None · Miami Shores, FL
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.78%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 28 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.8/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$226,999
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
BEAUTIFULLY NEWLY RENOVATED UNIT AT DESIRABLE HARBOR POINTE. EXECELLENT LOCATION, CLOSE TO I-95, 15 MIN. TO DOWN TOUNW MIAMI, WYNWOOD, THE BEACHES AND AVENTURA MAll. YOU EILL BE THE FIRST TO LIVE IN THIS FULLY RENOV ATED HOME 1 BLOCK AWAY FROM BISCAYNE BLVD. BRAND NEW KITCHEN CABINETS WITH REAL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, BLACK CERAMINC GLASSTOVE. DIMMABLE LIGTHS IN BOTH BEDROOM AND DEN.
Key facts
- $397 HOA
- Parking
- Built 1969
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Annual tax information available
- Financial info: Pets allowed with restrictions or possible restrictions
- HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $397
Exterior
- Parking: Guest parking available
- Home design: 7-story building; Entry on level 2; Attached property
- Construction: Brick and block construction; Resale property
- Exterior features: Guest parking
Interior
- Flooring: Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Ceramic tile flooring; Other interior features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $227k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $334 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $227k).
- Recommended offer: $200k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#130 in FL, #1,936 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: schools A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime D, amenities F, cost of living F.
- Miami-Dade (suburban): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #40 of 73 in FL (top 55%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 338 active listings in the ZIP; 10,051 units permitted in Miami-Dade County in 2024 (7,758 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,410/mo this rent would consume 70% of the median local household income ($58k/yr) (locally 3226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Miami-Dade County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 211 days — a 12% lower offer ($200k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→28/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 211 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.36%
- DSCR
- 1.64
- GRM
- 5.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-24,951
- Equity at exit
- $33,846
- IRR
- -9.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-30,750
- Equity at exit
- $19,627
Cash invested: $63,560 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33161
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 338
- Price-to-rent
- 5.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,410 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,190
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,012/yr
- Insurance
- −$95
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$397
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$716
- Net cashflow
- $334
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,750
- Closing costs
- $6,810
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $397 · $4,764/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-04-29status Pending
-
2025-09-01$226,999 Active
-
2025-04-04historical
-
2024-08-22status Active
-
2024-08-14historical Active Under Contract
-
2024-05-18status Active
-
2024-04-24historical
-
2024-04-23$250,000 Active
-
2023-05-18soldstatus $175,000
-
2016-03-01soldstatus $128,000 Sold 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
BEAUTIFULLY NEWLY RENOVATED UNIT AT DESIRABLE HARBOR POINTE. EXECELLENT LOCATION, CLOSE TO I-95, 15 MIN. TO DOWN TOUNW MIAMI, WYNWOOD, THE BEACHES AND AVENTURA MAll. YOU EILL BE THE FIRST TO LIVE IN THIS FULLY RENOV ATED HOME 1 BLOCK AWAY FROM BISCAYNE BLVD. BRAND NEW KITCHEN CABINETS WITH REAL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, BLACK CERAMINC GLASSTOVE. DIMMABLE LIGTHS IN BOTH BEDROOM AND DEN.
-
2016-02-23soldstatus $128,000
-
2016-01-28status Pending 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
BEAUTIFULLY NEWLY RENOVATED UNIT AT DESIRABLE HARBOR POINTE. EXECELLENT LOCATION, CLOSE TO I-95, 15 MIN. TO DOWN TOUNW MIAMI, WYNWOOD, THE BEACHES AND AVENTURA MAll. YOU EILL BE THE FIRST TO LIVE IN THIS FULLY RENOV ATED HOME 1 BLOCK AWAY FROM BISCAYNE BLVD. BRAND NEW KITCHEN CABINETS WITH REAL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, BLACK CERAMINC GLASSTOVE. DIMMABLE LIGTHS IN BOTH BEDROOM AND DEN.
