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6439 Tecumseh Ave
B- Composite 68.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.3/10.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$119,900

6439 Tecumseh Ave · Oscoda, MI 48750
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,862 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 147 Days on market
Built 1978 0.54 ac lot $64/sqft · 41% below area Est $203k · 41% under ↓ 18% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Large family room
  • 0.54 acre lot
  • Garage

Tags

MASSIVE PRIMARY BEDROOMLARGE FAMILY ROOMFULLY FENCED-IN BACKYARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
  • Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in Oscoda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#641 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Oscoda Area Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #313 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $105,512 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.13%
Cap rate
9.75%
Cash-on-cash
12.36%
DSCR
1.55
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$202,754
List price
$119,900
Delta
-40.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6377 Cedar 0.20mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,848 (-1%) 14mo $135,000 $73 69
6200 Stagecoach Trl 0.66mi 4/2.5 1,911 (+3%) 3mo $155,000 $81 57
6254 Ridge Rd 0.41mi 4/2.0 1,964 (+6%) 20mo $564,000 $287 51
6130 Norway Rd 0.69mi 3/1.5 (-1) 2,012 (+8%) 22mo $150 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.0%
Equity multiple
1.08×
Total profit
$2,554
Equity at exit
$17,877
10-year hold
IRR
11.5%
Equity multiple
1.91×
Total profit
$30,411
Equity at exit
$10,367

Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48750

Active inventory
134
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,356 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$629
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $556/yr
Insurance
$50
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$285
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $918
Max offer price $119,900
Occupancy floor 69%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $414 -5% $380 +0% $346 +5% $312 +10% $278
Rent -10% $239 -5% $292 +0% $346 +5% $399 +10% $453
Rate -1.0pp $406 -0.5pp $376 base $346 +0.5pp $315 +1.0pp $283

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$29,975
Closing costs
$3,597
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 147 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $119,900 Active 141 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $119,900 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $119,900 Active 138 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 133 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $119,900 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,900 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,900 Active 127 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 126 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,900 Active 125 DOM
  18. 2026-04-20
    price $119,900 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

  19. 2026-04-19
    price $119,900 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

  20. 2026-02-19
    price $139,000 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

  21. 2026-02-18
    price $139,000 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

  22. 2026-01-25
    listed $145,900 Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

  23. 2026-01-25
    listed $145,900 Active 577-char remark
    Show marketing remark (577 chars)

    Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$556 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,201 · $100/mo
Expected delta
+$645/yr (+$54/mo · 116.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,266
− Mortgage interest
−$6,716
− Property taxes
−$556
− Insurance
−$600
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,301
− Management
−$1,301
− Depreciation
−$3,488
Taxable income
$2,304
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$553
After-tax cash flow
$3,597/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oscoda Area Schools
NCES district ID
2626970
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
38% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$36,275
Composite
28.6/100
National rank
#6714
State rank
#313 of 540 in MI

Livability — Oscoda

Score
57/100
State rank
#641
US rank
#21680

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
9,281

Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
24,366 people
By 2030
23,622 · -3.1%
By 2040
22,021 · -9.6%
By 2050
20,877 · -14.3%
By 2075
18,792 · -22.9%
By 2100
15,465 · -36.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Iosco

2024 margin
Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -97.75%
Current HPI
157.6759
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-17.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-19 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $139,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $145,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-25 Listed $145,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-1.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $556 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…