2423 Cedar St · Louisville, KY 40212

$34,900

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,072 sqft · SingleFamily · 8 Days on market

Built 1890 2,309 sqft lot Est $70k · 50% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Appreciation +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.2/5.0
• Rent growth +2.6/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +2.3/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Investor Special! 2423 Cedar St- Gutted 1,023 sq ft shotgun ready for a full rehab. Solid Foundation, good bones, and eligible for Revert Program. Great Opportunity for a flip or long-term rental. Asking $20,000 OBO- bring your best offer and vision!

Key facts

• New drywall
• Updated wiring
• New electric panel

Tags

• INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITY
• PRIME LOCATION
• CALM STREET
• NEW DRYWALL
• UPDATED WIRING
• NEW ELECTRIC PANEL

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Lot about 0.05 acres; Building area reported as 1,072 (above grade / living area)
• HOA & community: No association fee

Exterior

• Parking: No parking (none listed)
• Utilities: Utilities: none listed
• Home design: Single-family residence; Shotgun style; 1 story; Built in 1890; Facing direction not specified; Entry level: first floor
• Construction: Wood frame construction; Shingle roof; Crawl space and slab foundation
• Exterior features: No exterior features listed; No fencing

Interior

• Kitchen: Kitchen located on the first floor
• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the first floor); Primary bedroom with first-floor primary bathroom
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (primary bathroom on the first floor)
• Heating & cooling: Heating present; No HVAC cooling units reported
• Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; 2 closets; No basement; First-floor primary bathroom
• Laundry & utility: Laundry on the first floor

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $634 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $35k).
• Cap rate 28.1% vs local median 5.0% in Louisville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 63/100 on livability (#333 in KY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D+, schools D-.
• Jefferson County (urban): math 19% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #121 of 165 in KY (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 141 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,836 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (1,558 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($36k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $4k of equity ($241 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Jefferson County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 0.5% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 3 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $20k; list at $35k implies a 74% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $34,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.08% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.10%
• Cash-on-cash: 77.89%
• DSCR: 4.47
• GRM: 2.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $69,680
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
2620 W Madison St	0.24mi	3/1.5 (+1)	1,080 (+1%)	1mo	$74,000	$69	79
2321 W Market St	0.26mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,138 (+6%)	1mo	$110,000	$97	72
637 S 27th St	0.40mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,110 (+4%)	7mo	$40,000	$36	65
2102 Magazine St	0.52mi	2/1.0	1,148 (+7%)	3mo	$42,500	$37	61
1814 Rowan St	0.71mi	2/1.0	1,038 (-3%)	1mo	$30,200	$29	61
2831 W Madison St	0.37mi	2/1.0	937 (-13%)	1mo	$108,000	$115	61
212 N 20th St	0.62mi	2/1.0	987 (-8%)	7mo	$64,500	$65	52
404 N 20th St	0.73mi	3/1.0 (+1)	1,050 (-2%)	7mo	$45,000	$43	52
2722 Slevin St	0.67mi	2/1.0	984 (-8%)	5mo	$65,000	$66	50
101 Saunders	0.75mi	2/2.0	1,148 (+7%)	5mo	$145,000	$126	45
3007 Duncan St	0.70mi	2/1.0	1,220 (+14%)	5mo	$45,000	$37	41
3226 W Jefferson St	0.75mi	2/1.0	920 (-14%)	6mo	$48,000	$52	36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 85.9%
• Equity multiple: 6.81×
• Total profit: $56,779
• Equity at exit: $31,441

10-year hold

• IRR: 79.7%
• Equity multiple: 14.37×
• Total profit: $130,626
• Equity at exit: $67,803

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Kentucky: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit (URLTA cities); generally landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 40212

• Home prices YoY: 11.0%
• Rents YoY: 0.5%
• Active inventory: 141
• Price-to-rent: 2.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,075 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$183
• Tax from tax record: −$17 /mo · $208/yr
• Insurance: −$15
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$226
• Net cashflow: $634

Break-even live

Break-even rent $272

Max offer price $34,900

Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $654	-5% $644	+0% $634	+5% $624	+10% $615
Rent	-10% $549	-5% $592	+0% $634	+5% $677	+10% $719
Rate	-1.0pp $652	-0.5pp $643	base $634	+0.5pp $625	+1.0pp $616

