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17014 Oval Rum Dr
D Composite 41.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +6.4/30.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +3.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +1.9/5.0
  • DSCR +0.7/10.0

$275,000

17014 Oval Rum Dr · Wimauma, FL 33598
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,516 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 564 Days on market
Built 2022 Good condition 4,480 sqft lot $181/sqft · 22% below area Est $354k · 22% under $131/mo HOA · 6% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

PRICE IMPROVEMENT -- Here is your opportunity to move right in and start enjoying the lagoon life! Enjoy Florida resort-style living in south county's premier Southshore Bay community. This lovely, move-in ready, 3 bedroom, 2 bath split plan home with a nature view, was built in 2022 with contemporary living space and finishes. The modern kitchen features granite counters, stainless steel appliances, a closet pantry and a breakfast bar. Ceramic tile flows throughout the main living area. Sliding doors from the family room lead to a relaxing covered backyard patio. The quiet backyard has no rear development, but overlooks a natural wooded view. This prime location in a peaceful setting offers convenient access to schools, shopping, dining and commuting access to major roads. Central to this community is the amazing 5+ acre Metro Lagoon waterpark with almost every aquatic resort amenity you can imagine. Beyond that, there is also a community pool, playground, sports complex, nature trails and more. Per owner, this property does not require flood insurance.

Key facts

  • Modern kitchen
  • Granite counters
  • Closet pantry

Tags

MODERN KITCHENGRANITE COUNTERSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCLOSET PANTRYBREAKFAST BARCOVERED BACKYARD PATIO

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-900 ($-11k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (43.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $235k (14.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (43.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#699 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A, cost of living A-, crime B; Watch: amenities F, employment D-, health & safety F.
  • Hillsborough (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #41 of 73 in FL (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Reddick Elementary School (math 34% / reading 29%, grade F, #1,841 of 2,144 statewide, top 86%, 794 students, 78% FRL); Shields Middle School (math 29% / reading 27%, grade F, #486 of 571 statewide, top 86%, 1,867 students, 68% FRL); Lennard High School (math 30% / reading 46%, grade F, #328 of 667 statewide, top 50%, 2,404 students, 47% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-16 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Hillsborough average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 962 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 116d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 85% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 9,053 units permitted in Hillsborough County in 2024 (4,555 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.4%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hillsborough County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 564 days — a 12% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask is 11358% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,313 (43.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 564 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 44% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  12. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.86%
Cap rate
4.23%
Cash-on-cash
-7.37%
DSCR
0.67
GRM
9.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$353,731
List price
$275,000
Delta
-22.26%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
606 Chipper Dr 1.11mi 3/2.0 1,568 (+3%) 0mo $300,000 $191 59
17207 Beach Buttercup Pl 0.78mi 3/2.0 1,451 (-4%) 2mo $255,000 $176 56
5769 Yellow Hornbill Ave 0.95mi 3/2.0 1,487 (-2%) 11mo $308,600 $208 53
838 King Leon Way 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,380 (-9%) 0mo $260,000 $188 45
712 Chipper Dr 1.03mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+19%) 0mo $310,000 $172 40
804 Chipper Dr 1.08mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+19%) 0mo $340,000 $189 40
682 Chipper Dr 0.97mi 3/2.0 1,800 (+19%) 2mo $345,000 $192 38
829 Regal Manor Way 0.82mi 3/2.0 1,774 (+17%) 2mo $415,000 $234 38
642 Chipper Dr 0.99mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,735 (+14%) 1mo $299,900 $173 35
914 Sun Key Ct 0.97mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,785 (+18%) 1mo $150,000 $84 34
17551 Holly Well Ave 0.85mi 2/2.5 (-1) 1,737 (+15%) 1mo $300,000 $173 33
1015 Emerald Dunes Dr 0.90mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,748 (+15%) 6mo $351,500 $201 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.35% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-39.2%
Equity multiple
-0.31×
Total profit
$-100,596
Equity at exit
$49,080
10-year hold
IRR
-57.8%
Equity multiple
-1.33×
Total profit
$-179,073
Equity at exit
$37,885

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
43 active · 27 under contract
Months of supply
28.7 mo (3%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$301,290 ($186/sqft)
Median days on market
88 d
This list price
16% of active listings are priced below it
ARV vs active asking
+25.2% above current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 33598

Home prices YoY
-0.9%
Rents YoY
-2.5%
Active inventory
962
Price-to-rent
9.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,351 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,442
Tax from tax record
$643 /mo · $7,716/yr
Insurance
$115
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$131
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$494
Net cashflow
$-900

