3205 NE 15th St · Oklahoma City, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- ARV discount +3.2/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.7/10.0
$99,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Spacious yard
- Close to parks
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
- Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
- Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $22k; list at $100k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.17%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $91,160
- List price
- $99,900
- Delta
- 9.59%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3117 NE 15th St | 0.05mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 660 (0%) | 10mo | $54,000 | $82 | 84 |
| 3349 NE 12th St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 720 (+9%) | 19mo | $78,500 | $109 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $27,007
- Equity at exit
- $41,673
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.67×
- Total profit
- $74,684
- Equity at exit
- $61,804
Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73117
- Home prices YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 75
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$524
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $456/yr
- Insurance
- −$42
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$236
- Net cashflow
- $284
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $340 | -5% $312 | +0% $284 | +5% $255 | +10% $227 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $195 | -5% $239 | +0% $284 | +5% $328 | +10% $372 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $334 | -0.5pp $309 | base $284 | +0.5pp $258 | +1.0pp $231 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,975
- Closing costs
- $2,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3049 NE 15th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 660 | $895 | $1.36 | 3d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 3333 NE 12th St Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.24mi |
| 1801 E Park Pl Oklahoma City, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 734 | $695 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-17status $99,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 91 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $101,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $101,900 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $101,900 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $101,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $101,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $101,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $101,900 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.
-
2026-04-16price $105,000 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.
-
2026-03-11$112,000 Active 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.
-
2015-02-25soldstatus $22,000 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!! 3 Bedroom, 1 bathroom, central heat & air. You won't be disappointed in this one...
-
2014-08-15$24,900 109-char remark
Show marketing remark (109 chars)
GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!! 3 Bedroom, 1 bathroom, central heat & air. You won't be disappointed in this one...
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $456 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $899 · $75/mo
- Expected delta
- +$443/yr (+$37/mo · 97.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,475
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,596
- − Property taxes
- −$456
- − Insurance
- −$500
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,078
- − Management
- −$1,078
- − Depreciation
- −$2,906
- Taxable income
- $1,861
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$447
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,956/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Oklahoma City
- NCES district ID
- 4022770
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 10% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,606
- Composite
- 7.0/100
- National rank
- #9970
- State rank
- #254 of 270 in OK
Livability — Oklahoma City
- Score
- 80/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Oklahoma City, OK
- County
- Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
- City population
- 498,656
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,225
- Household income
- $23,413
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 681.0
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 16% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Guatemala, China
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.42%
- Current HPI
- 192.3185
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Oklahoma City, OK
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+309.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $101,900 MLSOK
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $105,000 MLSOK
- 2026-03-11 Listed $112,000 MLSOK
- 2015-02-25 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MLSOK
- 2014-08-15 Listed $24,900 MLSOK
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $456 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…