2302 R St SE #43 · Auburn, WA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $604 – $1,122
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 87°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 10 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 11 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +4.7/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Leisure Manor 55+ gated community offers this spacious 2 bedroom /1.75 bathroom home with 1,392 sqft. Oversized covered front porch welcomes you through the entry to the large living room with lots of windows that overlooks the dining room with built-in hutch for extra storage space. Great flow through to the kitchen with all appliances included, glass cooktop stove, French door refrigerator, dishwasher & microwave. Extra space off kitchen to use as you please with a slider to spacious covered patio. Large garden area for all you planting needs with a detached shed or workshop with power. Great community clubhouse with swimming pool, rec area and year-round community gatherings.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Covered front porch
- Glass cooktop stove
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Mobile home remains
- Financial info: Land lease: $1,081/month; Listing terms: Cash
- HOA & community: Located in Leisure Manor (senior community); Park amenities: BBQs, clubhouse, common area, exercise room, pool, recreational area, security gate; Park approved for sale
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Security: Security gate
- Utilities: Public water; Electric energy source; Electric water heater; Cable: Comcast; Internet: Comcast
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One level; Southwest facing; Good condition; Entry and family room included
- Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof; Metal skirting; Tie-down foundation; Manufactured house (double wide)
- Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Awnings; Patio/porch/deck
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Carpet
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath; 1 bathtub; 2 showers
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Double pane windows; Drapes; Patio/porch/deck; Walk-in closet
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room; Storage at back of home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 27.8% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
- Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 176 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.5% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 39 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $52k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 39 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 27.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 76.94%
- DSCR
- 4.42
- GRM
- 2.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,088
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2302 R St SE #11 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (+3%) | 17mo | $85,900 | $60 | 80 |
| 2302 R St SE #128 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,248 (-10%) | 10mo | $80,000 | $64 | 75 |
| 2302 R St SE #116 | 0.08mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-3%) | 21mo | $86,000 | $64 | 73 |
| 900 29th St SE Unit E-22 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 8mo | $50,000 | $35 | 51 |
| 3225 M St SE #144 | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-10%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $124 | 46 |
| 3225 M St SE #121 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-3%) | 15mo | $149,000 | $111 | 44 |
| 3225 M St SE #145 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,254 (-10%) | 7mo | $105,000 | $84 | 39 |
| 800 29th St SE Unit G16 | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,440 (+3%) | 23mo | $78,000 | $54 | 38 |
| 3225 M St SE #137 | 0.71mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-12%) | 17mo | $72,000 | $58 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 75.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.34×
- Total profit
- $60,802
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 78.5%
- Equity multiple
- 8.51×
- Total profit
- $136,742
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Washington
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 98002
- Rents YoY
- 1.5%
- Active inventory
- 176
- Price-to-rent
- 2.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,046 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$430
- Net cashflow
- $1,167
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,212 | -5% $1,189 | +0% $1,167 | +5% $1,145 | +10% $1,122 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,005 | -5% $1,086 | +0% $1,167 | +5% $1,248 | +10% $1,329 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,200 | -0.5pp $1,184 | base $1,167 | +0.5pp $1,150 | +1.0pp $1,133 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 14 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1910 N Ct SE Auburn, WA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1570 | $2,900 | $1.85 | 12d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 1526 29th St SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,595 | $1.75 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2952 O St SE Unit F Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1051 | $1,495 | $1.42 | 3d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2455 F St SE Auburn, WA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 757 | $1,678 | $2.21 | 3d | 6 | 0.79mi |
| 404 27th St SE Unit 19-1 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,750 | $1.75 | 13d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 418 17th St SE Unit 6C Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $2,200 | $1.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1014 37th St SE Apt 4 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $1,780 | $1.77 | 6d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3320 Auburn Way S Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1033 | $2,200 | $2.13 | 0d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 330 V St SE Unit 1 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $2,400 | $2.53 | 23d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2220 Noble Ct SE Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.5–2.0 | 1200 | $2,048 | $1.71 | 0d | 2 | 1.24mi |
| 225 I St SE Unit 225 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,100 | $2.14 | 16d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 107 N St SE Unit A Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,750 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 29 R St NE Unit A Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 25d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 4704 Mill Pond Dr SE #213 Auburn, WA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1142 | $2,750 | $2.41 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $65,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $65,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-13$65,000 Active
-
2021-07-06soldstatus $52,000 Closed
-
2021-06-21status Pending
-
2021-06-16$59,950 Active
-
2015-09-21historical
-
2015-09-21soldstatus $26,000 Sold
-
2015-07-20status Pending Inspection
-
2015-06-26$24,000 Active
-
2011-02-17soldstatus $23,000 Sold
-
2011-02-04status Pending Inspection
-
2010-11-29$23,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,550
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,964
- − Management
- −$1,964
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $13,790
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,310
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,694/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Auburn School District
- NCES district ID
- 5300300
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,048
- Composite
- 46.73/100
- National rank
- #5240
- State rank
- #125 of 291 in WA
Livability — Auburn
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #75
- US rank
- #1371
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Auburn, WA
- County
- King County · 2,251,916 people
- City population
- 74,969
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,509
- Household income
- $78,684
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2202.0
Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,576,485 people
- By 2030
- 2,803,316 · +8.8%
- By 2040
- 3,255,921 · +26.4%
- By 2050
- 3,706,444 · +43.9%
- By 2075
- 4,746,063 · +84.2%
- By 2100
- 5,407,730 · +109.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 20%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 24% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%
Political lean MEDSL · King
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -677.96%
- Current HPI
- 298.0849
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.51%
- Metro
- Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.65%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 2 | $269B |
|
||
| Technology / Retail | 1 | $638B |
|
||
| Technology | 1 | $245B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $36B |
|
||
| Automotive / Trucks | 1 | $34B |
|
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Price history
+182.6% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Listed $65,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-07-06 Sold (MLS) $52,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-21 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2021-06-16 Listed $59,950 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-21 Delisted — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-21 Sold (MLS) $26,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-07-20 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-06-26 Listed $24,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-17 Sold (MLS) $23,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-02-04 Pending — NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-11-29 Listed $23,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…