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,490
Max offer price $154,313
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-744 -5% $-822 +0% $-900 +5% $-977 +10% $-1,055
Rent -10% $-1,085 -5% $-992 +0% $-900 +5% $-807 +10% $-714
Rate -1.0pp $-761 -0.5pp $-830 base $-900 +0.5pp $-971 +1.0pp $-1,043

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$68,750
Closing costs
$8,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
17042 Oval Rum Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.0 1516 $2,500 $1.65 113d 1 0.08mi
16750 Trite Bend St Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.0 1504 $2,275 $1.51 10d 1 0.21mi
5326 Kelper Hook Ct Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 2239 $2,195 $0.98 44d 1 0.42mi
16632 Grotto Steam Pl Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1695 $1,899 $1.12 27d 1 0.44mi
16701 Maude Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1785 $2,000 $1.12 84d 1 0.44mi
16621 Grotto Steam Pl Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1695 $2,300 $1.36 10d 1 0.45mi
16705 Myrtle Sand Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.0 1253 $2,350 $1.88 120d 1 0.47mi
16636 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,276 $1.39 89d 1 0.56mi
16638 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,276 $1.39 117d 1 0.56mi
16656 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,276 $1.39 65d 1 0.56mi
16660 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,276 $1.39 120d 1 0.57mi
16634 Mooner Plank Cir Wimauma, FL 4.0 2.5 2035 $2,550 $1.25 120d 1 0.57mi
16676 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,201 $1.35 120d 1 0.57mi
17224 Auburn Arch Loop Wimauma, FL 2.0–4.0 2.5 1517 $2,600 $1.71 0d 20 0.57mi
16619 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1541 $2,031 $1.32 120d 1 0.58mi
16616 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,276 $1.39 117d 1 0.59mi
16665 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 120d 1 0.59mi
16667 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 120d 1 0.60mi
16671 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 120d 1 0.60mi
16673 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1513 $1,928 $1.27 30d 1 0.60mi
16611 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,176 $1.33 115d 1 0.60mi
16610 Ancient Mariner Ln Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,176 $1.33 120d 1 0.60mi
17132 White Mangrove Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.0 1561 $2,150 $1.38 71d 1 0.60mi
17132 White Mangrove Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.0 1561 $2,150 $1.38 54d 1 0.60mi
17132 White Mangrove Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.0 1561 $2,250 $1.44 89d 1 0.60mi
5095 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1578 $1,956 $1.24 117d 1 0.60mi
5093 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1513 $2,028 $1.34 24d 1 0.60mi
5091 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,201 $1.35 120d 1 0.60mi
5089 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,201 $1.35 120d 1 0.60mi
5085 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,201 $1.35 120d 1 0.60mi
17134 White Mangrove Dr Wimauma, FL 4.0 2.0 1935 $2,395 $1.24 120d 1 0.60mi
5045 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1513 $1,928 $1.27 30d 1 0.61mi
5017 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 116d 1 0.62mi
5084 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1513 $1,928 $1.27 54d 1 0.63mi
5048 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 3d 1 0.63mi
5044 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1541 $1,956 $1.27 120d 1 0.64mi
5028 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 30d 1 0.64mi
5018 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 2.0 2.5 1541 $1,956 $1.27 120d 1 0.64mi
5010 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 120d 1 0.64mi
5008 Capri Harbor Dr Wimauma, FL 3.0 2.5 1634 $2,101 $1.29 65d 1 0.65mi

