215 S Valley View Rd #115 · Donna, TX
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Livability +2.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
$45,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Well maintained Park Model -CaV C, home in Quiet Village 55 and over mobile park. ready for its new Owner. Being sold "AS IS", fully furnished including refrigerator, gas stove, washer, dryer and 2 storage sheds one used as laundry area. HOme is equipped with handicapped ramp, and covered deck in back to enjoy early morning coffee or afternoon sunsets. PLEASE NOTE NO INVESTORS PER HOA REGULATIONS. For more information or showings contact Denise at (956)778-6878.
Key facts
- Covered deck
- Park model home
- Fully furnished
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $158 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($694 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 2.7% in Donna — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 54/100 on livability (#1,411 in TX) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Donna ISD (suburban): math 11% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #821 of 826 in TX (top 99%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 323 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($311 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.34%
- DSCR
- 1.95
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $47,324
- List price
- $45,000
- Delta
- -4.91%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 S Valley View Rd #5 | 0.00mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (+5%) | 3mo | $55,500 | $99 | 90 |
| 159 Bubbling Brook St | 0.07mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (+5%) | 7mo | $35,000 | $63 | 83 |
| 134 Whisper Meadows Ln | 0.04mi | 1/1.0 | 480 (-10%) | 24mo | $59,500 | $124 | 61 |
| 49 Nutmeg Ct | 0.73mi | 1/1.0 | 560 (+5%) | 21mo | $42,000 | $75 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $34,609
- Equity at exit
- $40,540
- IRR
- 30.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.47×
- Total profit
- $94,139
- Equity at exit
- $87,425
Cash invested: $12,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78537
- Home prices YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 323
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $694 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$236
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$56 /mo · $675/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$146
- Net cashflow
- $158
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,250
- Closing costs
- $1,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 310 S Val Verde Rd Unit 2 Donna, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $600 | $1.11 | 43d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 202 W South Ave Donna, TX | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $895 | $1.49 | 43d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 306 E Roberts Ave Donna, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $550 | $0.89 | 43d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 109 W Business Highway 83 Donna, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $785 | $1.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.32mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
- Likely covers
- gas
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $45,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-03-31$45,000 Active 476-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Well maintained Park Model home in Quiet Village 55 and over mobile park. ready for its new Owner. Being sold "AS IS", fully furnished including refrigerator, gas stove, washer, dryer and 2 storage sheds one used as laundry area. HOme is equipped with handicapped ramp, and covered deck in back to enjoy early morning coffee or afternoon sunsets. PLEASE NOTE NO INVESTORS PER HOA REGULATIONS.
-
2026-03-31$45,000 Active 402-char remark
Show marketing remark (402 chars)
Well maintained Park Model home in Quiet Village 55 and over mobile park. ready for its new Owner. Being sold "AS IS", fully furnished including refrigerator, gas stove, washer, dryer and 2 storage sheds one used as laundry area. HOme is equipped with handicapped ramp, and covered deck in back to enjoy early morning coffee or afternoon sunsets. PLEASE NOTE NO INVESTORS PER HOA REGULATIONS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,326
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,521
- − Property taxes
- −$675
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$666
- − Management
- −$666
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$1,309
- Taxable income
- $1,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$314
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,577/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This park model home is in fair condition with minor repairs and maintenance needed. Upgrades to paint, carpet, and cabinets would significantly enhance its value for both resale and rental.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathroom shower curtain — Needs cleaning
- Minor Deck and siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Carpeted floors — Wear visible
- Minor Paint — Faded appearance
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance
- Both Deep clean exterior siding — Clean siding enhances curb appeal and reflects better maintenance
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics
- Both Replace worn bathroom shower curtain — Fresh shower curtain enhances cleanliness and appearance
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom shower curtain · Needs cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Deck and siding · Weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Carpeted floors · Wear visible | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Paint · Faded appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 5 items | $2,500–15,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn carpet — New carpet improves comfort and appearance ↑
- Both Deep clean exterior siding — Clean siding enhances curb appeal and reflects better maintenance ↑
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn bathroom shower curtain — Fresh shower curtain enhances cleanliness and appearance ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Donna ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4817390
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -30.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 18% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $27,330
- Composite
- 11.16/100
- National rank
- #9728
- State rank
- #821 of 826 in TX
Livability — Donna
- Score
- 54/100
- State rank
- #1411
- US rank
- #24172
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 51,346
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,346
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 49% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 27% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 84%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 13.30%
- Current HPI
- 243.3933
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-31 Listed $45,000 MCALLENMLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed $45,000 RGVMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…