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109 Lydia St
C- Composite 54.79
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +17.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • DSCR +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,000

109 Lydia St · Terrell, TX 75160
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 75 Days on market
Built 1960 0.31 ac lot $153/sqft · 21% below area Est $202k · 21% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Open Floor Plan with updates throughout including paint inside and outside, updated light fixtures, renovated front porch, luxury- vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bathroom. Primary bedroom has a custom walk in closet. Perfect for the fashion enthusiast. Enormous backyard that can host large gatherings. Perfect for spot for star gazing at night.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Spot for star gazing
  • Enormous backyard

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANRENOVATED FRONT PORCHCUSTOM WALK IN CLOSETENORMOUS BACKYARDSPOT FOR STAR GAZING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $159k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $127 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $159k).
  • Recommended offer: $149k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 3.8% in Terrell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#520 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, schools F.
  • Terrell ISD (town): math 25% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #677 of 826 in TX (top 82%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 372 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 18d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,747 units permitted in Kaufman County in 2024 (180 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kaufman County population projected at +43% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 75 days — a 6% lower offer ($149k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $16k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $149,460 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 75 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
7.25%
Cash-on-cash
3.42%
DSCR
1.15
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$201,902
List price
$159,000
Delta
-21.25%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
909 E High St 0.17mi 3/1.0 1,044 (+0%) 1mo $145,000 $139 90
1000 E Brin St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,014 (-2%) 2mo $125,000 $123 79
808 E High St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,056 (+2%) 7mo $149,900 $142 76
402 Chappell St 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,040 (0%) 19mo $219,900 $211 61
106 College Mound Rd 0.47mi 3/2.0 1,022 (-2%) 21mo $215,000 $210 54
503 E State St 0.55mi 3/1.0 951 (-9%) 10mo $75,000 $79 52
307 E Mccoulskey St 0.75mi 3/1.5 1,100 (+6%) 3mo $199,000 $181 51
107 Laroe St 0.74mi 3/2.0 1,040 (0%) 15mo $199,900 $192 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-17,577
Equity at exit
$23,707
10-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,444
Equity at exit
$13,747

Cash invested: $44,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 75160

Home prices YoY
-13.2%
Active inventory
372
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,734 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$834
Tax from tax record
$343 /mo · $4,113/yr
Insurance
$66
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$364
Net cashflow
$127

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,573
Max offer price $159,000
Occupancy floor 88%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,750
Closing costs
$4,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
507 Campbell St Terrell, TX 3.0 2.0 1268 $1,950 $1.54 44d 1 0.45mi
203 E Brin St Terrell, TX 2.0 2.0 1472 $1,500 $1.02 17d 1 0.66mi
904 N Frances St Unit A Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 732 $1,350 $1.84 11d 1 0.89mi
920 N Virginia St Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 924 $1,650 $1.79 16d 1 1.00mi
204 Pacific Ave Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 714 $1,350 $1.89 10d 1 1.15mi
102 Rock Creek Ln Terrell, TX 3.0 2.0 1262 $1,850 $1.47 24d 1 1.28mi
1210 S Frances St Terrell, TX 3.0 2.0 1204 $1,700 $1.41 43d 1 1.33mi
116 N Island Dr Terrell, TX 3.0–5.0 2.0–2.5 1909 $2,140 $1.12 1d 1 1.33mi
1300 S Adelaide St Terrell, TX 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 785 $1,413 $1.80 1d 9 1.35mi
510 Frazier St Terrell, TX 3.0 1.0 840 $1,285 $1.53 43d 1 1.44mi
114 Brushy Creek Ln Terrell, TX 3.0 2.0 1357 $1,695 $1.25 7d 1 1.45mi
514 Frazier St Terrell, TX 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $159,000 Active 75 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $159,000 Active 74 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $159,000 Active 73 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $159,000 Active 72 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 70 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $159,000 Active 69 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $159,000 Active 66 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $159,000 Active 65 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    pricestatusdays on market $159,000 Active 64 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    status $165,000 Pending 62 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 62 DOM
  12. 2026-04-17
    price $165,000 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Open Floor Plan with updates throughout including paint inside and outside, updated light fixtures, renovated front porch, luxury- vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bathroom. Primary bedroom has a custom walk in closet. Perfect for the fashion enthusiast. Enormous backyard that can host large gatherings. Perfect for spot for star gazing at night.

