1501 Akron Dr · Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO 63137

$79,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 912 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market

Built 1954 6,098 sqft lot Est $123k · 35% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Rent growth +4.1/5.0
• Livability +2.9/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Traditional Bissell Hills, Bellefontaine Neighbors home. Loved by longtime owner, moving on. Think of the hardwood floors, a spacious backyard offers room to garden, grill, or just enjoy a quiet evening outside, off the enclosed porch. Property is in need of some updating.

Key facts

• Spacious backyard
• Enclosed porch
• Hardwood floors

Tags

• HARDWOOD FLOORS
• SPACIOUS BACKYARD
• ENCLOSED PORCH

Property features AI

Finance

• Other: Living area reported as 912 (public records)

Exterior

• Parking: Attached garage (1-car) with garage facing front; Additional parking including driveway, paved parking pad, side-by-side spaces, and on-street parking
• Security: Security system (leased)
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, natural gas, sewer and water connected
• Home design: Single family residence; One level
• Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof; Concrete perimeter foundation; Basement: full, concrete, roughed-in bath
• Exterior features: Awning-covered enclosed rear porch (glass enclosed); Back yard with chain link fencing; Level lot; Asphalt road access; Storm doors

Interior

• Kitchen: Built-in electric range; Eat-in kitchen layout
• Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
• Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Linoleum
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fans
• Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen/dining room combo; Double pane insulated windows; Built-in electric range
• Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $477 ($6k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $80k).
• Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 9.5% in Bellefontaine Neighbors — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 58/100 on livability (#592 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Riverview Gardens (suburban): math 2% / reading 9% proficiency, ranked #324 of 324 in MO (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Gibson Elem. (math 0% / reading 7%, grade F, #1,097 of 1,115 statewide, top 98%, 429 students, 99% FRL); Riverview Gardens Sr. High (math 2% / reading 18%, grade F, #501 of 521 statewide, top 97%, 1,331 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 201 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($43k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $552 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.6% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $79,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.71% ✓
• Cap rate: 13.46%
• Cash-on-cash: 25.60%
• DSCR: 2.14
• GRM: 4.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $123,120
• Comps found: 12

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
10128 Ashbrook Dr	0.21mi	3/1.0	912 (0%)	1mo	$130,000	$143	88
1236 Bliss Dr	0.40mi	3/1.0	944 (+4%)	0mo	$118,000	$125	73
10307 Seaton Dr	0.66mi	3/1.5	932 (+2%)	1mo	$142,000	$152	65
10117 Royal Dr	0.52mi	3/1.0	864 (-5%)	1mo	$35,000	$41	65
1140 Nectar Dr	0.73mi	3/1.0	912 (0%)	1mo	$135,000	$148	63
9984 Duke Dr	0.66mi	3/1.0	960 (+5%)	1mo	$54,000	$56	58
10130 Newbold Dr	0.63mi	3/1.0	984 (+8%)	2mo	$144,900	$147	54
10346 Ashbrook	0.45mi	3/1.0	792 (-13%)	1mo	$135,000	$170	54
10557 Castle Dr	0.56mi	3/1.5	1,023 (+12%)	1mo	$110,000	$108	53
10505 Druid Dr	0.66mi	3/1.0	1,008 (+10%)	1mo	$115,000	$114	48
10522 Byfield Dr	0.46mi	2/1.0 (-1)	1,038 (+14%)	1mo	$99,900	$96	47
1219 Esquire Dr	0.60mi	2/1.0 (-1)	792 (-13%)	2mo	$107,000	$135	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.4%
• Equity multiple: 2.01×
• Total profit: $22,624
• Equity at exit: $11,913

10-year hold

• IRR: 33.7%
• Equity multiple: 4.65×
• Total profit: $81,683
• Equity at exit: $6,908

Cash invested: $22,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Missouri: 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 63137

• Rents YoY: 6.6%
• Active inventory: 201
• Price-to-rent: 4.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,369 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$419
• Tax from tax record: −$152 /mo · $1,819/yr
• Insurance: −$33
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$287
• Net cashflow: $477

Break-even live

Break-even rent $764

Max offer price $79,900

Occupancy floor 60%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $522	-5% $500	+0% $477	+5% $455	+10% $432
Rent	-10% $369	-5% $423	+0% $477	+5% $531	+10% $585
Rate	-1.0pp $518	-0.5pp $498	base $477	+0.5pp $457	+1.0pp $435

