628 Burrell Ave #11 · Lewiston, ID 83501

$29,500

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 742 sqft · Manufactured · 2 Days on market

Built 1976

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Affordable living in a good location. Trailer has some improvements with 2 parking spots. Open floor plan and newer deck. New hot water tank-located near the end of the park. Centrally located in the Lewiston Orchards. The park allows pets. Apply with All Valley Property Management. Space Rent $645. More if you have a pet. includes Water/Sewer/Garbage. Must be approved by the park.

Key facts

• Open floor plan
• Allows pets
• New hot water tank

Tags

• OPEN FLOOR PLAN
• NEWER DECK
• NEW HOT WATER TANK
• CENTRALLY LOCATED
• ALLOWS PETS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $30k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $554 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($960 rent vs $30k).
• Cap rate 28.8% vs local median 1.9% in Lewiston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#30 in ID, #4,281 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
• Lewiston Independent District (urban): math 44% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #37 of 92 in ID (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 272 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Nez Perce County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($74k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $204 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $885 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Nez Perce County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Recommended offer $29,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1976 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.25% ✓
• Cap rate: 28.84%
• Cash-on-cash: 80.54%
• DSCR: 4.58
• GRM: 2.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $66,038
• Comps found: 6

Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
628 Burrell Ave #7	0.00mi	2/1.0	720 (-3%)	5mo	$25,000	$35	91
628 Burrell Ave #5	0.00mi	3/2.0 (+1)	720 (-3%)	3mo	$9,000	$13	84
515 Warner Ave #12	0.67mi	2/1.0	742 (0%)	17mo	$69,500	$94	54
631 Warner Ave. #10 #10	0.56mi	2/1.0	784 (+6%)	13mo	$69,900	$89	54
631 Warner Ave. #18 Ave	0.56mi	2/1.0	840 (+13%)	3mo	$72,500	$86	49
631 Warner Avenue #17 Ave	0.56mi	2/1.0	672 (-9%)	24mo	$65,000	$97	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 80.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.70×
• Total profit: $30,543
• Equity at exit: $4,399

10-year hold

• IRR: 84.1%
• Equity multiple: 9.73×
• Total profit: $72,120
• Equity at exit: $2,551

Cash invested: $8,260 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Idaho: 91 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+18
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; preempted; minimal tenant protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 83501

• Active inventory: 272
• Price-to-rent: 2.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $960 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$155
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$37 /mo · $442/yr
• Insurance: −$12
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$202
• Net cashflow: $554

Break-even live

Break-even rent $258

Max offer price $29,500

Occupancy floor 37%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $7,375
• Closing costs: $885
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-06-19
   remarks 384-char remark
2. 2026-06-19
   listed $29,500 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $11,518
• − Mortgage interest: −$1,652
• − Property taxes: −$442
• − Insurance: −$148
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$921
• − Management: −$921
• − Depreciation: −$858
• Taxable income: $6,574
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,578
• After-tax cash flow: $5,075/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lewiston Independent District
• NCES district ID: 1601860
• Math proficiency: 44% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $47,224
• Composite: 41.65/100
• National rank: #3423
• State rank: #37 of 92 in ID

Livability — Lewiston

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #30
• US rank: #4281

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lewiston, ID
• County: Nez Perce County · 37,520 people
• City population: 37,520
• Metro: Lewiston, ID-WA
• Population (ZIP): 37,520
• Household income: $73,629
• Rent vs Own: 30.8% rent · 69.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 976.0

Population outlook (Nez Perce County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 42,583 people
• By 2030: 43,754 · +2.7%
• By 2040: 45,907 · +7.8%
• By 2050: 47,819 · +12.3%
• By 2075: 53,100 · +24.7%
• By 2100: 55,971 · +31.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (89%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Nez Perce

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+38.6) · D 29.4% · R 68.1% · Other 2.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: -18.1pp · 2024: -38.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+38.6 2020: R+33.6 2016: R+34.1 2012: R+20.9 2008: R+18.1

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -352.77%
• Current HPI: 229.4958
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Lewiston, ID-WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 6

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in ID)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	1	$79B
▸Technology	1	$25B
▸Food / Agriculture	1	$6B