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1215 Blue Mountain Cir
C Composite 56.95
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

1215 Blue Mountain Cir · Saylorsburg, PA 18353
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · Manufactured public records · 65 Days on market
Built 2000 $132/sqft · 36% below area Est $220k · 36% under ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

NOTHING TO DO BUT MOVE INTO THIS NEWLY RENOVATED 3-BR, 2-BA 2000 Fleetwood (1,056 sq. ft) ranch home located in the (55+ and older) community of Blue Mountain Village. You'll love the open floor plan allowing you to move freely throughout the home. RECENTLY RENOVATED! NEW Roof, NEW Central Air, NEW Propane Furnace, NEW Hot Water Heater, freshly painted rooms, NEW laminate flooring, NEW vanities, NEW faucets, NEW ceiling fans, just to name a few of the recent improvements! The ultra modern NEW kitchen features new cabinetry, countertops, tile backsplash, stainless appliances and with a center island that seats 2! The rear patio backs up to the woods for privacy! A detached shed and off street parking for 2+ cars! Blue Mountain Village is a 55+ retirement community. Monthly lot rent of $700 includes W/ S, community club house with kitchen for hosting parties & family gatherings, gym & billiard club. Community surrounds a 9 acre catch and release lake. With the exception of the primary bedroom, living room TV and stand home being sold ''FURNISHED''! This home is perfect as a main residence or your private getaway. BUYERS: Please make sure your approved for manufactured home financing . . VA, FHA, USDA or Conventional mortgages will not qualify for these homes. Looking to downsize? This is the Perfect Home! MOTIVATED SELLER! Call Today!

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • New propane furnace
  • New hot water heater

Tags

NEWLY RENOVATEDOPEN FLOOR PLANNEW ROOFNEW CENTRAL AIRNEW PROPANE FURNACENEW HOT WATER HEATER

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $129k (7.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $129k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#627 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Pleasant Valley SD (rural): math 31% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #297 of 539 in PA (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 278 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (52 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 65 days — a 6% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 12 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $128,993 (7.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 65 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 8% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.92%
Cap rate
7.61%
Cash-on-cash
4.71%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
9.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,796
List price
$139,900
Delta
-36.35%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.1%
Equity multiple
0.56×
Total profit
$-17,104
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
-2.9%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,732
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18353

Home prices YoY
-14.0%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
9.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,290 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$73 /mo · $879/yr
Insurance
$58
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$271
Net cashflow
$87

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,179
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 49 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $139,900 Active 65 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,900 Active 64 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,900 Active 63 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,900 Active 62 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,900 Active 61 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,900 Active 59 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $139,900 Active 58 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $143,900 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $143,900 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $143,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $143,900 Active 53 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $143,900 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $143,900 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $143,900 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $143,900 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $143,900 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $143,900 Active 45 DOM
  18. 2026-04-15
    listed $143,900 Active 1366-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    NOTHING TO DO BUT MOVE INTO THIS NEWLY RENOVATED 3-BR, 2-BA 2000 Fleetwood (1,056 sq. ft) ranch home located in the (55+ and older) community of Blue Mountain Village. You'll love the open floor plan allowing you to move freely throughout the home. RECENTLY RENOVATED! NEW Roof, NEW Central Air, NEW Propane Furnace, NEW Hot Water Heater, freshly painted rooms, NEW laminate flooring, NEW vanities, NEW faucets, NEW ceiling fans, just to name a few of the recent improvements! The ultra modern NEW kitchen features new cabinetry, countertops, tile backsplash, stainless appliances and with a center island that seats 2! The rear patio backs up to the woods for privacy! A detached shed and off street parking for 2+ cars! Blue Mountain Village is a 55+ retirement community. Monthly lot rent of $700 includes W/ S, community club house with kitchen for hosting parties & family gatherings, gym & billiard club. Community surrounds a 9 acre catch and release lake. With the exception of the primary bedroom, living room TV and stand home being sold "FURNISHED"! This home is perfect as a main residence or your private getaway. BUYERS: Please make sure your approved for manufactured home financing . . VA, FHA, USDA or Conventional mortgages will not qualify for these homes. Looking to downsize? This is the Perfect Home! MOTIVATED SELLER! Call Today!

  19. 2026-04-15
    listed $143,900 Active 1374-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    NOTHING TO DO BUT MOVE INTO THIS NEWLY RENOVATED 3-BR, 2-BA 2000 Fleetwood (1,056 sq. ft) ranch home located in the (55+ and older) community of Blue Mountain Village. You'll love the open floor plan allowing you to move freely throughout the home. RECENTLY RENOVATED! NEW Roof, NEW Central Air, NEW Propane Furnace, NEW Hot Water Heater, freshly painted rooms, NEW laminate flooring, NEW vanities, NEW faucets, NEW ceiling fans, just to name a few of the recent improvements! The ultra modern NEW kitchen features new cabinetry, countertops, tile backsplash, stainless appliances and with a center island that seats 2! The rear patio backs up to the woods for privacy! A detached shed and off street parking for 2+ cars! Blue Mountain Village is a 55+ retirement community. Monthly lot rent of $700 includes W/ S, community club house with kitchen for hosting parties & family gatherings, gym & billiard club. Community surrounds a 9 acre catch and release lake. With the exception of the primary bedroom, living room TV and stand home being sold "FURNISHED"! This home is perfect as a main residence or your private getaway. BUYERS: Please make sure your approved for manufactured home financing . . VA, FHA, USDA or Conventional mortgages will not qualify for these homes. Looking to downsize? This is the Perfect Home! MOTIVATED SELLER! Call Today!

