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1014 W 5th St
B- Composite 65.84
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$66,000

1014 W 5th St · Hope, AR 71801
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,008 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1950 7,100 sqft lot Est $66k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Totally remodeled cozy home for sale. All fresh paint, carpet and vinyl. Ready for immediate occupancy. LOW utility bills.

Key facts

  • 7,100 sq ft lot
  • Built 1950
  • Listed 6 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $66k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $346 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($931 rent vs $66k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#161 in AR) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Hope School District (town): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #221 of 238 in AR (top 93%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 34 active listings in the ZIP; 1 units permitted in Hempstead County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $456 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hempstead County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $66,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
12.59%
Cash-on-cash
22.50%
DSCR
2.00
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$65,520
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1014 W 5th St 0.00mi 2/1.0 1,008 (0%) 1mo $71,000 $70 99
801 Springhill Dr 0.25mi 2/1.0 1,096 (+9%) 5mo $67,000 $61 69
720 W Ave B 0.39mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,064 (+6%) 8mo $69,000 $65 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
1.61×
Total profit
$11,346
Equity at exit
$9,841
10-year hold
IRR
24.0%
Equity multiple
3.07×
Total profit
$38,186
Equity at exit
$5,706

Cash invested: $18,480 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arkansas
92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Only US state where non-payment is criminal. Strongly landlord-favorable; very few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 71801

Home prices YoY
-19.5%
Active inventory
34
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$931 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$346
Tax from tax record
$15 /mo · $180/yr
Insurance
$28
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$195
Net cashflow
$346

Break-even live

Break-even rent $492
Max offer price $66,000
Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,500
Closing costs
$1,980
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-11
    listed $66,000 Active
  3. 2017-02-24
    soldstatus $130,000
  4. 2001-12-21
    soldstatus $64,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$180 · $15/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$422 · $35/mo
Expected delta
+$242/yr (+$20/mo · 134.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥112°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,167
− Mortgage interest
−$3,697
− Property taxes
−$180
− Insurance
−$330
− Repairs & maintenance
−$893
− Management
−$893
− Depreciation
−$1,920
Taxable income
$3,253
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$781
After-tax cash flow
$3,377/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hope School District
NCES district ID
0507840
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$32,285
Composite
13.71/100
National rank
#9495
State rank
#221 of 238 in AR

Livability — Hope

Score
64/100
State rank
#161
US rank
#13723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hope, AR
Population (ZIP)
14,907

Population outlook (Hempstead County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
20,807 people
By 2030
19,949 · -4.1%
By 2040
18,236 · -12.4%
By 2050
16,466 · -20.9%
By 2075
12,676 · -39.1%
By 2100
9,314 · -55.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
White 48% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 13%

Political lean MEDSL · Hempstead

2024 margin
Solid R (+39.7) · D 29.2% · R 68.9% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-20.6pp toward R · 2008: -19.1pp · 2024: -39.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+39.7 2020: R+34.0 2016: R+28.9 2012: R+26.3 2008: R+19.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.22%
Current HPI
136.8593
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.80%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+3.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending TBOR
  • 2026-04-11 Listed $66,000 TBOR
  • 2017-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 2001-12-21 Sold (Public Records) $64,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $180 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…