8601 Beach Blvd #811 · Jacksonville, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
Key facts
- Nature walking trail
- Open floor plan
- Fitness center
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Southern Grove Condo Association; Monthly association fee of $439; Association fee includes maintenance of grounds, water, sewer and trash; Community amenities: barbecue, car wash area, clubhouse, fitness center, gated access, jogging path, on-site management, trash service
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking; Gated parking; Guest parking
- Security: Gated community; Security gate
- Utilities: Public sewer; Water connected; Sewer connected; Electricity connected; Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; One level; Entry on level 3; 3-story building
- Construction: Property attached (condo)
- Exterior features: Rear screened porch; Security gate; Smoke detector(s); Community pool (not private)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Ceiling fan(s); Entrance foyer; Open floorplan; Smart thermostat; Split bedrooms; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: In-unit laundry; Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $83 ($992/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.0% in Jacksonville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#50 in FL, #911 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Duval (urban): math 46% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #48 of 73 in FL (top 66%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 219 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,503 units permitted in Duval County in 2024 (1,131 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Duval County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $22k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 24% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.36%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-24,176
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -18.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-34,070
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32216
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 219
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,830 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$75 /mo · $898/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$439
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $83
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8601 Beach Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $1,700 | $1.38 | 2d | 3 | 0.09mi |
| 8846 Cavender Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,475 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 8846 Cavender Dr Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,475 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 3013 Newell Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,795 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 6650 Corporate Center Pkwy Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 990 | $3,308 | $3.34 | 2d | 12 | 0.54mi |
| 8343 Hogan Rd Jacksonville, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1043 | $1,574 | $1.51 | 3d | 17 | 0.55mi |
| 9757 Patton Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1746 | $1,761 | $1.01 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 7505 Beach Blvd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 900 | $1,650 | $1.83 | 24d | 20 | 0.71mi |
| 2613 Sandusky Ave E Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $1,800 | $1.61 | 8d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7346 El Barco Rd #8 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 7346 El Barco Rd #8 Jacksonville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 992 | $1,295 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 8778 Buzz Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,800 | $1.49 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 574 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 574 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 573 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 573 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 567 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 566 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 8d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 558 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 558 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 540 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 540 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 545 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 535 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 535 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 520 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 15d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 520 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1549 | $2,149 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 514 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 514 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 514 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 514 Kit St Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 513 Narnia Ct Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 4d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 8232 Rigel Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1372 | $1,610 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 8236 Rigel Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1358 | $1,585 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 8252 Rigel Rd Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1358 | $1,625 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 487 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 487 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 481 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 481 Terabithia Way Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 471 Matilda Ln Jacksonville, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1480 | $1,845 | $1.25 | 15d | 1 | 1.17mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $439 · $5,268/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgymsecurity
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $150,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $150,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $160,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $160,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $160,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $160,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $160,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $160,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $160,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $160,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $160,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $160,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $160,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $160,000
-
2026-03-19$172,000 Active
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2026-01-15historical 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
-
2025-08-02status Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
-
2025-07-31historical 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
-
2025-06-16price $175,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
-
2025-05-07price $190,000 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
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2025-03-03$210,000 Active 992-char remark
Show marketing remark (992 chars)
Southern Grove Condominiums private & gated community! Very convenient to all parts of Jacksonville! This 3rd floor unit is in like new condition and has just been freshly painted throughout! Air Engineers recently replaced the HVAC with top of the line equipment! This gated condominium offers many amenities include a community pool, fitness center, park with grills and tables for family gatherings and/or parties, car wash area and a beautiful Nature Walking Trail! This unit is located on the back of the building and has a screened porch! The large foyer goes into the open floor plan of the kitchen, dining and living room areas with stackable sliding doors to the screened porch. The primary bedroom has a private full bath and a large walk in closet! Two other bedrooms also have large walk in closets and share a hall bathroom. This unit is in excellent condition! Note: ALL Furnishings are available to buyer with accepted offer. SEE PRIVATE REMARKS FOR FINANCING OF
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2004-02-04soldstatus $134,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $898 · $75/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,245 · $104/mo
- Expected delta
- +$347/yr (+$29/mo · 38.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,959
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$898
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,757
- − Management
- −$1,757
- − HOA
- −$5,268
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,237
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$297
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,289/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Duval
- NCES district ID
- 1200480
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,987
- Composite
- 38.97/100
- National rank
- #4076
- State rank
- #48 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jacksonville
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #50
- US rank
- #911
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jacksonville, FL
- County
- Duval County · 1,015,274 people
- City population
- 979,034
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,298
- Household income
- $61,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3324.0
Population outlook (Duval County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,013,010 people
- By 2030
- 1,059,228 · +4.6%
- By 2040
- 1,141,439 · +12.7%
- By 2050
- 1,205,258 · +19.0%
- By 2075
- 1,324,282 · +30.7%
- By 2100
- 1,319,620 · +30.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 11% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Lithuanian 2% American 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 78% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 3% Arabic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Duval
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.1% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.9pp · 2024: -1.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.5 2020: D+3.8 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+3.6 2008: R+1.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -221.05%
- Current HPI
- 296.9579
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.21%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+18.6% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $160,000 realMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $172,000 realMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-08-02 Relisted — realMLS
- 2025-07-31 Listing Removed — realMLS
- 2025-06-16 Price Changed $175,000 realMLS
- 2025-05-07 Price Changed $190,000 realMLS
- 2025-03-03 Listed $210,000 realMLS
- 2004-02-04 Sold (Public Records) $134,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $898 · +3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…