6439 Tecumseh Ave · Oscoda, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
Key facts
- Large family room
- 0.54 acre lot
- Garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 2.6% in Oscoda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#641 in MI) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Oscoda Area Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #313 of 540 in MI (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 134 active listings in the ZIP; 58 units permitted in Iosco County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Iosco County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 147 days — a 12% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $26k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 147 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.36%
- DSCR
- 1.55
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $202,754
- List price
- $119,900
- Delta
- -40.86%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6377 Cedar | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,848 (-1%) | 14mo | $135,000 | $73 | 69 |
| 6200 Stagecoach Trl | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 | 1,911 (+3%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $81 | 57 |
| 6254 Ridge Rd | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 | 1,964 (+6%) | 20mo | $564,000 | $287 | 51 |
| 6130 Norway Rd | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,012 (+8%) | 22mo | $150 | — | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 2.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.08×
- Total profit
- $2,554
- Equity at exit
- $17,877
- IRR
- 11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $30,411
- Equity at exit
- $10,367
Cash invested: $33,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48750
- Active inventory
- 134
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,356 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$46 /mo · $556/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $414 | -5% $380 | +0% $346 | +5% $312 | +10% $278 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $239 | -5% $292 | +0% $346 | +5% $399 | +10% $453 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $406 | -0.5pp $376 | base $346 | +0.5pp $315 | +1.0pp $283 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,975
- Closing costs
- $3,597
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $119,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $119,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $119,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $119,900 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,900 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 126 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-04-20price $119,900 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
-
2026-04-19price $119,900 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
-
2026-02-19price $139,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
-
2026-02-18price $139,000 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
-
2026-01-25$145,900 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
-
2026-01-25$145,900 Active 577-char remark
Show marketing remark (577 chars)
Motivated Seller, bring all offers! Welcome to this versatile home, which features a massive primary bedroom created by merging two rooms, offering a true retreat with ample space. Prefer four bedrooms? Simply put the wall back up to easily restore the original 4th bedroom layout. The home also boasts a large family room perfect for entertaining and a fully fenced-in backyard for pets. With some TLC and your personal touch, this 3 bedroom (potentially 4) home is an incredible opportunity. There is even a footprint with the potential to add a second full bath! Sold as-is.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $556 · $46/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,201 · $100/mo
- Expected delta
- +$645/yr (+$54/mo · 116.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 1/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,266
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,716
- − Property taxes
- −$556
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,301
- − Management
- −$1,301
- − Depreciation
- −$3,488
- Taxable income
- $2,304
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$553
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,597/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oscoda Area Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2626970
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,275
- Composite
- 28.6/100
- National rank
- #6714
- State rank
- #313 of 540 in MI
Livability — Oscoda
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #641
- US rank
- #21680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,281
Population outlook (Iosco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,366 people
- By 2030
- 23,622 · -3.1%
- By 2040
- 22,021 · -9.6%
- By 2050
- 20,877 · -14.3%
- By 2075
- 18,792 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 15,465 · -36.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Iosco
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+30.6) · D 34.0% · R 64.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -35.7pp toward R · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: -30.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+30.6 2020: R+28.6 2016: R+30.0 2012: R+5.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.75%
- Current HPI
- 157.6759
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-17.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $139,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $139,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-25 Listed $145,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-25 Listed $145,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Property tax history
-1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $556 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…