5035 Gibbs Dr · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.7/30.0
- ARV discount +12.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Opportunity. See Property Facts for more info. 3 house portfolio to be sold together .
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Listed 307 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $85 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $130k (4.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $119k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, schools F, crime F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.8%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 307 days — a 12% lower offer ($119k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $135k implies a 139% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 307 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1967 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.05%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.69%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $150,092
- List price
- $135,000
- Delta
- -10.05%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4630 Acorn St | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,517 (+5%) | 3mo | $189,900 | $125 | 67 |
| 1536 Edgechester Ave | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,304 (-10%) | 7mo | $119,900 | $92 | 58 |
| 4785 Gardiner Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,384 (-4%) | 2mo | $181,000 | $131 | 56 |
| 4923 Mehaffey St | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,524 (+5%) | 2mo | $184,000 | $121 | 56 |
| 5348 Burbank St | 0.38mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,300 (-10%) | 5mo | $144,001 | $111 | 56 |
| 5010 Kingston Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,369 (-5%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $139 | 56 |
| 5327 Kingsberry | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,526 (+6%) | 3mo | $184,900 | $121 | 54 |
| 1014 Watson Dr | 0.64mi | 3/1.5 | 1,296 (-10%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $108 | 50 |
| 822 Reaper Ln | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,312 (-9%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $137 | 47 |
| 2213 Welch Dr | 0.69mi | 3/1.5 | 1,268 (-12%) | 2mo | $140,000 | $110 | 46 |
| 763 Corley Dr | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 | 1,300 (-10%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $65 | 45 |
| 5529 Pollman St | 0.62mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,250 (-14%) | 5mo | $146,000 | $117 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-14,032
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 1.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $5,121
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31907
- Rents YoY
- 4.8%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,296 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax from tax record
- −$174 /mo · $2,093/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$272
- Net cashflow
- $85
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4707 Marino St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $995 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 4970 Gardiner Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1412 | $1,400 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4832 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 13d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1502 Baker St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1225 | $1,300 | $1.06 | 13d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 1519 Baker St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1088 | $1,150 | $1.06 | 21d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1423 Hagan Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $1,250 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5330 Buena Vista Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $995 | $0.90 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 947 Belvedere Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1197 | $1,425 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 1722 Emerson Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,150 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 5038 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1056 | $1,175 | $1.11 | 13d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1711 Floyd Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $1,300 | $1.36 | 13d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1719 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1249 | $1,100 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 1537 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1139 | $975 | $0.86 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1507 Celia Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,050 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5421 Susan Ln Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1368 | $1,100 | $0.80 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5530 Hunter Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,300 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1917 Watkins Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1323 | $1,200 | $0.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 2316 Wellborn Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1047 | $1,050 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 1029 Amber Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1053 | $1,300 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 800 Goodson Dr Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1012 | $1,225 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5501 Ambervista Ct Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1402 | $1,375 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 920 Rosewood Dr Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1325 | $1,350 | $1.02 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 5850 Blueridge Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,200 | $1.07 | 43d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 4414 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,195 | $1.21 | 21d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 879 Arlington Dr Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1528 | $1,400 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 845 Arlington Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $850 | $0.68 | 43d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 527 Englewood Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1469 | $1,450 | $0.99 | 13d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 2353 Agnes Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,400 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 6044 Cordova Rd Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1381 | $1,700 | $1.23 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1417 Celeste Dr Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1443 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 4478 Lapaloma Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1787 | $1,550 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 410 Columbia Dr Unit 1 Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $950 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4265 Adams St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $995 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7005 Hunter Hill Ct Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1636 | $1,800 | $1.10 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 419 Mount Pleasant Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1225 | $950 | $0.78 | 13d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 431 Camden Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,350 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 4135 Forrest Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 912 | $1,375 | $1.51 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 4254 Fort St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 961 | $900 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 407 Ocean Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1319 | $1,595 | $1.21 | 43d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 4312 Old Macon Rd #42 Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 21d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $135,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $135,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $135,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $135,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $135,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $135,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $135,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $135,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $135,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $135,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $135,000 Active 293 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $135,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $135,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $135,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $135,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $135,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-02-16status Active 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. See Property Facts for more info. 3 house portfolio to be sold together .
-
2026-02-16historical 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. See Property Facts for more info. 3 house portfolio to be sold together .
-
2025-08-15$135,000 Active 103-char remark
Show marketing remark (103 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity. See Property Facts for more info. 3 house portfolio to be sold together .
-
2018-04-11soldstatus $56,500
-
2017-11-07$57,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,093 · $174/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,093 · $174/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,546
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,093
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,244
- − Management
- −$1,244
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable loss
- −$1,198
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$288
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,306/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 59,110
- Household income
- $54,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2138.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 64% White 22% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -125.88%
- Current HPI
- 151.74
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+134.8% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Relisted — CBOR
- 2026-02-16 Delisted — CBOR
- 2025-08-15 Listed $135,000 CBOR
- 2018-04-11 Sold (Public Records) $56,500 Public Records
- 2017-11-07 Listed $57,500 CBOR
Property tax history
+9.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,093 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…