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3938 Surfside Blvd #2345
D Composite 41.73
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +4.9/30.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.1/10.0
  • DSCR +0.0/10.0

$60,000

3938 Surfside Blvd #2345 · Corpus Christi, TX 78402
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 420 sqft · Townhouse public records · 335 Days on market
Built 1981 928 sqft lot $143/sqft · 45% below area Est $109k · 45% under $581/mo HOA · 50% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Its a Pirates Life!!! Use this property as your primary residence, vacation home or investment property. Comes furnished and turn key ready. Beach/ocean views from your private balcony this 1 bed 1 bath has been perfectly maintained and ready for its new owners. New flooring installed in bathroom September 2025.

Key facts

  • Private balcony
  • Turn key ready
  • $581 HOA

Tags

PRIVATE BALCONYTURN KEY READY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-145 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $35k (41.0% below list).
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $35k (41.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#66 in TX, #2,404 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
  • Corpus Christi ISD (urban): math 31% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #562 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Windsor Park G/T (math 85% / reading 90%, grade A+, #6 of 4,322 statewide, top 0%, 609 students, 29% FRL); Adkins Middle (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #660 of 1,662 statewide, top 41%, 956 students, 48% FRL); Roy Miller H S And Metro School of Design (math 24% / reading 32%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 1,538 students, 88% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 52% at this address vs 33% district-wide (+19 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Corpus Christi ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 1,397 units permitted in Nueces County in 2024 (47 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $415 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Nueces County population projected at +36% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 335 days — a 12% lower offer ($53k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 30y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $26k; list at $60k implies a 131% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price; HOA is 50% of rent.
Recommended offer $35,412 (41.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 335 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.95%
Cap rate
3.40%
Cash-on-cash
-10.34%
DSCR
0.54
GRM
4.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$109,452
List price
$60,000
Delta
-45.18%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3938 Surfside Blvd #2327 0.03mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $58,000 $138 98
3938 Surfside Blvd #3114 0.03mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $45,000 $107 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #3225 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $39,900 $95 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #3224 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $55,000 $131 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #2332 0.02mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $48,000 $114 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #3342 0.04mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $62,000 $148 97
3938 Surfside Blvd #1219 0.06mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $44,900 $107 96
3938 Surfside Blvd #1316 0.07mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 1mo $64,500 $154 96
3938 Surfside Blvd #1225 0.06mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $119 96
3938 Surfside Blvd #1327 0.05mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $119 95
3938 Surfside Blvd #1207 0.07mi 1/1.0 420 (0%) 2mo $50,000 $119 95
3938 Surfside Blvd #2305 0.06mi 1/1.0 418 (-0%) 3mo $100,000 $239 94

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-33.7%
Equity multiple
-0.10×
Total profit
$-18,521
Equity at exit
$8,946
10-year hold
IRR
-35.7%
Equity multiple
-0.57×
Total profit
$-26,293
Equity at exit
$5,188

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 78402

Home prices YoY
-8.8%
Active inventory
76
Price-to-rent
4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,169 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax from tax record
$148 /mo · $1,771/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$581
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$245
Net cashflow
$-145

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,352
Max offer price $35,412
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-111 -5% $-128 +0% $-145 +5% $-162 +10% $-179
Rent -10% $-237 -5% $-191 +0% $-145 +5% $-99 +10% $-52
Rate -1.0pp $-115 -0.5pp $-129 base $-145 +0.5pp $-160 +1.0pp $-176

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$581 · $6,972/yr

Listing history 39 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $60,000 Active 335 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 332 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 331 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 330 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 329 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 327 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 324 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 323 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 322 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 321 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $60,000 Active 318 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 317 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 316 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 315 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 314 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 313 DOM
  17. 2026-02-01
    price $60,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Its a Pirates Life!!! Use this property as your primary residence, vacation home or investment property. Comes furnished and turn key ready. Beach/ocean views from your private balcony this 1 bed 1 bath has been perfectly maintained and ready for its new owners. New flooring installed in bathroom September 2025.

  18. 2026-01-26
    price $63,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Its a Pirates Life!!! Use this property as your primary residence, vacation home or investment property. Comes furnished and turn key ready. Beach/ocean views from your private balcony this 1 bed 1 bath has been perfectly maintained and ready for its new owners. New flooring installed in bathroom September 2025.

