Triplex
1319 Fall City Rd · Jasper, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
Key facts
- Remodeled
- 3 unit complex
- 3.7 acres
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3 × 4-bed/3.0-bath units multifamily listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($34k/yr) — positive. Per door: $949/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.4% vs local median 3.8% in Jasper — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#228 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Walker County (rural): math 13% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #89 of 129 in AL (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Curry Elementary School (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #296 of 627 statewide, top 49%, 547 students, 64% FRL); Curry Middle School (math 10% / reading 46%, grade F, #141 of 257 statewide, top 55%, 359 students, 68% FRL); Curry High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 368 students, 58% FRL).
- Market conditions: 111 active listings in the ZIP; 36 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Walker County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $56k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 324 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $200k implies a 233% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 324 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 61.01%
- DSCR
- 3.71
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $148,801
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.48×
- Total profit
- $362,764
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35503
- Home prices YoY
- -26.8%
- Active inventory
- 111
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $5,100 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $622/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,071
- Net cashflow
- $2,846
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,959 | -5% $2,902 | +0% $2,846 | +5% $2,789 | +10% $2,732 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $2,443 | -5% $2,644 | +0% $2,846 | +5% $3,047 | +10% $3,249 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,946 | -0.5pp $2,896 | base $2,846 | +0.5pp $2,794 | +1.0pp $2,741 |
3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3× units | 4 | 3 | $5,100 |
| #1 | 4 | 3 | $1,700 |
| #2 | 4 | 3 | $1,700 |
| #3 | 4 | 3 | $1,700 |
| Total (3 units) | $5,100 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 39 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $199,900 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $199,900 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $199,900 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $199,900 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $199,900 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 316 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $199,900 Active 315 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $199,900 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $199,900 Active 312 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $199,900 Active 311 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $199,900 Active 310 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $199,900 Active 307 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 306 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $199,900 Active 305 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $199,900 Active 304 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $199,900 Active 303 DOM
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2026-05-12price $199,900 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2026-04-11status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2026-03-16historical Contingent 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2026-02-14price $209,900 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2026-02-02status Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-10-17historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-10-17historical Active Under Contract
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-10-17historical Contingent 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-08-01price $219,900
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-08-01price $219,900
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-08-01$219,900 Active 328-char remark
Show marketing remark (328 chars)
Your future investment! Don't let this opportunity pass you by. This 3 unit complex could generate $2700+ gross income a month. Complex is on 3.7 acres and has been perked for 5 additional units for future expansion. All Units have been remodeled. Manchester Community and not far from Smith Lake or downtown Jasper! Let's talk!
-
2025-07-08price $235,000
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2025-07-08price $235,000
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2025-06-25$225,000 Active
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2025-06-25status Active
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2025-05-13status Pending
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2025-05-03status Active
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2025-04-04status Pending
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2025-02-25$225,000 Active
-
2022-08-28price $309,900
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2022-07-16price $334,900
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2022-05-03$359,900 Active
-
2018-10-16soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $622 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $820 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$198/yr (+$16/mo · 31.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $61,200
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$622
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,896
- − Management
- −$4,896
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable income
- $32,774
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$7,866
- After-tax cash flow
- $26,281/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walker County
- NCES district ID
- 0103450
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,664
- Composite
- 21.51/100
- National rank
- #8321
- State rank
- #89 of 129 in AL
Livability — Jasper
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #228
- US rank
- #17152
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 9,927
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,601
Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 61,037 people
- By 2030
- 58,391 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 53,080 · -13.0%
- By 2050
- 48,031 · -21.3%
- By 2075
- 37,799 · -38.1%
- By 2100
- 29,001 · -52.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 2% Black 1% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walker
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+71.8) · D 13.8% · R 85.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: -46.4pp · 2024: -71.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+71.8 2020: R+67.9 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+52.9 2008: R+46.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.26%
- Current HPI
- 172.9286
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+233.2% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Price Changed $199,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-04-11 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-03-16 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-14 Price Changed $209,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-02-02 Relisted — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-10-17 Contingent — SAARMLS
- 2025-10-17 Contingent — Walker County Area MLS
- 2025-10-17 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $219,900 SAARMLS
- 2025-08-01 Price Changed $219,900 Walker County Area MLS
- 2025-08-01 Listed $219,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $235,000 Walker County Area MLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $235,000 SAARMLS
- 2025-06-25 Listed $225,000 Walker County Area MLS
- 2025-06-25 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2025-05-13 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2025-05-03 Relisted — SAARMLS
- 2025-04-04 Pending — SAARMLS
- 2025-02-25 Listed $225,000 SAARMLS
- 2022-08-28 Price Changed $309,900 SAARMLS
- 2022-07-16 Price Changed $334,900 SAARMLS
- 2022-05-03 Listed $359,900 SAARMLS
- 2018-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2024): $622 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…