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $8,725
• Closing costs: $1,047
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
430 S 24th St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.5	1288	$1,400	$1.09	24d	1	0.09mi
2614 W Jefferson St Unit 2614-4 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	740	$795	$1.07	24d	1	0.16mi
2623 Cedar St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,000	$1.00	24d	1	0.16mi
2508 W Main St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1327	$1,500	$1.13	24d	1	0.23mi
2631 W Madison St Unit 1 Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	928	$950	$1.02	24d	1	0.27mi
2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	928	$850	$0.92	24d	1	0.27mi
2631 W Madison St Unit 2 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	928	$850	$0.92	18d	1	0.27mi
2529 W Main St #2 Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1404	$1,200	$0.85	24d	1	0.27mi
2300 W Madison St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	900	$850	$0.94	24d	1	0.29mi
2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,350	$1.35	22d	1	0.30mi
2221 W Madison St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,350	$1.35	24d	1	0.30mi
212 N 25th St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1104	$895	$0.81	24d	1	0.37mi
214 N 24th St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.5	1012	$915	$0.90	24d	1	0.39mi
2132 Rowan St Louisville, KY	1.0–2.0	1.0–2.0	875	$928	$1.06	4d	4	0.43mi
2411 Elliott Ave Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	892	$895	$1.00	24d	1	0.44mi
515 S 20th St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	1000	$995	$0.99	17d	1	0.47mi
322 N 24th St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	950	$1,100	$1.16	17d	1	0.50mi
120 N 20th St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.5	1300	$1,400	$1.08	24d	1	0.54mi
2733 Chase Ct Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	900	$900	$1.00	17d	1	0.54mi
331 N 23rd St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	855	$1,150	$1.35	18d	1	0.55mi
2310 W Broadway Unit 1 Louisville, KY	1.0	1.0	1100	$975	$0.89	4d	1	0.56mi
2433 Slevin St Unit 2433-2 Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	800	$875	$1.09	4d	1	0.56mi
2927 Rowan St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1008	$1,205	$1.20	12d	1	0.61mi
112 N 18th St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	944	$1,050	$1.11	24d	1	0.69mi
200 N 18th St Unit 200-4 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	740	$775	$1.05	21d	1	0.72mi
409 N 20th St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	1200	$1,050	$0.88	4d	1	0.72mi
1810 Magazine St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.5	1248	$1,450	$1.16	11d	1	0.73mi
353 N 27th St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,100	$1.00	24d	1	0.75mi
451 N 25th St Unit Mk Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	988	$875	$0.89	4d	1	0.76mi
2925 Slevin St Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	896	$775	$0.86	4d	1	0.77mi
1704 Rowan St Unit 1704-2 Louisville, KY	3.0	1.0	740	$850	$1.15	24d	1	0.78mi
1622 W Market St Apt 104 Louisville, KY	1.0	1.5	771	$965	$1.25	24d	1	0.78mi
1612 W Market St Unit 2 Louisville, KY	2.0	2.0	900	$1,000	$1.11	24d	1	0.80mi
214 N 17th St Unit 2 Louisville, KY	1.0	1.0	800	$750	$0.94	15d	1	0.81mi
848 S 23rd St Louisville, KY	3.0	1.5	1050	$1,450	$1.38	24d	1	0.82mi
1700 Magazine St Unit 3 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	900	$1,150	$1.28	18d	1	0.82mi
2539 Bank St Unit 1 Louisville, KY	1.0	1.0	900	$750	$0.83	24d	1	0.84mi
666 Eastlawn Ave Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	936	$895	$0.96	17d	1	0.85mi
701 Hazel St Unit 3 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	832	$800	$0.96	11d	1	0.85mi
500 N 17th St Unit 301 Louisville, KY	2.0	1.0	775	$1,200	$1.55	17d	1	0.86mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-06-21
   days on market $34,900 Active 8 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $34,900 Active 5 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $34,900 Active 4 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $34,900 Active 3 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $34,900 Active 2 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   remarks 613-char remark
7. 2026-06-13
   listed $34,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $208 · $17/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $300 · $25/mo
• Expected delta: +$92/yr (+$8/mo · 44.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,899
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,955
• − Property taxes: −$208
• − Insurance: −$174
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,032
• − Management: −$1,032
• − Depreciation: −$1,015
• Taxable income: $7,483
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,796
• After-tax cash flow: $5,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Jefferson County
• NCES district ID: 2102990
• Math proficiency: 19% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 35% ▼ -11.00%
• Median HH income: $47,885
• Composite: 23.45/100
• National rank: #7884
• State rank: #121 of 165 in KY

Livability — Louisville

• Score: 63/100
• State rank: #333
• US rank: #15887

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Louisville, KY
• County: Jefferson County · 790,184 people
• City population: 769,292
• Metro: Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
• Population (ZIP): 14,661
• Household income: $35,753
• Rent vs Own: 51.3% rent · 48.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1148.0

Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 823,112 people
• By 2030: 849,343 · +3.2%
• By 2040: 895,696 · +8.8%
• By 2050: 933,630 · +13.4%
• By 2075: 1,028,262 · +24.9%
• By 2100: 1,072,675 · +30.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Majority Black (60%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 60% White 37% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
• Common ancestry: Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada
• Languages at home: 98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson

• 2024 margin: D (+16.6) · D 57.4% · R 40.9% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.5pp toward D · 2008: 12.0pp · 2024: 16.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+16.6 2020: D+20.1 2016: D+13.3 2012: D+11.1 2008: D+12.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 29.02%
• Current HPI: 293.2624
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.51%
• Metro: Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.81%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$118B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$7B

Price history

+16.3% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-09 Listed $34,900 Metro Search MLS
• 2025-05-15 Sold (MLS) $20,000 Metro Search MLS
• 2025-05-08 Pending — Metro Search MLS
• 2025-04-29 Listed $20,000 Metro Search MLS
• 2022-11-22 Listing Removed — Metro Search MLS
• 2022-06-08 Price Changed $37,900 Metro Search MLS
• 2022-06-08 Price Changed $29,999 Metro Search MLS
• 2022-06-08 Price Changed $23,999 Metro Search MLS
• 2022-06-08 Price Changed $16,999 Metro Search MLS
• 2022-06-07 Listed $30,000 Metro Search MLS

Property tax history

-2.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $208 · -1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.