HOA detail $131/mo · $1,572/yr

Likely covers
waterpool

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $275,000 Active 564 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $275,000 Active 563 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $275,000 Active 562 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $275,000 Active 561 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $275,000 Active 560 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    status $275,000 Active 559 DOM
  7. 2026-09-15
    status $275,000 Pending 559 DOM
  8. 2026-09-14
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 559 DOM
  9. 2026-09-13
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 558 DOM
  10. 2026-09-12
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 557 DOM
  11. 2026-09-11
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 556 DOM
  12. 2026-09-05
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 550 DOM
  13. 2026-09-04
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 549 DOM
  14. 2026-09-03
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 548 DOM
  15. 2026-08-31
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 545 DOM
  16. 2026-08-30
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 544 DOM
  17. 2026-08-29
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 543 DOM
  18. 2026-08-28
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 542 DOM
  19. 2026-08-27
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 541 DOM
  20. 2026-08-26
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 540 DOM
  21. 2026-08-25
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 539 DOM
  22. 2026-08-24
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 538 DOM
  23. 2026-08-23
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 537 DOM
  24. 2026-08-22
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 536 DOM
  25. 2026-08-20
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 534 DOM
  26. 2026-08-19
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 533 DOM
  27. 2026-08-18
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 532 DOM
  28. 2026-08-17
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 531 DOM
  29. 2026-08-16
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 530 DOM
  30. 2026-08-15
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 529 DOM
  31. 2026-08-14
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 528 DOM
  32. 2026-08-13
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 527 DOM
  33. 2026-08-12
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 526 DOM
  34. 2026-08-11
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 525 DOM
  35. 2026-08-10
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 524 DOM
  36. 2026-08-09
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 523 DOM
  37. 2026-08-08
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 522 DOM
  38. 2026-08-06
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 520 DOM
  39. 2026-08-05
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 519 DOM
  40. 2026-08-04
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 518 DOM
  41. 2026-08-03
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 517 DOM
  42. 2026-07-31
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 514 DOM
  43. 2026-07-30
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 512 DOM
  44. 2026-07-28
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 511 DOM
  45. 2026-07-26
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 509 DOM
  46. 2026-07-24
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 507 DOM
  47. 2026-07-23
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 506 DOM
  48. 2026-07-22
    days on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 505 DOM
  49. 2026-07-21
    statusdays on market $275,000 Active Under Contract 504 DOM
  50. 2026-07-20
    days on market $275,000 Active 503 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$7,716 · $643/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,716 · $643/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,217
− Mortgage interest
−$15,404
− Property taxes
−$7,716
− Insurance
−$6,494
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,257
− Management
−$2,257
− HOA
−$1,572
− Depreciation
−$8,000
Taxable loss
−$15,483
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$3,716
After-tax cash flow
$-7,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This move-in ready home in Southshore Bay offers a contemporary living space with modern finishes and a peaceful setting.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhanced landscaping can improve curb appeal and attract potential buyers
  • Both Add a smart home package — Modern technology can increase the home's appeal and value
F Composite school gradezoned avg 32/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Reddick Elementary School F FL #1,841/2,144 Nat'l #25,956/41,679 Middle Shields Middle School F FL #486/571 Nat'l #9,545/14,009 High Lennard High School F FL #328/667 Nat'l #8,877/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hillsborough
NCES district ID
1200870
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$50,622
Composite
41.6/100
National rank
#3435
State rank
#41 of 73 in FL
C Composite livability gradescore 64/100

Livability — Wimauma

Score
64/100
State rank
#699
US rank
#14659

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A Cost of living A- Crime B Employment D- Housing B- Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Wimauma, FL
County
Hillsborough County · 1,607,022 people
City population
32,820
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
32,820
Household income
$97,520
Rent vs Own
12.8% rent · 87.2% own
Severe rent burden
7% of renters

Population outlook (Hillsborough County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,607,022 people
By 2030
1,733,968 · +7.9%
By 2040
1,979,565 · +23.2%
By 2050
2,203,427 · +37.1%
By 2075
2,667,893 · +66.0%
By 2100
2,891,558 · +79.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
White 40% Hispanic / Latino 39% Black 14% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 26% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
23% · Canada, Jamaica, Guatemala
Languages at home
62% English-only · Spanish 35% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hillsborough

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.8% · R 50.9% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-10.2pp toward R · 2008: 7.1pp · 2024: -3.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+3.1 2020: D+6.9 2016: D+6.8 2012: D+6.7 2008: D+7.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-99.9% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-12-18 Rental Removed $2,400 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Price Changed $295,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-19 Listed for Rent $2,400 STELLARMLS
  • 2025-09-18 Price Changed $305,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-30 Price Changed $335,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-03-15 Price Changed $345,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-27 Listed $359,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-07-11 Sold (MLS) $387,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-19 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-19 Price Changed $387,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-16 Price Changed $395,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-11 Price Changed $392,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-09 Price Changed $396,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-05-05 Price Changed $394,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-27 Price Changed $399,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-25 Price Changed $404,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-04-11 Price Changed $398,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-23 Price Changed $397,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-21 Price Changed $398,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-21 Relisted Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-21 Price Changed $397,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-14 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-07 Price Changed $369,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-02-02 Price Changed $364,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-01-27 Listed $374,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-10-06 Sold (Public Records) $1,631,800 Public Records

Property tax history

+31.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $7,716 · +5.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…