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3 Fortune St
B- Composite 67.82
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$60,000

3 Fortune St · LaFayette, GA 30728
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 960 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 1932 9,147 sqft lot ↓ 22% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

Key facts

  • Back yard
  • Laundry room
  • Large kitchen

Tags

LARGE KITCHENLAUNDRY ROOMBACK YARD

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $568 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $53k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 4.1% in LaFayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#345 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Walker County (rural): math 25% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #114 of 174 in GA (top 66%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: North Lafayette Elementary School (math 22% / reading 17%, grade F, #878 of 1,228 statewide, top 75%, 432 students, 68% FRL); Lafayette Middle School (math 23% / reading 27%, grade F, #291 of 470 statewide, top 64%, 575 students, 77% FRL); Lafayette High School (math 5% / reading 15%, grade F, #353 of 424 statewide, top 86%, 1,164 students, 62% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 218 active listings in the ZIP; 347 units permitted in Walker County in 2024 (24 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Walker County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (22%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1932 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $52,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1932 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.07%
Cap rate
17.65%
Cash-on-cash
40.57%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
4.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$173,760
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 N Steele St 0.12mi 2/1.0 1,054 (+10%) 5mo $50,000 $47 74
18 Probasco St 0.23mi 1/1.0 (-1) 924 (-4%) 9mo $50,000 $54 71
608 Bradley Ave 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 945 (-2%) 7mo $172,000 $182 64
510 Bradley Ave 0.52mi 2/1.0 966 (+1%) 14mo $174,000 $180 64
707 N Chattanooga St 0.16mi 2/2.0 1,050 (+9%) 12mo $182,500 $174 63
205 Cavender St 0.43mi 2/2.0 1,050 (+9%) 5mo $199,900 $190 56
201 Warthen St 0.75mi 2/1.0 975 (+2%) 8mo $180,000 $185 56
102 S Flora St 0.54mi 2/2.0 944 (-2%) 20mo $198,500 $210 52
409 Daugherty St 0.62mi 2/1.0 1,012 (+5%) 13mo $30,000 $30 51
306 Cedar St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,074 (+12%) 3mo $174,368 $162 51
607 Colerain St 0.69mi 2/1.0 924 (-4%) 13mo $169,000 $183 50
1009 W Main St 0.69mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,102 (+15%) 2mo $200,000 $181 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.0%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$26,471
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
43.6%
Equity multiple
5.15×
Total profit
$69,708
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30728

Home prices YoY
-14.2%
Active inventory
218
Price-to-rent
4.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,244 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$75 /mo · $899/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$261
Net cashflow
$568

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 49%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $602 -5% $585 +0% $568 +5% $551 +10% $534
Rent -10% $470 -5% $519 +0% $568 +5% $617 +10% $666
Rate -1.0pp $598 -0.5pp $583 base $568 +0.5pp $552 +1.0pp $537

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  2. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  3. 2026-03-19
    price $60,000
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  4. 2026-03-19
    price $60,000 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  5. 2025-11-12
    price $67,000 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  6. 2025-11-12
    price $67,000
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  7. 2025-10-14
    listed $77,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

  8. 2025-10-14
    listed $77,000 Active 281-char remark
    Show marketing remark (281 chars)

    Located in the city of Lafayette. Convenient to schools, churches, shopping. recreation , restaurants and more. Bring your ideas and tool box to restore this home. Featuring two bedrooms, one bath, large kitchen and a laundry room. Nice back yard. Property is being sold ''as is''.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$899 · $75/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$899 · $75/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,925
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$899
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,194
− Management
−$1,194
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$6,231
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,496
After-tax cash flow
$5,320/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walker County
NCES district ID
1305370
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$39,889
Composite
22.74/100
National rank
#8035
State rank
#114 of 174 in GA

Livability — LaFayette

Score
61/100
State rank
#345
US rank
#17893

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment F Housing A Health & safety F User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
LaFayette, GA
County
Walker County · 48,831 people
City population
18,790
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
18,790
Household income
$55,455
Rent vs Own
26.6% rent · 73.4% own
Severe rent burden
233.0

Population outlook (Walker County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
66,050 people
By 2030
64,305 · -2.6%
By 2040
60,127 · -9.0%
By 2050
55,551 · -15.9%
By 2075
44,886 · -32.0%
By 2100
34,015 · -48.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · South Korea
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walker

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.3) · D 20.1% · R 79.4%
2008→2024 swing
-12.5pp toward R · 2008: -46.8pp · 2024: -59.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.3 2020: R+59.3 2016: R+61.5 2012: R+50.2 2008: R+46.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -45.02%
Current HPI
271.2944
Rent YoY
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-22.1% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-14 Pending GCAR
  • 2026-04-14 Pending CCARMLS
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $60,000 GCAR
  • 2026-03-19 Price Changed $60,000 CCARMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $67,000 CCARMLS
  • 2025-11-12 Price Changed $67,000 GCAR
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $77,000 CCARMLS
  • 2025-10-14 Listed $77,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+26.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $899 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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