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $19,975
• Closing costs: $2,397
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1520 Attica Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1062	$1,200	$1.13	24d	1	0.10mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	795	$1,295	$1.63	18d	1	0.30mi
1253 Avant Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	795	$1,295	$1.63	15d	1	0.30mi
1230 Roxton Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,400	$1.54	22d	1	0.43mi
10421 Prince Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1023	$1,275	$1.25	24d	1	0.46mi
1255 Bosworth Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1071	$1,575	$1.47	11d	1	0.48mi
10200 Tappan Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,450	$1.59	17d	1	0.50mi
10139 Royal Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1016	$900	$0.89	44d	1	0.50mi
1115 Bakewell Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	916	$1,300	$1.42	44d	1	0.52mi
10557 Castle Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1023	$1,300	$1.27	15d	1	0.56mi
10367 Coburg Lands Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,270	$1.39	44d	1	0.56mi
10113 Duke Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	770	$1,325	$1.72	44d	1	0.57mi
10404 Earl Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	770	$1,100	$1.43	4d	1	0.59mi
1208 Rapid Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	992	$1,375	$1.39	5d	1	0.63mi
1009 Bliss Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,400	$1.54	44d	1	0.65mi
10365 Lord Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,075	$1.24	2d	1	0.66mi
10508 Druid Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1122	$1,475	$1.31	17d	1	0.68mi
10112 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	792	$1,000	$1.26	8d	1	0.71mi
10409 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,100	$1.21	22d	1	0.73mi
10113 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	882	$775	$0.88	44d	1	0.74mi
10512 Count Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	888	$1,195	$1.35	15d	1	0.76mi
13061 Lord Dr St. Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	900	$1,040	$1.16	22d	1	0.77mi
10322 Monarch Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1073	$1,728	$1.61	24d	1	0.79mi
2326 Chambers Rd Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1056	$1,050	$0.99	24d	1	0.80mi
10504 Baron Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,300	$1.30	8d	1	0.80mi
2321 Noll Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	975	$1,320	$1.35	24d	1	0.85mi
10203 Trio Ln Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	912	$1,435	$1.57	17d	1	0.92mi
1130 Forest Home Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1025	$1,275	$1.24	44d	1	0.93mi
9744 Lanier Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1014	$1,345	$1.33	44d	1	0.98mi
9723 Portage Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	1014	$1,450	$1.43	8d	1	0.98mi
815 Bella Ln Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	864	$1,275	$1.48	44d	1	1.04mi
10066 Dorothy Ave Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	916	$1,225	$1.34	22d	1	1.16mi
10129 Cavalier Ct Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.5	912	$1,250	$1.37	24d	1	1.28mi
10421 Gardo Ct Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	1000	$1,395	$1.40	15d	1	1.28mi
1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	901	$1,350	$1.50	44d	1	1.29mi
1205 Shepley Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	901	$1,325	$1.47	24d	1	1.29mi
9943 Lilac Dr Saint Louis, MO	2.0	1.0	1086	$1,000	$0.92	44d	1	1.35mi
9924 Gloucester Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	2.0	992	$1,565	$1.58	11d	1	1.35mi
10201 Gourock Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	1.0	886	$1,275	$1.44	44d	1	1.36mi
2257 Luxmore Dr Saint Louis, MO	3.0	3.0	1073	$1,495	$1.39	24d	1	1.38mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-06-18
   status $79,900 Active 1 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   remarks 273-char remark
3. 2026-06-18
   listed $79,900 Coming Soon 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,819 · $152/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,819 · $152/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $16,423
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,476
• − Property taxes: −$1,819
• − Insurance: −$400
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,314
• − Management: −$1,314
• − Depreciation: −$2,324
• Taxable income: $4,776
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,146
• After-tax cash flow: $4,581/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Riverview Gardens
• NCES district ID: 2926670
• Math proficiency: 2% ▼ -6.00%
• Reading proficiency: 9% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $32,759
• Composite: 4.22/100
• National rank: #10058
• State rank: #324 of 324 in MO

Livability — Bellefontaine Neighbors

• Score: 58/100
• State rank: #592
• US rank: #20944

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Bellefontaine Neighbors, MO
• County: Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
• City population: 19,684
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 19,684
• Household income: $43,422
• Rent vs Own: 52.2% rent · 47.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 1863.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,025,227 people
• By 2030: 1,028,023 · +0.3%
• By 2040: 1,020,940 · -0.4%
• By 2050: 1,007,280 · -1.8%
• By 2075: 987,277 · -3.7%
• By 2100: 921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (82%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 82% White 13% Two or more races 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -96.70%
• Current HPI: 130.6765
• Rent YoY: ▲ 6.59%
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.84%
• F500 in state: 20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Healthcare	1	$163B
▸Insurance	1	$21B
▸Industrial Technology	1	$17B
▸Retail	1	$16B
▸Industrial Distribution	1	$10B
▸Utilities	1	$9B

Price history

+14.3% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-18 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-06-18 Coming Soon $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-06 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-18 Listed $92,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-18 Coming Soon — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2003-12-17 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
• 1954-09-16 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+6.6%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,819 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.