, or cash; Rent income reported; Utility expense: 500.00
Exterior
- Parking: Carport with 1 parking space
- Utilities: Electric: other; Hot water: gas; Heating fuel: gas
- Home design: Semi-detached building; Residential property; Building footprint approximately 1,360; Building dimensions about 68.00 x 20.00
- Construction: Brick construction; Other roof (see remarks); Other foundation
- Exterior features: Front yard; Back yard; Side yard; Storage rooms (building)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on level 1; 4 bedrooms on level 2; 2 bedrooms on level 3; 2 bedrooms on level 4
- Flooring: Tile floors
- Bathrooms: 4 full baths total; 1 full bath on level 1; 1 full bath on level 2; 2 full baths on level 3
- Heating & cooling: Gas hot water; Gas heating fuel; Heat delivery: Other; 4 AC units
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Other interior features; Finished full basement; 4 AC units; Tile floors
- Laundry & utility: Utility expense listed
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.52M.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($18k/yr) — positive. Per door: $377/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $1.39M (8.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $1.34M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+13.1%/yr); 216 active listings in the ZIP; 10,063 units permitted in Kings County in 2024 (9,789 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $13,901/mo this rent would consume 263% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 6011% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $11k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $46k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kings County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $426k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.34M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 25y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $180k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $742k; list at $1.52M implies a 105% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.25%
- DSCR
- 1.19
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $1,493,280
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 468 Avenue Y | 0.24mi | 9/4.0 (+1) | 4,452 (+9%) | 15mo | $1,630,000 | $366 | 56 |
| 1602 Avenue V | 0.74mi | 8/5.0 | 3,880 (-5%) | 5mo | $1,920,000 | $495 | 50 |
| 2132 E 13th St | 0.63mi | 7/4.0 (-1) | 4,500 (+10%) | 4mo | $1,500,000 | $333 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-77,311
- Equity at exit
- $226,637
- IRR
- 9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $388,879
- Equity at exit
- $131,422
Cash invested: $425,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (CITY)
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City New York
- 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
ZIP-level market 11223
- Rents YoY
- 13.1%
- Active inventory
- 216
- Price-to-rent
- 36.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $13,901 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$7,971
- Tax from tax record
- −$871 /mo · $10,450/yr
- Insurance
- −$633
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$2,919
- Net cashflow
- $1,507
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,367 | -5% $1,937 | +0% $1,507 | +5% $1,076 | +10% $646 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $408 | -5% $957 | +0% $1,507 | +5% $2,056 | +10% $2,605 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,272 | -0.5pp $1,893 | base $1,507 | +0.5pp $1,113 | +1.0pp $712 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 2 | 1 | $13,900 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $3,475 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $3,475 |
| #3 | 2 | 1 | $3,475 |
| #4 | 2 | 1 | $3,475 |
| Total (4 units) | $13,901 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $380,000
- Closing costs
- $45,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $1,520,000 Pending 304 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $1,520,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $1,520,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $1,520,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $1,520,000
-
2026-04-05price $1,579,999
-
2025-11-14price $1,580,000
-
2025-10-20price $1,620,000
-
2025-08-06$1,700,000 Active
-
2006-07-19soldstatus $741,750
-
2005-08-12$789,000 75-char remark
Show marketing remark (75 chars)
WHOLE HOUSE OCCUPIED BUY TENANTS. CALL BROKER FOR SPECIAL SHOW INSTRUCTION.
-
2002-04-30soldstatus $445,000
-
2001-11-15$479,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $10,450 · $871/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $18,069 · $1,506/mo
- Expected delta
- +$7,619/yr (+$635/mo · 72.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 55% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $166,812
- − Mortgage interest
- −$85,144
- − Property taxes
- −$10,450
- − Insurance
- −$7,600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$13,345
- − Management
- −$13,345
- − Depreciation
- −$44,218
- Taxable loss
- −$7,290
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,750
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,828/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — New York
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #268
- US rank
- #4188
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New York, NY
- County
- Kings County · 2,614,986 people
- City population
- 7,731,280
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 78,093
- Household income
- $63,368
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6011.0
Population outlook (Kings County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,847,441 people
- By 2030
- 2,937,006 · +3.1%
- By 2040
- 3,095,491 · +8.7%
- By 2050
- 3,228,968 · +13.4%
- By 2075
- 3,321,723 · +16.7%
- By 2100
- 3,111,387 · +9.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Asian 26% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 4% Subsaharan African 4% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 46% · China, Canada, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 41% English-only · Chinese 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 15% Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Kings
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.0) · D 72.0% · R 28.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.5pp toward R · 2008: 59.4pp · 2024: 44.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.0 2020: D+54.8 2016: D+61.8 2012: D+63.9 2008: D+59.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -286.92%
- Current HPI
- 430.9891
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 13.09%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+217.3% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $1,520,000 BNYMLS
- 2026-04-05 Price Changed $1,579,999 BNYMLS
- 2025-11-14 Price Changed $1,580,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $1,620,000 BNYMLS
- 2025-08-06 Listed $1,700,000 BNYMLS
- 2006-07-19 Sold (Public Records) $741,750 Public Records
- 2005-08-12 Listed $789,000 BNYMLS
- 2002-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $445,000 Public Records
- 2001-11-15 Listed $479,000 BNYMLS
Property tax history
+5.4%/yrLatest (2025): $10,450 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…