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3205 NE 15th St
C+ Composite 61.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +3.2/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0

$99,900

3205 NE 15th St · Oklahoma City, OK 73117
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 660 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 95 Days on market
Built 1953 6,325 sqft lot $151/sqft · 53% above area Est $91k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Spacious yard
  • Close to parks

Tags

MOVE IN READYFUNCTIONAL KITCHENSPACIOUS YARDCENTRAL LOCATIONCLOSE TO PARKS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $284 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $91k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 3.7% in Oklahoma City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#3 in OK, #1,635 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F.
  • Oklahoma City (urban): math 7% / reading 10% proficiency, ranked #254 of 270 in OK (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 75 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (2.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 95 days — a 9% lower offer ($91k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $22k; list at $100k implies a 354% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $90,909 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 95 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.12%
Cap rate
9.70%
Cash-on-cash
12.17%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$91,160
List price
$99,900
Delta
9.59%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3117 NE 15th St 0.05mi 2/1.0 (-1) 660 (0%) 10mo $54,000 $82 84
3349 NE 12th St 0.28mi 2/1.0 (-1) 720 (+9%) 19mo $78,500 $109 51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.42% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$27,007
Equity at exit
$41,673
10-year hold
IRR
19.4%
Equity multiple
3.67×
Total profit
$74,684
Equity at exit
$61,804

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Oklahoma
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; strongly landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 73117

Home prices YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
7.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,123 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$38 /mo · $456/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$236
Net cashflow
$284

Break-even live

Break-even rent $764
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $340 -5% $312 +0% $284 +5% $255 +10% $227
Rent -10% $195 -5% $239 +0% $284 +5% $328 +10% $372
Rate -1.0pp $334 -0.5pp $309 base $284 +0.5pp $258 +1.0pp $231

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3049 NE 15th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 660 $895 $1.36 3d 1 0.15mi
3333 NE 12th St Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 44d 1 0.24mi
1801 E Park Pl Oklahoma City, OK 2.0 1.0 734 $695 $0.95 44d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $99,900 Active 95 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 92 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    status $99,900 Active 91 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $99,900 Pending 91 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,900 Active 90 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $99,900 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $101,900 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    days on market $101,900 Active 85 DOM
  9. 2026-06-03
    days on market $101,900 Active 84 DOM
  10. 2026-06-02
    days on market $101,900 Active 83 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $101,900 Active 82 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $101,900 Active 81 DOM
  13. 2026-05-19
    price $101,900 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.

  14. 2026-04-16
    price $105,000 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.

  15. 2026-03-11
    listed $112,000 Active 528-char remark
    Show marketing remark (528 chars)

    Updated and move-in ready 3-bed, 1-bath home offering 924 sq ft of efficient, comfortable living space in a convenient central OKC location. The layout provides bright common areas, a functional kitchen, and well-sized bedrooms that work for a variety of needs. Exterior features include a classic façade and a spacious yard with room for outdoor use or future improvements. Close to major corridors, parks, and local amenities, this property is a solid option for homeowners or investors seeking value and accessibility.

  16. 2015-02-25
    soldstatus $22,000 109-char remark
    Show marketing remark (109 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!! 3 Bedroom, 1 bathroom, central heat & air. You won't be disappointed in this one...

  17. 2014-08-15
    listed $24,900 109-char remark
    Show marketing remark (109 chars)

    GREAT OPPORTUNITY!!! 3 Bedroom, 1 bathroom, central heat & air. You won't be disappointed in this one...

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$456 · $38/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$899 · $75/mo
Expected delta
+$443/yr (+$37/mo · 97.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,475
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$456
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,078
− Management
−$1,078
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable income
$1,861
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$447
After-tax cash flow
$2,956/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oklahoma City
NCES district ID
4022770
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,606
Composite
7.0/100
National rank
#9970
State rank
#254 of 270 in OK

Livability — Oklahoma City

Score
80/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#1635

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oklahoma City, OK
County
Oklahoma County · 771,644 people
City population
498,656
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
Population (ZIP)
6,225
Household income
$23,413
Rent vs Own
62.2% rent · 37.8% own
Severe rent burden
681.0

Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
911,875 people
By 2030
982,413 · +7.7%
By 2040
1,130,468 · +24.0%
By 2050
1,288,422 · +41.3%
By 2075
1,711,482 · +87.7%
By 2100
2,088,448 · +129.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 16% Two or more races 13% Hispanic / Latino 12% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 10%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Guatemala, China
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.42%
Current HPI
192.3185
Rent YoY
Metro
Oklahoma City, OK
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.55%
F500 in state
6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+309.2% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $101,900 MLSOK
  • 2026-04-16 Price Changed $105,000 MLSOK
  • 2026-03-11 Listed $112,000 MLSOK
  • 2015-02-25 Sold (MLS) $22,000 MLSOK
  • 2014-08-15 Listed $24,900 MLSOK

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $456 · +4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…