  13. 2026-03-30
    listed $175,000 Active 350-char remark
    Show marketing remark (350 chars)

    Open Floor Plan with updates throughout including paint inside and outside, updated light fixtures, renovated front porch, luxury- vinyl flooring, updated kitchen and bathroom. Primary bedroom has a custom walk in closet. Perfect for the fashion enthusiast. Enormous backyard that can host large gatherings. Perfect for spot for star gazing at night.

  14. 2026-03-24
    historical
  15. 2026-02-19
    price $185,000
  16. 2025-12-31
    historical $1,700
  17. 2025-12-04
    status Active
  18. 2025-11-30
    listed $1,700
  19. 2025-11-20
    status Pending
  20. 2025-10-01
    status Active
  21. 2025-09-30
    historical
  22. 2025-06-18
    listed $198,000 Active
  23. 2025-06-14
    historical $1,700
  24. 2025-05-19
    listed $1,700
  25. 2025-03-05
    historical $1,700
  26. 2025-02-17
    listed $1,700
  27. 2024-12-10
    price $212,000
  28. 2024-11-22
    listed $230,000 Active
  29. 2021-11-30
    soldstatus
  30. 2021-11-29
    soldstatus Sold
  31. 2021-11-02
    status Pending
  32. 2021-10-13
    historical Active Option Contract
  33. 2021-10-08
    status Active
  34. 2021-10-01
    historical Active Option Contract
  35. 2021-09-21
    listed $150,000 Active
  36. 2021-04-05
    soldstatus
  37. 2020-07-06
    soldstatus
  38. 2020-07-01
    soldstatus
  39. 2019-12-18
    historical
  40. 2019-12-05
    price $78,999
  41. 2019-11-12
    listed $79,999 Active
  42. 2019-10-24
    soldstatus
  43. 2007-04-02
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,113 · $343/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,113 · $343/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,804
− Mortgage interest
−$8,906
− Property taxes
−$4,113
− Insurance
−$795
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,664
− Management
−$1,664
− Depreciation
−$4,625
Taxable loss
−$965
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$232
After-tax cash flow
$1,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Terrell ISD
NCES district ID
4842450
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$44,265
Composite
23.57/100
National rank
#7855
State rank
#677 of 826 in TX

Livability — Terrell

Score
67/100
State rank
#520
US rank
#10213

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Terrell, TX
County
Kaufman County · 122,338 people
City population
28,206
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
Population (ZIP)
28,206
Household income
$71,801
Rent vs Own
31.5% rent · 68.5% own
Severe rent burden
845.0

Population outlook (Kaufman County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,716 people
By 2030
150,815 · +8.7%
By 2040
174,877 · +26.1%
By 2050
198,020 · +42.8%
By 2075
251,908 · +81.6%
By 2100
285,325 · +105.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 33% Two or more races 19% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 30%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kaufman

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.9) · D 35.6% · R 63.5%
2008→2024 swing
+7.9pp toward D · 2008: -35.8pp · 2024: -27.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.9 2020: R+33.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+44.4 2008: R+35.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -42.39%
Current HPI
278.507
Rent YoY
Metro
Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+106.3% since first listed
32 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $165,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-03-24 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $185,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-12-31 Rental Removed $1,700 Avail
  • 2025-12-04 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-11-30 Listed for Rent $1,700 Avail
  • 2025-11-20 Pending NTREIS
  • 2025-10-01 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2025-09-30 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2025-06-18 Listed $198,000 NTREIS
  • 2025-06-14 Rental Removed $1,700 Avail
  • 2025-05-19 Listed for Rent $1,700 Avail
  • 2025-03-05 Rental Removed $1,700 Avail
  • 2025-02-17 Listed for Rent $1,700 Avail
  • 2024-12-10 Price Changed $212,000 NTREIS
  • 2024-11-22 Listed $230,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-11-30 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-11-29 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2021-11-02 Pending NTREIS
  • 2021-10-13 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-10-08 Relisted NTREIS
  • 2021-10-01 Contingent NTREIS
  • 2021-09-21 Listed $150,000 NTREIS
  • 2021-04-05 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-07-06 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2020-07-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2019-12-18 Listing Removed NTREIS
  • 2019-12-05 Price Changed $78,999 NTREIS
  • 2019-11-12 Listed $79,999 NTREIS
  • 2019-10-24 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2007-04-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,113 · +13.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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