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30 Pekin St Duplex
C- Composite 53.27
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.9/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$599,900

30 Pekin St · Providence, RI 02908
6 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,573 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1900 3,920 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Very large two family home locate at Smith Hill Neighborhood, Town House Style Two Bed Rooms on First Floor and 5 Bed Rooms on Second Floor with two full bath rooms, big basement with walk out, fenced yard with parking for 9 cars full paved. Convenient located at 3 minutes from Dawn Town Providence, walk distance to Providence College, easy access to I-95, Rt. 10, Rt. 146, Restaurants, Schools and more. Please call for more information.

Key facts

  • Paved yard
  • Vinyl siding
  • Quick access to i-95

Tags

ZERO-MAINTENANCE EXTERIORVINYL SIDINGPAVED YARDPARKING FOR UP TO 9 VEHICLESQUICK ACCESS TO I-95QUICK ACCESS TO I-146

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage; 9 total parking spaces
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Water connected; Electric service ~100 amps
  • Home design: Multifamily property with 2 units in 1 building; Above-grade finished area approximately 4,132
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Sewer connected; Water connected

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas water heater (equipment noted)
  • Bedrooms: Two units: one with 5 bedrooms, one with 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms total (unit breakdown: 2 full baths in the larger unit, 1 full bath in the smaller unit)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (gas)
  • Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Ceramic tile and laminate flooring; 11 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 4-bed/1.5-bath units multifamily listed at $600k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $979 ($12k/yr) — positive. Per door: $490/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $591k (1.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $591k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.0% in Providence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in RI, #794 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
  • Providence (urban): math 8% / reading 16% proficiency, ranked #34 of 39 in RI (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 79% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: George J. West El. School (math 7% / reading 13%, grade F, #148 of 167 statewide, top 90%, 601 students, 84% FRL); Nathanael Greene Middle (math 10% / reading 23%, grade F, #37 of 57 statewide, top 64%, 808 students, 85% FRL); Central High School (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #53 of 58 statewide, top 96%, 1,302 students, 87% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.5%/yr); 163 active listings in the ZIP; 776 units permitted in Providence County in 2024 (229 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $18k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Providence County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.5% rent growth), your $168k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($591k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 28y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $315k; list at $600k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 70% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $590,901 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.99%
Cap rate
8.25%
Cash-on-cash
7.00%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.46% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.1%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-20,028
Equity at exit
$89,447
10-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.75×
Total profit
$126,813
Equity at exit
$51,868

Cash invested: $167,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
31 Tenant-Leaning
State Rhode Island
31 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; strong tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 02908

Home prices YoY
-27.1%
Rents YoY
5.5%
Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
16.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$5,912 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$3,146
Tax from tax record
$295 /mo · $3,542/yr
Insurance
$250
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,242
Net cashflow
$979

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,672
Max offer price $599,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,319 -5% $1,149 +0% $979 +5% $810 +10% $640
Rent -10% $512 -5% $746 +0% $979 +5% $1,213 +10% $1,446
Rate -1.0pp $1,282 -0.5pp $1,132 base $979 +0.5pp $824 +1.0pp $666

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $5,912

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$149,975
Closing costs
$17,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-05-08
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-08
    listed $599,900 Active
  4. 2021-03-24
    soldstatus $315,000 Closed 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Very large two family home locate at Smith Hill Neighborhood, Town House Style Two Bed Rooms on First Floor and 5 Bed Rooms on Second Floor with two full bath rooms, big basement with walk out, fenced yard with parking for 9 cars full paved. Convenient located at 3 minutes from Dawn Town Providence, walk distance to Providence College, easy access to I-95, Rt. 10, Rt. 146, Restaurants, Schools and more. Please call for more information.

  5. 2021-03-24
    soldstatus $315,000
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Very large two family home locate at Smith Hill Neighborhood, Town House Style Two Bed Rooms on First Floor and 5 Bed Rooms on Second Floor with two full bath rooms, big basement with walk out, fenced yard with parking for 9 cars full paved. Convenient located at 3 minutes from Dawn Town Providence, walk distance to Providence College, easy access to I-95, Rt. 10, Rt. 146, Restaurants, Schools and more. Please call for more information.

  6. 2020-12-03
    status Pending 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Very large two family home locate at Smith Hill Neighborhood, Town House Style Two Bed Rooms on First Floor and 5 Bed Rooms on Second Floor with two full bath rooms, big basement with walk out, fenced yard with parking for 9 cars full paved. Convenient located at 3 minutes from Dawn Town Providence, walk distance to Providence College, easy access to I-95, Rt. 10, Rt. 146, Restaurants, Schools and more. Please call for more information.