-
2016-01-22price $128,000 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
BEAUTIFULLY NEWLY RENOVATED UNIT AT DESIRABLE HARBOR POINTE. EXECELLENT LOCATION, CLOSE TO I-95, 15 MIN. TO DOWN TOUNW MIAMI, WYNWOOD, THE BEACHES AND AVENTURA MAll. YOU EILL BE THE FIRST TO LIVE IN THIS FULLY RENOV ATED HOME 1 BLOCK AWAY FROM BISCAYNE BLVD. BRAND NEW KITCHEN CABINETS WITH REAL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, BLACK CERAMINC GLASSTOVE. DIMMABLE LIGTHS IN BOTH BEDROOM AND DEN.
-
2015-11-17$130,000 Active 411-char remark
Show marketing remark (411 chars)
BEAUTIFULLY NEWLY RENOVATED UNIT AT DESIRABLE HARBOR POINTE. EXECELLENT LOCATION, CLOSE TO I-95, 15 MIN. TO DOWN TOUNW MIAMI, WYNWOOD, THE BEACHES AND AVENTURA MAll. YOU EILL BE THE FIRST TO LIVE IN THIS FULLY RENOV ATED HOME 1 BLOCK AWAY FROM BISCAYNE BLVD. BRAND NEW KITCHEN CABINETS WITH REAL GRANITE COUNTERTOPS, STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES, BLACK CERAMINC GLASSTOVE. DIMMABLE LIGTHS IN BOTH BEDROOM AND DEN.
-
2015-11-07historical
-
2015-10-06$125,000 Active
-
2015-06-17soldstatus $75,000 Sold
-
2015-05-26status Pending
-
2015-04-16price $84,700
-
2015-03-23$92,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,012 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,012 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 78% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 28 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,917
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,715
- − Property taxes
- −$3,012
- − Insurance
- −$6,253
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,273
- − Management
- −$3,273
- − HOA
- −$4,764
- − Depreciation
- −$6,604
- Taxable income
- $1,023
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$245
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,765/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Miami-Dade
- NCES district ID
- 1200390
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,928
- Composite
- 41.76/100
- National rank
- #3397
- State rank
- #40 of 73 in FL
Livability — Miami Shores
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #130
- US rank
- #1936
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Miami-Dade County · 2,697,751 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 54,814
- Household income
- $58,325
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3226.0
Population outlook (Miami-Dade County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,126,439 people
- By 2030
- 3,325,765 · +6.4%
- By 2040
- 3,697,561 · +18.3%
- By 2050
- 4,012,134 · +28.3%
- By 2075
- 4,605,612 · +47.3%
- By 2100
- 4,866,598 · +55.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 56% Hispanic / Latino 31% Two or more races 18% White 8% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 7% Dominican 4% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 35% Estonian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 51% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 25% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 41% Spanish 30% Other Indo-European 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami-Dade
- 2024 margin
- R (+11.4) · D 43.9% · R 55.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -27.6pp toward R · 2008: 16.1pp · 2024: -11.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+11.4 2020: D+7.3 2016: D+29.6 2012: D+23.7 2008: D+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -492.86%
- Current HPI
- 630.6932
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.73%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+145.4% since first listed20 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Pending — MARMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $226,999 MARMLS
- 2025-04-04 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-08-22 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2024-08-14 Contingent — MARMLS
- 2024-05-18 Relisted — MARMLS
- 2024-04-24 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2024-04-23 Listed $250,000 MARMLS
- 2023-05-18 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2016-03-01 Sold (MLS) $128,000 MARMLS
- 2016-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $128,000 Public Records
- 2016-01-28 Pending — MARMLS
- 2016-01-22 Price Changed $128,000 MARMLS
- 2015-11-17 Listed $130,000 MARMLS
- 2015-11-07 Listing Removed — MARMLS
- 2015-10-06 Listed $125,000 MARMLS
- 2015-06-17 Sold (MLS) $75,000 MARMLS
- 2015-05-26 Pending — MARMLS
- 2015-04-16 Price Changed $84,700 MARMLS
- 2015-03-23 Listed $92,500 MARMLS
Property tax history
+26.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,012 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…