865 Brandywine St · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.1/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Recent updates
- Back shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking type
- Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level (entry level 1); East-facing
- Construction: Concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Covered front porch; Full fencing; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (all on the first floor)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Vinyl flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Primary bathroom with tub and shower; Primary bedroom located on the main floor; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Unfurnished (no built-in laundry equipment listed)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $194 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.4%/yr); 291 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($41k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.01%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.15%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $103,334
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8135 Paul Jones Dr | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 840 (-1%) | 6mo | $176,000 | $210 | 77 |
| 889 Bunker Hill Blvd | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 884 (+4%) | 14mo | $68,500 | $77 | 74 |
| 8053 Lexington Dr | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 954 (+13%) | 3mo | $85,000 | $89 | 68 |
| 885 Bunker Hill Blvd | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 884 (+4%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $113 | 67 |
| 929 Ethan Allen St | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 884 (+4%) | 19mo | $125,000 | $141 | 65 |
| 1012 Brandywine St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 945 (+12%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $122 | 62 |
| 1160 Bunker Hill Blvd | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 898 (+6%) | 16mo | $118,000 | $131 | 56 |
| 7611 Tarleton Rd | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 887 (+5%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $85 | 52 |
| 8190 Lexington Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 938 (+11%) | 23mo | $175,000 | $187 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-13,900
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- -6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-13,062
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32208
- Home prices YoY
- -33.6%
- Rents YoY
- -1.4%
- Active inventory
- 291
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,510 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$235 /mo · $2,823/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$317
- Net cashflow
- $194
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 912 Saratoga Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 23d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 8253 Lexington Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,330 | $1.46 | 23d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 7927 Reid Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1055 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 23d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 1000 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 949 | $1,684 | $1.77 | 2d | 9 | 0.75mi |
| 800 Broward Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1028 | $1,711 | $1.66 | 1d | 42 | 0.82mi |
| 8642 2nd Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1074 | $1,245 | $1.16 | 1d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 8617 3rd Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1048 | $1,200 | $1.15 | 10d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 346 W 68th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1114 | $1,385 | $1.24 | 4d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 780 Island Point Dr Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1164 | $2,143 | $1.84 | 3d | 16 | 1.00mi |
| 7124 Lorain St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,043 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 9131 Jefferson Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 910 | $1,350 | $1.48 | 4d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 535 W 59th St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 816 | $1,395 | $1.71 | 7d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 385 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 932 | $1,250 | $1.34 | 20d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 9050 7th Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 896 | $1,485 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 356 Duray Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1070 | $1,425 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1567 Rutledge Ave Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,113 | $1.06 | 23d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 2312 Palmdale St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 972 | $1,231 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-04-06$135,000 Active
-
2026-03-25price $99,700 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
-
2026-03-25status Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
-
2026-03-25historical 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
-
2026-03-14historical 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
-
2025-10-29price $135,000 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
-
2025-08-28$140,000 Active 462-char remark
Show marketing remark (462 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY - 4-BEDROOM HOME! This 4-bedroom, 1-bathroom home is conveniently located near shopping, dining, and main roads. The spacious layout sits on a large lot and includes a covered front porch and a back shed for extra storage. The property also features a garage (308 sq ft), adding convenience and versatility. With recent updates and excellent potential as a rental property or affordable starter home, this property is ready for its next owner!
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2021-10-12soldstatus $134,000
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2021-09-24soldstatus $134,000 Sold 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Gorgeous bungalow close to I-95, the airport and an to easy commute to downtown Jacksonville. This 4 bedroom features new counter tops in the kitchen, hard wood floors, a remodeled bathroom and fresh paint. There is a large front porch and a detached 1 car garage. Plenty of privacy and room in the fenced in back yard for the kids to play.
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2021-08-25status Pending 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Gorgeous bungalow close to I-95, the airport and an to easy commute to downtown Jacksonville. This 4 bedroom features new counter tops in the kitchen, hard wood floors, a remodeled bathroom and fresh paint. There is a large front porch and a detached 1 car garage. Plenty of privacy and room in the fenced in back yard for the kids to play.
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2021-06-22price $142,000 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Gorgeous bungalow close to I-95, the airport and an to easy commute to downtown Jacksonville. This 4 bedroom features new counter tops in the kitchen, hard wood floors, a remodeled bathroom and fresh paint. There is a large front porch and a detached 1 car garage. Plenty of privacy and room in the fenced in back yard for the kids to play.
-
2021-06-16$150,000 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Gorgeous bungalow close to I-95, the airport and an to easy commute to downtown Jacksonville. This 4 bedroom features new counter tops in the kitchen, hard wood floors, a remodeled bathroom and fresh paint. There is a large front porch and a detached 1 car garage. Plenty of privacy and room in the fenced in back yard for the kids to play.
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2020-12-19soldstatus $65,714
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2020-12-10soldstatus $45,000 Sold
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2020-12-02status Pending
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2020-12-01price $75,000
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2020-12-01status Active
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2020-11-12status Pending
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2020-09-01price $89,800
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2020-07-03price $89,900
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2020-06-12$95,000 Active
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1981-03-01soldstatus $23,300
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1980-07-01soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,823 · $235/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,823 · $235/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,124
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,823
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,450
- − Management
- −$1,450
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $237
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$57
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,268/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,699
- Household income
- $41,324
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1765.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 16% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.56%
- Current HPI
- 217.9706
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.36%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+487.0% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-06 Listed $135,000 realMLS
- 2026-03-25 Price Changed $99,700 realMLS
- 2026-03-25 Relisted — realMLS
- 2026-03-25 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2026-03-14 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-10-29 Price Changed $135,000 realMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listed $140,000 realMLS
- 2021-10-12 Sold (Public Records) $134,000 Public Records
- 2021-09-24 Sold (MLS) $134,000 realMLS
- 2021-08-25 Pending — realMLS
- 2021-06-22 Price Changed $142,000 realMLS
- 2021-06-16 Listed $150,000 realMLS
- 2020-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $65,714 Public Records
- 2020-12-10 Sold (MLS) $45,000 realMLS
- 2020-12-02 Pending — realMLS
- 2020-12-01 Price Changed $75,000 realMLS
- 2020-12-01 Relisted — realMLS
- 2020-11-12 Pending — realMLS
- 2020-09-01 Price Changed $89,800 realMLS
- 2020-07-03 Price Changed $89,900 realMLS
- 2020-06-12 Listed $95,000 realMLS
- 1981-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,300 Public Records
- 1980-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2025): $2,823 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…