  7. 2020-09-17
    listed $310,000 Active 440-char remark
    Show marketing remark (440 chars)

    Very large two family home locate at Smith Hill Neighborhood, Town House Style Two Bed Rooms on First Floor and 5 Bed Rooms on Second Floor with two full bath rooms, big basement with walk out, fenced yard with parking for 9 cars full paved. Convenient located at 3 minutes from Dawn Town Providence, walk distance to Providence College, easy access to I-95, Rt. 10, Rt. 146, Restaurants, Schools and more. Please call for more information.

  8. 2010-02-25
    soldstatus $165,000
  9. 2008-09-27
    historical
  10. 2008-05-27
    listed $219,900
  11. 2007-01-16
    soldstatus $130,000
  12. 2007-01-02
    historical
  13. 2006-12-11
    listed $139,000
  14. 2005-11-21
    soldstatus $325,000
  15. 2005-11-17
    soldstatus $330,000
  16. 2005-10-27
    listed $330,000
  17. 2005-10-27
    historical
  18. 2005-06-28
    soldstatus $290,500
  19. 2004-11-01
    historical
  20. 2004-06-08
    listed $249,900
  21. 1998-08-24
    soldstatus $62,500
  22. 1998-04-24
    soldstatus $35,000
  23. 1998-04-16
    listed $49,500
  24. 1998-04-15
    soldstatus $35,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast RI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,542 · $295/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,660 · $555/mo
Expected delta
+$3,118/yr (+$260/mo · 88.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 70% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$70,944
− Mortgage interest
−$33,604
− Property taxes
−$3,542
− Insurance
−$3,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$5,676
− Management
−$5,676
− Depreciation
−$17,452
Taxable income
$1,996
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$479
After-tax cash flow
$11,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Providence
NCES district ID
4400900
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
16% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$38,197
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9803
State rank
#34 of 39 in RI

Livability — Providence

Score
84/100
State rank
#2
US rank
#794

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Providence, RI
County
Providence County · 548,917 people
City population
212,734
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
Population (ZIP)
39,500
Household income
$73,081
Rent vs Own
54.0% rent · 46.0% own
Severe rent burden
1561.0

Population outlook (Providence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
653,469 people
By 2030
660,819 · +1.1%
By 2040
672,747 · +3.0%
By 2050
683,741 · +4.6%
By 2075
720,435 · +10.2%
By 2100
741,582 · +13.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 43% White 33% Two or more races 22% Black 15% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 16%
Common ancestry
Swiss 4% Hispanic 3% Russian 3%
Foreign-born
33% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
53% English-only · Spanish 36% French/Haitian/Cajun 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Providence

2024 margin
D (+14.4) · D 56.1% · R 41.7% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 34.4pp · 2024: 14.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+14.4 2020: D+22.9 2016: D+21.2 2012: D+34.9 2008: D+34.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -151.12%
Current HPI
407.0502
Rent YoY
▲ 5.46%
Metro
Providence-Warwick, RI-MA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.25%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in RI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1614.0% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Pending RIS
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent RIS
  • 2026-04-08 Listed $599,900 RIS
  • 2021-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $315,000 Public Records
  • 2021-03-24 Sold (MLS) $315,000 RIS
  • 2020-12-03 Pending RIS
  • 2020-09-17 Listed $310,000 RIS
  • 2010-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $165,000 Public Records
  • 2008-09-27 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2008-05-27 Listed $219,900 RIS
  • 2007-01-16 Sold (MLS) $130,000 RIS
  • 2007-01-02 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2006-12-11 Listed $139,000 RIS
  • 2005-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $325,000 Public Records
  • 2005-11-17 Sold (MLS) $330,000 RIS
  • 2005-10-27 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2005-10-27 Listed $330,000 RIS
  • 2005-06-28 Sold (Public Records) $290,500 Public Records
  • 2004-11-01 Listing Removed RIS
  • 2004-06-08 Listed $249,900 RIS
  • 1998-08-24 Sold (Public Records) $62,500 Public Records
  • 1998-04-24 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1998-04-16 Listed $49,500 RIS
  • 1998-04-15 Sold (MLS) $35,000 RIS

Property tax history

-0.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,542 · -33.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…