1262 Yaupon Cove Dr · Onalaska, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +4.7/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$79,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
CHARMIMG FIXER-UPPER: YOUR CANVAS AWAITS! Welcome to your next project-a delightful 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom house that’s bursting with potential! Situated in a tranquil neighborhood, this fixer-upper is the ideal opportunity for savvy DIY enthusiasts, astute investors, or those seeking a cozy weekend retreat. With a little creativity and vision, you can transform this residence into a stunning home that reflects your personal style. This house boasts a functional floor plan offering ample space for both relaxation and entertainment. The living area invites natural light, creating a warm and welcoming atmosphere. The two generously size bedrooms provide a peaceful sanctuary for rest a
Key facts
- 0.33 acre lot
- Built 1979
- Listed 12 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $79k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $79k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 2.9% in Onalaska — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#1,055 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Onalaska ISD (rural): math 50% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #213 of 826 in TX (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Onalaska Jr/Sr High (math 48% / reading 55%, grade D+, #478 of 1,632 statewide, top 29%, 527 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools at 58% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 352 active listings in the ZIP; 769 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $65 of equity ($546 loan paydown + $-481 appreciation (-0.6% local appreciation)).
- Polk County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-0.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.94%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $191,100
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1161 Creeklake Dr | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 1,360 (+5%) | 2mo | $350,000 | $257 | 71 |
| 210 Red Bud Ln | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,356 (+4%) | 12mo | $199,000 | $147 | 68 |
| 310 Mulberry Cv | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 1,152 (-11%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $152 | 66 |
| 141 S Oak Lee Dr S | 0.21mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (-6%) | 15mo | $40,000 | $33 | 62 |
| 189 Laurel Cv W | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,124 (-14%) | 9mo | $139,000 | $124 | 56 |
| 136 Walnut Cv | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,176 (-10%) | 8mo | $225,000 | $191 | 53 |
| 396 S Oak Lee Dr | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (+6%) | 13mo | $250,000 | $181 | 52 |
| 270 Sandy Ln | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (+3%) | 15mo | $139,000 | $103 | 51 |
| 150 N Oak Lee Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,438 (+11%) | 18mo | $224,900 | $156 | 51 |
| 215 Read Oak | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 20mo | $189,500 | $135 | 50 |
| 134 W Oak Shadows | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,206 (-7%) | 15mo | $125,000 | $104 | 45 |
| 279 Kickapoo Crk | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (0%) | 18mo | $139,000 | $107 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-0.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.02×
- Total profit
- $22,458
- Equity at exit
- $20,564
- IRR
- 26.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.82×
- Total profit
- $62,430
- Equity at exit
- $22,896
Cash invested: $22,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77360
- Home prices YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 352
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,330 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$414
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,046/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$10
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$279
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $445 | +0% $423 | +5% $400 | +10% $378 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $318 | -5% $370 | +0% $423 | +5% $475 | +10% $528 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $463 | -0.5pp $443 | base $423 | +0.5pp $402 | +1.0pp $382 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $19,750
- Closing costs
- $2,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $10 · $120/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-07status Pending
-
2026-03-27price $79,000
-
2026-03-26$89,500 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,046 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,046 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,958
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,425
- − Property taxes
- −$2,046
- − Insurance
- −$395
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,277
- − Management
- −$1,277
- − HOA
- −$120
- − Depreciation
- −$2,298
- Taxable income
- $4,120
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$989
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,085/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Onalaska ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4833690
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,882
- Composite
- 40.91/100
- National rank
- #3616
- State rank
- #213 of 826 in TX
Livability — Onalaska
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #1055
- US rank
- #18716
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,130
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 51,049 people
- By 2030
- 53,243 · +4.3%
- By 2040
- 56,528 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 59,243 · +16.1%
- By 2075
- 63,528 · +24.4%
- By 2100
- 60,376 · +18.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Italian 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+58.9) · D 20.2% · R 79.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.7pp toward R · 2008: -37.2pp · 2024: -58.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+58.9 2020: R+54.5 2016: R+56.5 2012: R+48.2 2008: R+37.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -0.61%
- Current HPI
- 150.9486
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-11.7% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Pending — HARMLS
- 2026-03-27 Price Changed $79,000 HARMLS
- 2026-03-26 Listed $89,500 HARMLS
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,046 · +9.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…