109 Lydia St · Terrell, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.7/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- DSCR +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Open Floor Plan with updates throughout including paint inside and outside, updated light fixtures, renovated front porch, luxury- vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bathroom. Primary bedroom has a custom walk in closet. Perfect for the fashion enthusiast. Enormous backyard that can host large gatherings. Perfect for spot for star gazing at night.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Spot for star gazing
- Enormous backyard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
- Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, schools F.
- Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.25%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.42%
- DSCR
- 1.15
- GRM
- 7.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $201,902
- List price
- $159,000
- Delta
- -21.25%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 909 E High St | 0.17mi | 3/1.0 | 1,044 (+0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $139 | 90 |
| 1000 E Brin St | 0.21mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,014 (-2%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $123 | 79 |
| 808 E High St | 0.22mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,056 (+2%) | 7mo | $149,900 | $142 | 76 |
| 402 Chappell St | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 19mo | $219,900 | $211 | 61 |
| 106 College Mound Rd | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,022 (-2%) | 21mo | $215,000 | $210 | 54 |
| 503 E State St | 0.55mi | 3/1.0 | 951 (-9%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $79 | 52 |
| 307 E Mccoulskey St | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 | 1,100 (+6%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $181 | 51 |
| 107 Laroe St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 15mo | $199,900 | $192 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-17,577
- Equity at exit
- $23,707
- IRR
- -1.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-4,444
- Equity at exit
- $13,747
Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75160
- Home prices YoY
- -13.2%
- Active inventory
- 372
- Price-to-rent
- 7.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,734 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$834
- Tax from tax record
- −$343 /mo · $4,113/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $127
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,750
- Closing costs
- $4,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Campbell St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1268 | $1,950 | $1.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 203 E Brin St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1472 | $1,500 | $1.02 | 17d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 904 N Frances St Unit A Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 732 | $1,350 | $1.84 | 11d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 920 N Virginia St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,650 | $1.79 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 204 Pacific Ave Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 714 | $1,350 | $1.89 | 10d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 102 Rock Creek Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1262 | $1,850 | $1.47 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1210 S Frances St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1204 | $1,700 | $1.41 | 43d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 116 N Island Dr Terrell, TX | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1909 | $2,140 | $1.12 | 1d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1300 S Adelaide St Terrell, TX | 1.0–4.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 785 | $1,413 | $1.80 | 1d | 9 | 1.35mi |
| 510 Frazier St Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,285 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 114 Brushy Creek Ln Terrell, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1357 | $1,695 | $1.25 | 7d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 514 Frazier St Terrell, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $159,000 Active 66 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $159,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricestatusdays on market $159,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-01status $165,000 Pending 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-04-17price $165,000 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
Open Floor Plan with updates throughout including paint inside and outside, updated light fixtures, renovated front porch, luxury- vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bathroom. Primary bedroom has a custom walk in closet. Perfect for the fashion enthusiast. Enormous backyard that can host large gatherings. Perfect for spot for star gazing at night.
-
2026-03-30$175,000 Active 350-char remark
Show marketing remark (350 chars)
Open Floor Plan with updates throughout including paint inside and outside, updated light fixtures, renovated front porch, luxury- vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bathroom. Primary bedroom has a custom walk in closet. Perfect for the fashion enthusiast. Enormous backyard that can host large gatherings. Perfect for spot for star gazing at night.
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2026-03-24historical
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2026-02-19price $185,000
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2025-12-31historical $1,700
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2025-12-04status Active
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2025-11-30$1,700
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2025-11-20status Pending
-
2025-10-01status Active
-
2025-09-30historical
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2025-06-18$198,000 Active
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2025-06-14historical $1,700
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2025-05-19$1,700
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2025-03-05historical $1,700
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2025-02-17$1,700
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2024-12-10price $212,000
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2024-11-22$230,000 Active
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2021-11-30soldstatus
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2021-11-29soldstatus Sold
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2021-11-02status Pending
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2021-10-13historical Active Option Contract
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2021-10-08status Active
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2021-10-01historical Active Option Contract
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2021-09-21$150,000 Active
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2021-04-05soldstatus
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2020-07-06soldstatus
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2020-07-01soldstatus
-
2019-12-18historical
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2019-12-05price $78,999
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2019-11-12$79,999 Active
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2019-10-24soldstatus
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2007-04-02soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,113 · $343/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,113 · $343/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,804
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,906
- − Property taxes
- −$4,113
- − Insurance
- −$795
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − Depreciation
- −$4,625
- Taxable loss
- −$965
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$232
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,753/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Terrell ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4842450
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,265
- Composite
- 23.57/100
- National rank
- #7855
- State rank
- #677 of 826 in TX
Livability — Terrell
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #520
- US rank
- #10213
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Terrell, TX
- County
- Kaufman County · 122,338 people
- City population
- 28,206
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,206
- Household income
- $71,801
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 845.0
Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,716 people
- By 2030
- 150,815 · +8.7%
- By 2040
- 174,877 · +26.1%
- By 2050
- 198,020 · +42.8%
- By 2075
- 251,908 · +81.6%
- By 2100
- 285,325 · +105.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 30%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.39%
- Current HPI
- 278.507
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+106.3% since first listed32 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-30 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2026-03-24 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2025-12-31 Rental Removed $1,700 Avail
- 2025-12-04 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-11-30 Listed for Rent $1,700 Avail
- 2025-11-20 Pending — NTREIS
- 2025-10-01 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2025-09-30 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2025-06-18 Listed $198,000 NTREIS
- 2025-06-14 Rental Removed $1,700 Avail
- 2025-05-19 Listed for Rent $1,700 Avail
- 2025-03-05 Rental Removed $1,700 Avail
- 2025-02-17 Listed for Rent $1,700 Avail
- 2024-12-10 Price Changed $212,000 NTREIS
- 2024-11-22 Listed $230,000 NTREIS
- 2021-11-30 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-11-02 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-10-13 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2021-10-08 Relisted — NTREIS
- 2021-10-01 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2021-09-21 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
- 2021-04-05 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-07-06 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2020-07-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2019-12-18 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2019-12-05 Price Changed $78,999 NTREIS
- 2019-11-12 Listed $79,999 NTREIS
- 2019-10-24 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-04-02 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $4,113 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…