4242 3rd Ct · Seminole Manor, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Just Listed !!!, This home in Maralago Cay has an open floor plan with large Florida room . Large Master Suite with private bath. Washer and dryer inside the home. Beautiful treed lot well maintained. Large patio with green space beyond. Large shed. Tile flooring , no carpet . Large walk in closets in both bedrooms. The home is immaculate. Motivated sellers!
Key facts
- Rv parking
- Florida room
- Outdoor shed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in a senior community
- Financial info: Not a land-lease property; Pets allowed with possible breed restrictions; cats and dogs OK
- HOA & community: Has association; Community amenities include clubhouse, fitness center, game room, laundry, pool, tennis courts, gated access and recreation facilities; Monthly association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport (1 covered space) and driveway — 2 total parking spaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Well water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Water connected
- Home design: Mobile home; One story; East-facing
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Flat roof; Built as a resale property
- Exterior features: Outbuilding / shed for storage; Fenced backyard
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric cooktop
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (one on main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Satellite dish; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $180 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#711 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Starlight Cove Elementary School (math 40% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,684 of 2,144 statewide, top 79%, 737 students, 77% FRL); Tradewinds Middle School (math 25% / reading 35%, grade F, #468 of 571 statewide, top 82%, 912 students, 74% FRL); Santaluces Community High (math 22% / reading 39%, grade F, #434 of 667 statewide, top 66%, 2,675 students, 61% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 52% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 32% at this address vs 50% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Palm Beach average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 383 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 54 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $50k implies a 316% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 57% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 54 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.48%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.09% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $6,871
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.52×
- Total profit
- $35,232
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33462
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 383
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,360 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$1,339
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$496
- Net cashflow
- $180
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 33 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6040 Lace Wood Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1326 | $2,799 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 6411 Birch Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 580 Tallulah Rd Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,500 | $3.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 3883 Island Club Cir W Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1308 | $2,400 | $1.83 | 17d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 423 Pine Tree Ct #23 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1222 | $2,300 | $1.88 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 6511 Seminole Dr Unit 2 Atlantis, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 845 | $2,150 | $2.54 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 4350 Peregrine Way Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $2,704 | $2.64 | 2d | 18 | 0.75mi |
| 5056 Lantana Rd #4302 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 979 | $2,295 | $2.34 | 7d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6909 Blue Skies Dr Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1293 | $2,600 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 5048 Lantana Rd #5112 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1115 | $2,200 | $1.97 | 7d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 4951 Mallory St Unit 4951 Greenacres, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $2,700 | $2.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5064 Lantana Rd #6203 Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 929 | $2,100 | $2.26 | 24d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7132 Colony Club Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $2,510 | $2.31 | 2d | 14 | 1.06mi |
| 4947 Grinnell St Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1309 | $2,850 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4725 Via Bari Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1150 | $2,290 | $1.99 | 3d | 10 | 1.16mi |
| 7398 Willow Springs Cir E Boynton Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1390 | $2,861 | $2.06 | 5d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $1,975 | $2.49 | 15d | 2 | 1.30mi |
| 6289 Lear Dr #203 Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $2,200 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 6175 Reflections Blvd Lake Worth, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 814 | $2,307 | $2.83 | 1d | 15 | 1.37mi |
| 712 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,400 | $2.61 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 4863 Gulfstream Rd Lake Worth Beach, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $2,200 | $2.10 | 24d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,850 | $2.06 | 3d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1106 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,895 | $2.11 | 22d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 316 Meadows Cir #316 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 921 | $2,100 | $2.28 | 2d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1205 Meadows Cir Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 909 | $1,900 | $2.09 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1120 Meadows Cir Unit 1120 Boynton Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,980 | $2.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1707 Meadows Cir W Unit W Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,650 | $2.34 | 3d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 1617 Meadows Cir W Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,700 | $2.41 | 11d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 2780 Norfolk Pine Ct Lake Worth, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1175 | $2,400 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3884 Melaleuca Ln Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1407 | $2,750 | $1.95 | 7d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,700 | $2.41 | 17d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 1722 Meadows Cir #1722 Boynton Beach, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $1,700 | $2.41 | 15d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5864 Strawberry Lakes Cir Lake Worth, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $2,825 | $2.60 | 5d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $1,339 · $16,068/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $49,900 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $49,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $49,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $49,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $49,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $49,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-24$49,900 Active
-
2020-07-14soldstatus $12,000 Closed 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Just Listed !!!, This home in Maralago Cay has an open floor plan with large Florida room . Large Master Suite with private bath. Washer and dryer inside the home. Beautiful treed lot well maintained. Large patio with green space beyond. Large shed. Tile flooring , no carpet . Large walk in closets in both bedrooms. The home is immaculate. Motivated sellers!
-
2020-04-29$20,000 Active 360-char remark
Show marketing remark (360 chars)
Just Listed !!!, This home in Maralago Cay has an open floor plan with large Florida room . Large Master Suite with private bath. Washer and dryer inside the home. Beautiful treed lot well maintained. Large patio with green space beyond. Large shed. Tile flooring , no carpet . Large walk in closets in both bedrooms. The home is immaculate. Motivated sellers!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,265
- − Management
- −$2,265
- − HOA
- −$16,068
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $2,473
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$593
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,570/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Seminole Manor
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #711
- US rank
- #15076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,371
- Household income
- $73,997
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1852.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.68)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 44% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 14% Romanian 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 31% · Canada, Jamaica, Dominican Republic
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 20% French/Haitian/Cajun 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -295.48%
- Current HPI
- 361.5391
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.09%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+149.5% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Listed $49,900 Beaches MLS
- 2020-07-14 Sold (MLS) $12,000 MCRTC
- 2020-04-29 Listed $20,000 MCRTC
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…