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334 West Lockhart St Duplex
D Composite 43.31
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$219,000

334 West Lockhart St · Sayre, PA 18840
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,702 sqft · MultiFamily · 114 Days on market
Built 1900 3,920 sqft lot ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Beautifully maintained duplex in the heart of Sayre—just blocks from Robert Packer Hospital! This mint-condition property is a rare find, offering a fantastic live-in investment opportunity or a valuable addition to your portfolio. Each unit is spacious, clean, and move-in ready, with mostly separate utilities and quality finishes throughout. Home has off-street parking and a strong rental history; this turnkey property combines convenience and income potential. Don't miss your chance to see this gem!

Key facts

  • Turnkey property
  • Off-street parking
  • Duplex

Tags

DUPLEXOFF-STREET PARKINGSTRONG RENTAL HISTORYTURNKEY PROPERTY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $219k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $59 ($704/yr) — positive. Per door: $29/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $199k (9.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $199k (9.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.7% in Sayre — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#419 in PA, #3,808 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Sayre Area SD (town): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #299 of 539 in PA (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Snyder El Sch (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #718 of 1,518 statewide, top 48%, 468 students, 100% FRL); Sayre Area Hs (math 26% / reading 47%, grade F, #296 of 437 statewide, top 68%, 435 students, 93% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 40% district-wide (57 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 44 active listings in the ZIP; 66 units permitted in Bradford County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bradford County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($199k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $199,000 (9.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.91%
Cap rate
6.61%
Cash-on-cash
1.15%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
9.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.48×
Total profit
$-31,723
Equity at exit
$32,654
10-year hold
IRR
-5.7%
Equity multiple
0.63×
Total profit
$-22,692
Equity at exit
$18,935

Cash invested: $61,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 18840

Home prices YoY
-32.9%
Active inventory
44
Price-to-rent
18.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,990 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,148
Tax est. 1.5%
$274 /mo · $3,285/yr
Insurance
$91
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$418
Net cashflow
$59

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,916
Max offer price $219,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $210 -5% $134 +0% $59 +5% $-17 +10% $-93
Rent -10% $-99 -5% $-20 +0% $59 +5% $137 +10% $216
Rate -1.0pp $169 -0.5pp $114 base $59 +0.5pp $2 +1.0pp $-56

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,990

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$54,750
Closing costs
$6,570
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-01-21
    status Pending
  2. 2025-10-17
    price $219,000
  3. 2025-09-28
    listed $229,000 Active
  4. 2022-03-16
    price $850

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,880
− Mortgage interest
−$12,267
− Property taxes
−$3,285
− Insurance
−$1,095
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,910
− Management
−$1,910
− Depreciation
−$6,371
Taxable loss
−$2,959
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$710
After-tax cash flow
$1,414/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Sayre Area SD
NCES district ID
4220850
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,919
Composite
37.05/100
National rank
#4509
State rank
#299 of 539 in PA

Livability — Sayre

Score
75/100
State rank
#419
US rank
#3808

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Sayre, PA
Population (ZIP)
11,249

Population outlook (Bradford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,236 people
By 2030
54,660 · -4.5%
By 2040
49,502 · -13.5%
By 2050
44,277 · -22.6%
By 2075
33,420 · -41.6%
By 2100
22,919 · -60.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Other Indo-European 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bradford

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.9) · D 25.6% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-29.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.4pp · 2024: -47.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.9 2020: R+44.9 2016: R+46.0 2012: R+24.6 2008: R+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -82.43%
Current HPI
167.8622
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-21 Pending NMPA
  • 2025-10-17 Price Changed $219,000 NMPA
  • 2025-09-28 Listed $229,000 NMPA
  • 2022-03-16 Price Changed $850 RENT.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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