437 Cochise St · West Melbourne, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$80,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in a quiet and friendly 55+ community, Palm Lake Estates. Remodeled kitchen with new stove and refrigerator and dishwasher. Both bathrooms remodeled. New roof. Replaced all sub-flooring and flooring throughout. Washer & amp; dryer included. Additional enclosed porch we use as an office. Large storage shed with workbench. Really nice neighbors. Beautiful community pool and clubhouse. Many activities and social gatherings. Lot rent $710 per month. Includes access to all the amenities this community has to offer. Must be park approved.
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Community pool
- Remodeled kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $80k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $80k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#73 in FL, #1,214 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: commute D+, amenities F.
- Brevard (suburban): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #19 of 73 in FL (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.3%/yr); 304 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,602 units permitted in Brevard County in 2024 (702 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brevard County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 24 days — a 2% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 55.18%
- DSCR
- 3.46
- GRM
- 3.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 50.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.09×
- Total profit
- $46,796
- Equity at exit
- $11,928
- IRR
- 54.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.58×
- Total profit
- $102,652
- Equity at exit
- $6,917
Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32904
- Rents YoY
- -0.3%
- Active inventory
- 304
- Price-to-rent
- 3.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,004 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$420
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$100 /mo · $1,200/yr
- Insurance
- −$33
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$421
- Net cashflow
- $1,030
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,000
- Closing costs
- $2,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 760 John Adams Ln Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1288 | $1,950 | $1.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 49 Piney Branch Way Unit A Melbourne, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1288 | $1,600 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1361 Tamango Dr Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1815 | $2,350 | $1.29 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4850 Heritage Lakes BLVD West Melbourne, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1018 | $2,070 | $2.03 | 14d | 119 | 1.05mi |
| 2916 Rollins St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1635 | $2,190 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1152 Bainbury Ln Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1297 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 24d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2900 Vassar St Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1316 | $1,925 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 300 Amherst Ave Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $2,050 | $1.52 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 212 Dubber Rd Melbourne, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $2,000 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2114 Nebula Way West Melbourne, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 982 | $2,031 | $2.07 | 14d | 15 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $80,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $80,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $80,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $80,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $80,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $80,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $80,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $80,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $80,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $80,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $80,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $80,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $80,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-26$80,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,043
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,481
- − Property taxes
- −$1,200
- − Insurance
- −$400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,923
- − Management
- −$1,923
- − Depreciation
- −$2,327
- Taxable income
- $11,788
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,829
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,531/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 1 photo
This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home in Palm Lake Estates is in good condition with recent renovations and a well-maintained exterior. It offers a quiet and friendly community with amenities and low maintenance costs.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look newer
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Both Painting exterior — Fresh paint can make the home look newer ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brevard
- NCES district ID
- 1200150
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,426
- Composite
- 46.86/100
- National rank
- #2370
- State rank
- #19 of 73 in FL
Livability — West Melbourne
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #73
- US rank
- #1214
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Melbourne, FL
- County
- Brevard County · 602,871 people
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,241
- Household income
- $90,673
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 597.0
Population outlook (Brevard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 623,254 people
- By 2030
- 648,420 · +4.0%
- By 2040
- 690,009 · +10.7%
- By 2050
- 715,669 · +14.8%
- By 2075
- 775,744 · +24.5%
- By 2100
- 776,687 · +24.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 10% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 2% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brevard
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.8) · D 39.1% · R 59.9% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.4pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -20.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.8 2020: R+16.4 2016: R+19.8 2012: R+12.7 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -195.98%
- Current HPI
- 304.2546
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.32%
- Metro
- Palm Bay-Melbourne-Titusville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Listed $80,000 FSBO.com
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…