204 Riverview Dr · Spring Lake, NC
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.73%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 66.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
Key facts
- 1.18 acres
- Manufactured home
- Spacious living area
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Holding tank and septic tank sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story / one level
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch with front porch
Interior
- Bedrooms: Total of 6 rooms (includes bedroom count inferred from rooms total)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Carpet and laminate flooring; No fireplace; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $626 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $145k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.5% in Spring Lake — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#543 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Moore County Schools (rural): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #58 of 178 in NC (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: New Century Middle (math 47% / reading 55%, grade C, #106 of 475 statewide, top 22%, 625 students, 32% FRL); Union Pines High (math 63% / reading 70%, grade B, #150 of 535 statewide, top 28%, 1,438 students, 34% FRL).
- Market conditions: 225 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 941 units permitted in Moore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($80k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Moore County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $34k (18%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $110k; 46% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.81%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $377,200
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 195 Creek Bend Dr | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,635 (-11%) | 5mo | $335,000 | $205 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $14,043
- Equity at exit
- $23,782
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $63,683
- Equity at exit
- $13,791
Cash invested: $44,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28394
- Active inventory
- 225
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,187 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$836
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$459
- Net cashflow
- $626
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $736 | -5% $681 | +0% $626 | +5% $571 | +10% $516 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $453 | -5% $539 | +0% $626 | +5% $712 | +10% $799 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $706 | -0.5pp $666 | base $626 | +0.5pp $584 | +1.0pp $542 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,875
- Closing costs
- $4,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18status $159,500 Pending 100 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $159,500 Active 100 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $159,500 Active 99 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $159,500 Active 98 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $159,500 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $159,500 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $159,500 Active 94 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $169,500 Active 92 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $169,500 Active 91 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $169,500 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $169,500 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $169,500 Active 86 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $169,500 Active 84 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $169,500 Active 83 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $169,500 Active 82 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $169,500 Active 81 DOM
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2026-05-13price $169,500
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2026-04-13price $183,500
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2026-03-10$193,500 Active
-
2020-06-01soldstatus $109,500
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2020-05-29soldstatus $109,300 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
-
2020-05-29soldstatus $109,300 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
-
2020-05-29soldstatus $109,300 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
-
2020-03-23$109,900 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
-
2020-03-23$109,900 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
-
2020-03-23$109,900 443-char remark
Show marketing remark (443 chars)
This charming ranch has been beautifully updated throughout! The entire home has been freshly painted and has all new flooring. The huge eat-in kitchen has all new cabinets, counters and appliances. Bathroom updates include new tubs and new vanities. There is a separate laundry/mud room. Enjoy the beautiful country setting on the covered front porch or large back deck. Large shed for extra storage. And all new HVAC too! This is a must see!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 73% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,249
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,934
- − Property taxes
- −$2,392
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,100
- − Management
- −$2,100
- − Depreciation
- −$4,640
- Taxable income
- $5,284
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,268
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,241/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Moore County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703090
- Math proficiency
- 48% ▲ 5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▲ 5.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,333
- Composite
- 43.63/100
- National rank
- #2967
- State rank
- #58 of 178 in NC
Livability — Spring Lake
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #543
- US rank
- #19811
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Moore County · 75,247 people
- City population
- 24,000
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,936
- Household income
- $79,643
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 109.0
Population outlook (Moore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 106,902 people
- By 2030
- 113,134 · +5.8%
- By 2040
- 125,682 · +17.6%
- By 2050
- 137,811 · +28.9%
- By 2075
- 164,387 · +53.8%
- By 2100
- 175,595 · +64.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Two or more races 10% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 6% Italian 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Moore
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+29.5) · D 34.8% · R 64.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -21.4pp · 2024: -29.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+29.5 2020: R+27.4 2016: R+29.6 2012: R+28.1 2008: R+21.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.99%
- Current HPI
- 160.0419
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Pinehurst-Southern Pines, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+54.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $169,500 LPRMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $183,500 LPRMLS
- 2026-03-10 Listed $193,500 LPRMLS
- 2020-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $109,500 Public Records
- 2020-05-29 Sold (MLS) $109,300 AMLSNC
- 2020-05-29 Sold (MLS) $109,300 LPRMLS
- 2020-05-29 Sold (MLS) $109,300 TMLS
- 2020-03-23 Listed $109,900 AMLSNC
- 2020-03-23 Listed $109,900 LPRMLS
- 2020-03-23 Listed $109,900 TMLS
Property tax history
-1.9%/yrLatest (2024): $285 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…