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84-50 169 Jamaica #416
C- Composite 52.97
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.4/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

84-50 169 Jamaica #416 · New York, NY 11432
1 bd · 0.5 ba · 500 sqft · Condo · 52 Days on market
Built 1955 $655/mo HOA · 29% of rent ↓ 17% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

Key facts

  • Parking
  • Laundry facility
  • $655 HOA

Tags

LAUNDRY FACILITYPARKINGCONVENIENT TO TRANSPORTATIONCONVENIENT TO SCHOOLSCONVENIENT TO SUPERMARKETSCONVENIENT TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Association with a monthly fee of $655; Association fee covers common area maintenance, snow removal, trash and water

Exterior

  • Parking: Garage (1 space); No carport
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available and connected; Natural gas available and connected; Phone available
  • Home design: Stock cooperative
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation
  • Exterior features: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Refrigerator; Trash compactor
  • Bedrooms: 2 rooms total
  • Bathrooms: 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot air heating
  • Interior features: Elevator; No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Oil water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/0.5-bath condo listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $86 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Recommended offer: $146k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Market conditions: Rents flat; 197 active listings in the ZIP; 31 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent; built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 52% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,500 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.50%
Cap rate
6.98%
Cash-on-cash
2.46%
DSCR
1.11
GRM
5.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.75% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.2%
Equity multiple
0.44×
Total profit
$-23,368
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
-15.5%
Equity multiple
0.26×
Total profit
$-31,056
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (CITY)
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City New York
0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34
Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

ZIP-level market 11432

Rents YoY
0.8%
Active inventory
197
Price-to-rent
5.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,250 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax est. 1.5%
$188 /mo · $2,250/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$655
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$473
Net cashflow
$86

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,141
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 91%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 31 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
8449 168th St Jamaica, NY 1.0 500 $1,850 $3.70 24d 1 0.03mi
8720 175th St Jamaica, NY 1.0 400 $1,895 $4.74 22d 1 0.51mi
177-16 Wexford Ter Unit 401 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 13d 1 0.53mi
177-18 Wexford Ter Unit 601 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 400 $2,600 $6.50 12d 1 0.53mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 201 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 730 $2,700 $3.70 3d 1 0.55mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 404 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 2d 1 0.55mi
177-30 Wexford Ter Unit 311 Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 13d 1 0.55mi
17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 3D Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 638 $2,900 $4.55 18d 1 0.69mi
17218 Jamaica Ave Unit 4D Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 638 $2,900 $4.55 24d 1 0.69mi
89-15 Parsons Blvd Unit W6B Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 725 $2,100 $2.90 18d 1 0.70mi
152-18 Union Tpke Unit 8S Queens, NY 1.0 496 $1,950 $3.93 13d 1 0.82mi
15038 Union Tpke Unit 8L Flushing, NY 1.0 489 $2,100 $4.29 22d 1 0.84mi
148-16 87th Ave Unit 2 Jamaica, NY 2.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 17d 1 0.87mi
14836 89th Ave Unit 3C Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 673 $2,900 $4.31 24d 1 0.91mi
8455 Daniels St Unit 5H Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 750 $2,300 $3.07 18d 1 0.95mi
14160 84th Rd Unit 2G Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 13d 1 1.07mi
163-07 72nd Ave Unit 3G Flushing, NY 2.0 2.0 716 $2,900 $4.05 24d 1 1.07mi
163-07 72nd Ave Unit 2G Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 402 $2,000 $4.98 24d 1 1.07mi
7835 147th St Unit 2E Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 6d 1 1.09mi
178-05 69th Ave Unit 2 Flushing, NY 2.0 1.0 750 $2,700 $3.60 24d 1 1.13mi
7837 Main St Unit 2G Queens, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 24d 1 1.13mi
14725 94th Ave Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 525 $2,825 $5.38 4d 3 1.19mi
13828 Queens Blvd Jamaica, NY 1.0 1.0 640 $2,700 $4.22 18d 1 1.27mi
13828 Queens Blvd Unit 2E Briarwood, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 7d 1 1.27mi
138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5G Briarwood, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,750 $4.23 24d 1 1.27mi
138-28 Queens Blvd Unit 5B Briarwood, NY 1.0 1.0 500 $2,600 $5.20 24d 1 1.27mi
14112 78th Rd Unit 1G Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,200 $3.14 24d 1 1.27mi
190-11 Hillside Ave Apt 202 Hollis, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,700 $3.86 24d 1 1.29mi
190-11 Hillside Ave Unit 304 Hollis, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,600 $3.71 14d 1 1.29mi
73-49 188th St Unit 2 Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 650 $2,000 $3.08 24d 1 1.37mi
150-25 72nd Rd Flushing, NY 1.0 1.0 700 $2,300 $3.29 24d 1 1.39mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$655 · $7,860/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $150,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $150,000 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $150,000 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $150,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $150,000 Active 37 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $150,000 Active 35 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $150,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-04-25
    listed $150,000 Active
  14. 2025-02-13
    soldstatus $140,000 Closed 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  15. 2024-07-12
    status Pending 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  16. 2024-06-03
    price $150,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  17. 2024-06-02
    price $170,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  18. 2024-06-02
    price $180,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  19. 2024-06-02
    price $160,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  20. 2024-06-02
    price $180,000 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

  21. 2024-06-01
    listed $180 Active 355-char remark
    Show marketing remark (355 chars)

    This home is conveniently located in Jamaica estates... near trains, buses , places of worship, schools, as well as parks and shopping . This well maintained building has an exercise room and on site laundry facilities in addition to reasonably priced monthly parking. LOW MAINTENANCE! Can't beat this! Must see!, Additional information: Appearance:Yes

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 52% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$27,004
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$2,250
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,160
− Management
−$2,160
− HOA
−$7,860
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable loss
−$943
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$226
After-tax cash flow
$1,260/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

Score
75/100
State rank
#268
US rank
#4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New York, NY
County
Queens County · 1,914,869 people
City population
7,731,280
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
Population (ZIP)
62,892
Household income
$74,096
Rent vs Own
64.2% rent · 35.8% own
Severe rent burden
4385.0

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,546,320 people
By 2030
2,643,059 · +3.8%
By 2040
2,815,563 · +10.6%
By 2050
2,944,423 · +15.6%
By 2075
3,123,338 · +22.7%
By 2100
3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Asian 42% Hispanic / Latino 21% Black 17% White 12% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
57% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
34% English-only · Other Indo-European 30% Spanish 19% Tagalog/Filipino 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
2008→2024 swing
-26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -457.06%
Current HPI
282.1513
Rent YoY
▲ 0.75%
Metro
New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-16.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-25 Listed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-13 Sold (MLS) $140,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-07-12 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-03 Price Changed $150,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-02 Price Changed $170,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-02 Price Changed $180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-02 Price Changed $160,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-02 Price Changed $180,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-06-01 Listed $180 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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