1014 W 5th St · Hope, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 112°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.2/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$66,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Totally remodeled cozy home for sale. All fresh paint, carpet and vinyl. Ready for immediate occupancy. LOW utility bills.
Key facts
- 7,100 sq ft lot
- Built 1950
- Listed 6 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $66k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#161 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
- Hope School District (town): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #221 of 238 in AR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 22.50%
- DSCR
- 2.00
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $65,520
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1014 W 5th St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,008 (0%) | 1mo | $71,000 | $70 | 99 |
| 801 Springhill Dr | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,096 (+9%) | 5mo | $67,000 | $61 | 69 |
| 720 W Ave B | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,064 (+6%) | 8mo | $69,000 | $65 | 59 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.61×
- Total profit
- $11,346
- Equity at exit
- $9,841
- IRR
- 24.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.07×
- Total profit
- $38,186
- Equity at exit
- $5,706
Cash invested: $18,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71801
- Home prices YoY
- -19.5%
- Active inventory
- 34
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $931 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$346
- Tax from tax record
- −$15 /mo · $180/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$195
- Net cashflow
- $346
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,500
- Closing costs
- $1,980
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-04-11$66,000 Active
-
2017-02-24soldstatus $130,000
-
2001-12-21soldstatus $64,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $180 · $15/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $422 · $35/mo
- Expected delta
- +$242/yr (+$20/mo · 134.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,167
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,697
- − Property taxes
- −$180
- − Insurance
- −$330
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$893
- − Management
- −$893
- − Depreciation
- −$1,920
- Taxable income
- $3,253
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$781
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,377/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hope School District
- NCES district ID
- 0507840
- Math proficiency
- 13% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,285
- Composite
- 13.71/100
- National rank
- #9495
- State rank
- #221 of 238 in AR
Livability — Hope
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #161
- US rank
- #13723
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hope, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,907
Population outlook (Hempstead County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,807 people
- By 2030
- 19,949 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 18,236 · -12.4%
- By 2050
- 16,466 · -20.9%
- By 2075
- 12,676 · -39.1%
- By 2100
- 9,314 · -55.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 13%
Political lean MEDSL · Hempstead
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.2% · R 68.9% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.22%
- Current HPI
- 136.8593
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
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| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
+3.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — TBOR
- 2026-04-11 Listed $66,000 TBOR
- 2017-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2001-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.3%/yrLatest (2025): $180 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…