Duplex
304 Northland Ave · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.4/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$259,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 304 Northland Avenue! This amazing property sold on the first day of listing; it's now "Back On The Market" due to the buyer's financial status changing. This home has been in the same family for over 71 years, it features very good bones and old vintage charm. Some updates includes: New Circuit Breakers(2025), New Furnace(Upper 2025), New Light Fixtures(2025) and Newer Roof(2019). The original Hardwood Floors are throughout the entire house. This home will need some repairs to the downstairs bathroom and kitchen. There is a half bath in the basement- not working, but could be updated. Being "SOLD-AS-IS. " The owner is not able to do any repairs as a result of a Home Inspection or Appraisal.
Key facts
- Newer furnaces
- Full basement
- Full attic
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Two-unit property with separate gas and electric meters for each unit; Operating expense details: see remarks; Owner pays: see remarks; Rent includes: see remarks
Exterior
- Parking: One parking space
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Two-story multi-family building; Existing construction
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Stone foundation; PEX plumbing
- Exterior features: Balcony; Porch listed for one unit; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: One unit lists dishwasher and refrigerator among features
- Bedrooms: Two separate 3-bedroom units (each unit has 3 bedrooms)
- Flooring: Ceramic tile, tile, vinyl, and varied flooring
- Bathrooms: Each unit has one full bathroom (two full bathrooms total)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Gas heating with forced air and hot water components (see remarks)
- Interior features: Ceramic tile and vinyl flooring; some areas vary; Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $260k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive. Per door: $615/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $260k).
- Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 54 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,492/mo this rent would consume 86% of the median local household income ($48k/yr) (locally 723% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $73k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $121k; list at $260k implies a 115% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.97%
- Cash-on-cash
- 20.28%
- DSCR
- 1.90
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $178,464
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 Northland Ave | 0.00mi | 6/2.0 | 2,288 (0%) | 4mo | $121,000 | $53 | 96 |
| 26 Pleasant Pl | 0.12mi | 6/2.0 | 2,346 (+2%) | 3mo | $162,000 | $69 | 88 |
| 169 Florida St | 0.21mi | 6/2.0 | 2,138 (-7%) | 3mo | $258,000 | $121 | 77 |
| 48 Oakgrove Ave | 0.28mi | 6/2.0 | 2,200 (-4%) | 7mo | $318,000 | $145 | 74 |
| 622 Woodlawn Ave | 0.51mi | 6/2.0 | 2,288 (0%) | 3mo | $177,500 | $78 | 73 |
| 192 Goulding Ave | 0.32mi | 6/2.0 | 2,476 (+8%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $89 | 70 |
| 502 Glenwood Ave | 0.49mi | 5/2.0 (-1) | 2,294 (+0%) | 7mo | $20,500 | $9 | 66 |
| 73 Monticello Pl | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 | 2,424 (+6%) | 3mo | $160,000 | $66 | 63 |
| 56 Eastwood Pl | 0.48mi | 6/2.0 | 2,487 (+9%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $101 | 60 |
| 497-499 Riley St | 0.71mi | 6/2.0 | 2,380 (+4%) | 2mo | $105,900 | $44 | 59 |
| 159 Purdy St | 0.52mi | 6/2.0 | 2,080 (-9%) | 6mo | $212,500 | $102 | 56 |
| 84 Monticello Pl | 0.55mi | 6/2.0 | 2,591 (+13%) | 0mo | $145,000 | $56 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.50×
- Total profit
- $36,091
- Equity at exit
- $38,752
- IRR
- 21.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $131,821
- Equity at exit
- $22,471
Cash invested: $72,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14208
- Home prices YoY
- -3.4%
- Active inventory
- 54
- Price-to-rent
- 12.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,492 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,363
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $693/yr
- Insurance
- −$108
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$733
- Net cashflow
- $1,230
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,377 | -5% $1,303 | +0% $1,230 | +5% $1,156 | +10% $1,083 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $954 | -5% $1,092 | +0% $1,230 | +5% $1,368 | +10% $1,506 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,361 | -0.5pp $1,296 | base $1,230 | +0.5pp $1,162 | +1.0pp $1,094 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 3 | 1 | $3,492 |
| #1 | 3 | 1 | $1,746 |
| #2 | 3 | 1 | $1,746 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,492 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $64,975
- Closing costs
- $7,797
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Hughes Ave Buffalo, NY | 7.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $3,000 | $1.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 518 Wilson St Buffalo, NY | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1848 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 24d | 1 | 1.43mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $259,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $259,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $259,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $259,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $259,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $259,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-07$259,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $693 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,543 · $212/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,849/yr (+$154/mo · 266.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $41,904
- − Mortgage interest
- −$14,558
- − Property taxes
- −$693
- − Insurance
- −$1,300
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,352
- − Management
- −$3,352
- − Depreciation
- −$7,561
- Taxable income
- $11,087
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,661
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,095/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,572
- Household income
- $48,476
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 723.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 15% Asian 6% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 1% Hispanic 0%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Other Indo-European 3% Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -16.37%
- Current HPI
- 459.2084
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+73.3% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $259,900 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-12 Sold (MLS) $121,000 WNYREIS
- 2026-02-10 Sold (Public Records) $125,000 Public Records
- 2026-01-07 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $135,000 WNYREIS
- 2025-12-13 Relisted — WNYREIS
- 2025-09-05 Pending — WNYREIS
- 2025-09-05 Listed $150,000 WNYREIS
Property tax history
+13.6%/yrLatest (2025): $693 · +84.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…