  19. 2026-01-14
    price $65,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Its a Pirates Life!!! Use this property as your primary residence, vacation home or investment property. Comes furnished and turn key ready. Beach/ocean views from your private balcony this 1 bed 1 bath has been perfectly maintained and ready for its new owners. New flooring installed in bathroom September 2025.

  20. 2025-09-08
    price $70,000 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Its a Pirates Life!!! Use this property as your primary residence, vacation home or investment property. Comes furnished and turn key ready. Beach/ocean views from your private balcony this 1 bed 1 bath has been perfectly maintained and ready for its new owners. New flooring installed in bathroom September 2025.

  21. 2025-07-21
    listed $75,000 Active 313-char remark
    Show marketing remark (313 chars)

    Its a Pirates Life!!! Use this property as your primary residence, vacation home or investment property. Comes furnished and turn key ready. Beach/ocean views from your private balcony this 1 bed 1 bath has been perfectly maintained and ready for its new owners. New flooring installed in bathroom September 2025.

  22. 2024-05-06
    price $100,000
  23. 2024-04-24
    price $110,000
  24. 2024-04-08
    price $115,000
  25. 2024-01-09
    listed $118,000 Active
  26. 2023-10-29
    price $119,500
  27. 2023-08-06
    price $123,000
  28. 2023-06-23
    listed $130,000 Active
  29. 2021-09-22
    soldstatus
  30. 2021-09-21
    historical
  31. 2021-09-20
    soldstatus Closed
  32. 2021-07-26
    status Pending
  33. 2021-07-16
    historical Active Under Contract
  34. 2021-05-18
    listed $99,750 Active
  35. 2020-10-02
    soldstatus
  36. 2001-09-12
    soldstatus
  37. 2001-09-12
    soldstatus $26,000
  38. 2001-03-02
    listed $26,500
  39. 1996-03-18
    listed $23,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,771 · $148/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,771 · $148/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,028
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$1,771
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,122
− Management
−$1,122
− HOA
−$6,972
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable loss
−$2,366
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$568
After-tax cash flow
$-1,169/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Corpus Christi ISD
NCES district ID
4815270
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,672
Composite
28.27/100
National rank
#6793
State rank
#562 of 826 in TX

Livability — Corpus Christi

Score
78/100
State rank
#66
US rank
#2404

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Corpus Christi, TX
City population
296,836
Population (ZIP)
392

Population outlook (Nueces County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
418,037 people
By 2030
447,123 · +7.0%
By 2040
505,911 · +21.0%
By 2050
567,522 · +35.8%
By 2075
729,686 · +74.6%
By 2100
847,087 · +102.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 17% Black 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 16%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 7% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Nueces

2024 margin
R (+11.5) · D 43.8% · R 55.3%
2008→2024 swing
-7.1pp toward R · 2008: -4.4pp · 2024: -11.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+11.5 2020: R+2.9 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.2 2008: R+4.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.74%
Current HPI
101.5421
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+151.0% since first listed
23 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-01 Price Changed $60,000 CBMLS
  • 2026-01-26 Price Changed $63,000 CBMLS
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $65,000 CBMLS
  • 2025-09-08 Price Changed $70,000 CBMLS
  • 2025-07-21 Listed $75,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-05-06 Price Changed $100,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-04-24 Price Changed $110,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-04-08 Price Changed $115,000 CBMLS
  • 2024-01-09 Listed $118,000 CBMLS
  • 2023-10-29 Price Changed $119,500 CBMLS
  • 2023-08-06 Price Changed $123,000 CBMLS
  • 2023-06-23 Listed $130,000 CBMLS
  • 2021-09-22 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2021-09-21 Delisted CBMLS
  • 2021-09-20 Sold (MLS) CBMLS
  • 2021-07-26 Pending CBMLS
  • 2021-07-16 Contingent CBMLS
  • 2021-05-18 Listed $99,750 CBMLS
  • 2020-10-02 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2001-09-12 Sold (Public Records) $26,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-12 Sold (MLS) CBMLS
  • 2001-03-02 Listed $26,500 CBMLS
  • 1996-03-18 Listed $23,900 CBMLS

Property tax history

+7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,771 · -25.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…