  20. 2026-04-15
    listed $143,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (1374 chars)

    NOTHING TO DO BUT MOVE INTO THIS NEWLY RENOVATED 3-BR, 2-BA 2000 Fleetwood (1,056 sq. ft) ranch home located in the (55+ and older) community of Blue Mountain Village. You'll love the open floor plan allowing you to move freely throughout the home. RECENTLY RENOVATED! NEW Roof, NEW Central Air, NEW Propane Furnace, NEW Hot Water Heater, freshly painted rooms, NEW laminate flooring, NEW vanities, NEW faucets, NEW ceiling fans, just to name a few of the recent improvements! The ultra modern NEW kitchen features new cabinetry, countertops, tile backsplash, stainless appliances and with a center island that seats 2! The rear patio backs up to the woods for privacy! A detached shed and off street parking for 2+ cars! Blue Mountain Village is a 55+ retirement community. Monthly lot rent of $700 includes W/ S, community club house with kitchen for hosting parties & family gatherings, gym & billiard club. Community surrounds a 9 acre catch and release lake. With the exception of the primary bedroom, living room TV and stand home being sold "FURNISHED"! This home is perfect as a main residence or your private getaway. BUYERS: Please make sure your approved for manufactured home financing . . VA, FHA, USDA or Conventional mortgages will not qualify for these homes. Looking to downsize? This is the Perfect Home! MOTIVATED SELLER! Call Today!

  21. 2026-04-13
    historical
  22. 2026-04-13
    historical
  23. 2026-03-19
    price $143,900
  24. 2026-03-18
    price $143,900
  25. 2026-03-18
    price $143,900
  26. 2026-01-13
    listed $147,000 Active
  27. 2026-01-12
    listed $147,000 Active
  28. 2026-01-09
    listed $147,000 Active
  29. 2025-06-20
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed
  30. 2025-06-20
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed
  31. 2025-06-20
    soldstatus $130,000 Closed
  32. 2025-06-06
    status Pending
  33. 2025-04-11
    status Pending
  34. 2025-04-11
    status Pending
  35. 2025-04-11
    status Pending
  36. 2025-02-25
    price $134,900
  37. 2025-02-25
    price $134,900
  38. 2025-02-25
    price $134,900
  39. 2025-01-02
    listed $139,000 Active
  40. 2025-01-01
    listed $139,000 Active
  41. 2025-01-01
    listed $139,000 Active
  42. 2024-12-31
    historical
  43. 2024-12-31
    historical
  44. 2024-11-25
    price $139,000
  45. 2024-11-25
    price $139,000
  46. 2024-11-25
    price $139,000
  47. 2024-08-25
    listed $149,900 Active
  48. 2024-08-24
    listed $149,900 Active
  49. 2024-08-24
    listed $149,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$879 · $73/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,545 · $129/mo
Expected delta
+$666/yr (+$55/mo · 75.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 11% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,479
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$879
− Insurance
−$1,497
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,238
− Management
−$1,238
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable loss
−$1,280
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$307
After-tax cash flow
$1,356/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pleasant Valley SD
NCES district ID
4219290
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$61,593
Composite
37.18/100
National rank
#4476
State rank
#297 of 539 in PA

Livability — Saylorsburg

Score
72/100
State rank
#627
US rank
#6049

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
11,512

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
164,099 people
By 2030
161,412 · -1.6%
By 2040
154,616 · -5.8%
By 2050
146,710 · -10.6%
By 2075
140,830 · -14.2%
By 2100
138,472 · -15.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Slovak 3% Iranian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.1% · R 49.9%
2008→2024 swing
-17.1pp toward R · 2008: 16.3pp · 2024: -0.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.8 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+0.3 2012: D+14.0 2008: D+16.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -27.10%
Current HPI
166.0654
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.0% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $143,900 PMAR
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $143,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Listed $143,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2026-04-13 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $143,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $143,900 PMAR
  • 2026-03-18 Price Changed $143,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2026-01-13 Listed $147,000 PMAR
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $147,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-09 Listed $147,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-06-20 Sold (MLS) $130,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-06-20 Sold (MLS) $130,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-06-20 Sold (MLS) $130,000 PMAR
  • 2025-06-06 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2025-04-11 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-04-11 Pending PMAR
  • 2025-04-11 Pending GLVRMLS
  • 2025-02-25 Price Changed $134,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-02-25 Price Changed $134,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2025-02-25 Price Changed $134,900 PMAR
  • 2025-01-02 Listed $139,000 PMAR
  • 2025-01-01 Listed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2025-01-01 Listed $139,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-12-31 Listing Removed GLVRMLS
  • 2024-11-25 Price Changed $139,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-11-25 Price Changed $139,000 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-11-25 Price Changed $139,000 PMAR
  • 2024-08-25 Listed $149,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2024-08-24 Listed $149,900 GLVRMLS
  • 2024-08-24 Listed $149,900 PMAR

Property tax history

-4.0%/yr

Latest (2026): $879 · +1.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…