1517 Tiffany Ct · Lowell, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +11.9/30.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- DSCR +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$219,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Below Market Opportunity * Ranch 1338 s. f. * 4 Bedroom * Dining Room * 4th BR was a Family Room with Wood Burning Fireplace with Gas Starter, that was last used as a Primary Bedroom * Freshly Painted * New Dishwasher * New Hot Water Heater * 2.5 Car Garage Built in 2003 * Large Privacy Fenced yard * Tree House and Play Equipment * Needs updated windows, which price reflects * Possible to arrange new install just prior to closing with price increase * Roof Architectural Shingles New in 2013 * Central Air 6 Years Old * * FHA 203B or K Remodeling Loan, Conventional or Cash *
Key facts
- Play equipment
- Hot water heater
- Tree house
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-56 ($-674/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $210k (4.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $193k (12.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $193k (12.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.0% vs local median 3.8% in Lowell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#51 in IN, #3,455 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Tri-Creek School Corporation (town): math 46% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #39 of 301 in IN (top 13%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Three Creeks Elem School (math 55% / reading 48%, grade C-, #256 of 994 statewide, top 26%, 515 students, 30% FRL); Lowell Middle School (math 36% / reading 54%, grade D, #81 of 330 statewide, top 25%, 742 students, 33% FRL); Lowell Senior High School (math 31% / reading 75%, grade C-, #99 of 369 statewide, top 27%, 1,033 students, 29% FRL).
- Market conditions: 351 active listings in the ZIP; 1,642 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lake County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($194k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.99%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.09%
- DSCR
- 0.95
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $282,668
- List price
- $219,999
- Delta
- -22.17%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404 N Burr St | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,360 (+2%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $206 | 83 |
| 17513 Calhoun St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (-0%) | 8mo | $255,000 | $191 | 77 |
| 1507 Harrison St | 0.13mi | 3/1.5 | 1,452 (+8%) | 7mo | $287,000 | $198 | 72 |
| 337 Woodbridge Dr | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,416 (+6%) | 14mo | $309,000 | $218 | 71 |
| 400 Woodbridge Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,176 (-12%) | 3mo | $285,013 | $242 | 71 |
| 226 East St | 0.24mi | 3/1.0 | 1,232 (-8%) | 8mo | $220,000 | $179 | 69 |
| 201 Crestline Dr | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,378 (+3%) | 8mo | $315,000 | $229 | 68 |
| 239 N Viant St | 0.34mi | 3/1.0 | 1,200 (-10%) | 6mo | $148,000 | $123 | 62 |
| 418 Joe Martin Rd | 0.66mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,332 (-0%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $203 | 58 |
| 303 Burnham St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,480 (+11%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $182 | 54 |
| 521 Cottage Grove St | 0.72mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,262 (-6%) | 4mo | $201,000 | $159 | 48 |
| 328 Castle St | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,504 (+12%) | 12mo | $150,000 | $100 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-39,157
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.38×
- Total profit
- $-38,424
- Equity at exit
- $19,021
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 46356
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,935 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$339 /mo · $4,072/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$406
- Net cashflow
- $-56
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $68 | -5% $6 | +0% $-56 | +5% $-118 | +10% $-181 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-209 | -5% $-133 | +0% $-56 | +5% $20 | +10% $97 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $55 | -0.5pp $0 | base $-56 | +0.5pp $-113 | +1.0pp $-171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-04-29status Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Great Below Market Opportunity * Ranch 1338 s. f. * 4 Bedroom * Dining Room * 4th BR was a Family Room with Wood Burning Fireplace with Gas Starter, that was last used as a Primary Bedroom * Freshly Painted * New Dishwasher * New Hot Water Heater * 2.5 Car Garage Built in 2003 * Large Privacy Fenced yard * Tree House and Play Equipment * Needs updated windows, which price reflects * Possible to arrange new install just prior to closing with price increase * Roof Architectural Shingles New in 2013 * Central Air 6 Years Old * * FHA 203B or K Remodeling Loan, Conventional or Cash *
-
2026-04-16status Pending 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Great Below Market Opportunity * Ranch 1338 s. f. * 4 Bedroom * Dining Room * 4th BR was a Family Room with Wood Burning Fireplace with Gas Starter, that was last used as a Primary Bedroom * Freshly Painted * New Dishwasher * New Hot Water Heater * 2.5 Car Garage Built in 2003 * Large Privacy Fenced yard * Tree House and Play Equipment * Needs updated windows, which price reflects * Possible to arrange new install just prior to closing with price increase * Roof Architectural Shingles New in 2013 * Central Air 6 Years Old * * FHA 203B or K Remodeling Loan, Conventional or Cash *
-
2026-04-03price $219,999 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Great Below Market Opportunity * Ranch 1338 s. f. * 4 Bedroom * Dining Room * 4th BR was a Family Room with Wood Burning Fireplace with Gas Starter, that was last used as a Primary Bedroom * Freshly Painted * New Dishwasher * New Hot Water Heater * 2.5 Car Garage Built in 2003 * Large Privacy Fenced yard * Tree House and Play Equipment * Needs updated windows, which price reflects * Possible to arrange new install just prior to closing with price increase * Roof Architectural Shingles New in 2013 * Central Air 6 Years Old * * FHA 203B or K Remodeling Loan, Conventional or Cash *
-
2025-11-17$224,999 Active 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
Great Below Market Opportunity * Ranch 1338 s. f. * 4 Bedroom * Dining Room * 4th BR was a Family Room with Wood Burning Fireplace with Gas Starter, that was last used as a Primary Bedroom * Freshly Painted * New Dishwasher * New Hot Water Heater * 2.5 Car Garage Built in 2003 * Large Privacy Fenced yard * Tree House and Play Equipment * Needs updated windows, which price reflects * Possible to arrange new install just prior to closing with price increase * Roof Architectural Shingles New in 2013 * Central Air 6 Years Old * * FHA 203B or K Remodeling Loan, Conventional or Cash *
-
2015-07-01historical
-
2015-06-30historical
-
2015-03-27$154,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,072 · $339/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,072 · $339/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,218
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$4,072
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,857
- − Management
- −$1,857
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$4,392
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,054
- After-tax cash flow
- $380/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tri-Creek School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1811460
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,614
- Composite
- 44.97/100
- National rank
- #2704
- State rank
- #39 of 301 in IN
Livability — Lowell
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #51
- US rank
- #3455
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lowell, IN
- City population
- 19,396
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,396
Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,026 people
- By 2030
- 478,091 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 462,974 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 449,894 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 436,169 · -9.9%
- By 2100
- 426,607 · -11.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 16% Iranian 10% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lake
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+5.6) · D 52.1% · R 46.5% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.6pp toward R · 2008: 34.3pp · 2024: 5.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+5.6 2020: D+15.1 2016: D+20.6 2012: D+31.0 2008: D+34.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.73%
- Current HPI
- 256.6224
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+42.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Relisted — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-16 Pending — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-03 Price Changed $219,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-17 Listed $224,999 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-01 Listing Removed — NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-30 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-03-27 Listed $154,900 NIRA MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2024): $4,072 · +6.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…