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14881 Palm Dr Unit D7
B- Composite 69.79
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Condition / age +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$93,000

14881 Palm Dr Unit D7 · Desert Hot Springs, CA 92240
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,152 sqft · Manufactured · 106 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition $81/sqft · 57% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this beautifully situated manufactured home in the heart of Desert Hot Springs, offering comfort, privacy, and stunning desert scenery all in one exceptional package. Tucked away at the rear of the community on a premium corner lot, this property enjoys rare open space on multiple sides—providing added privacy, peaceful surroundings, and unobstructed views. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full-bath home features a functional and inviting layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The interior offers generous living spaces filled with natural light, while the thoughtfully designed floor plan ensures comfort and convenience throughout. For year-round climate control, the home is equipped with central air conditioning, complemented by additional mini-split systems and window units—providing efficient and customizable cooling options during the warm desert months. Outside, you’ll find ample parking space with room to accommodate trailers, RVs, and recreational vehicles—a rare and valuable feature. The utility connections have been recently updated, offering peace of mind and added functionality for today’s needs. Step into the backyard and take in the breathtaking mountain views that define the Desert Hot Springs lifestyle. Conveniently located just off Palm Drive, this property offers easy access to local amenities while maintaining a sense of privacy and retreat. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this well-positioned home with space, versatility, and views in one of the desert’s most desirable communities. Schedule your private showing today and experience the potential for yourself.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Built 1973
  • Listed 106 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $93k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $93k).
  • Recommended offer: $85k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 22.1% vs local median 4.0% in Desert Hot Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 49/100 on livability (#1,149 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing B+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Palm Springs Unified (suburban): math 21% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #328 of 517 in CA (top 63%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 515 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 65% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,360/mo this rent would consume 52% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 2095% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $643 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.7% rent growth), your $26k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $84,630 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.54%
Cap rate
22.05%
Cash-on-cash
56.28%
DSCR
3.50
GRM
3.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$214,283
List price
$93,000
Delta
-56.60%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
15300 Palm Dr #42 0.20mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,178 (+2%) 2mo $230,000 $195 81
15300 Palm Dr #30 0.16mi 3/2.0 1,248 (+8%) 3mo $200,000 $160 76
15300 Palm Dr #258 0.26mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,178 (+2%) 12mo $222,000 $188 69
14777 Palm Dr #15 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+9%) 3mo $180,000 $143 67
14777 Palm Dr #85 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,260 (+9%) 8mo $150,000 $119 66
15300 Palm Dr #45 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,254 (+9%) 6mo $170,000 $136 65
15300 Palm Dr #13 0.23mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,248 (+8%) 7mo $215,000 $172 65
14777 Palm Dr #146 0.32mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,070 (-7%) 8mo $122,000 $114 61
14777 Palm #35 0.25mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,000 (-13%) 2mo $90,000 $90 60
15300 Palm Dr #22 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,272 (+10%) 5mo $219,000 $172 59
15300 Palm Dr #138 0.31mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,323 (+15%) 3mo $237,000 $179 53
15300 Palm Dr #154 0.29mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,323 (+15%) 11mo $210,000 $159 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.66% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.4%
Equity multiple
3.47×
Total profit
$64,329
Equity at exit
$13,867
10-year hold
IRR
60.7%
Equity multiple
7.26×
Total profit
$162,882
Equity at exit
$8,041

Cash invested: $26,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92240

Home prices YoY
-19.6%
Rents YoY
3.7%
Active inventory
515
Price-to-rent
3.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,360 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$488
Tax est. 1.5%
$116 /mo · $1,395/yr
Insurance
$39
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$495
Net cashflow
$1,221

Break-even live

Break-even rent $814
Max offer price $93,000
Occupancy floor 43%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,250
Closing costs
$2,790
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 20 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
15300 Palm Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1458 $2,800 $1.92 43d 1 0.34mi
13987 El Cajon Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1215 $2,600 $2.14 7d 1 0.50mi
13950 West Dr Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 1008 $1,600 $1.59 1d 1 0.63mi
66629 Joseph Way Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA 4.0 2.0 1200 $2,900 $2.42 24d 1 0.69mi
66590 Joseph Way Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 785 $2,295 $2.92 24d 1 0.71mi
13895 Luis Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 814 $1,800 $2.21 43d 1 0.73mi
13405 Ocotillo Rd Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 864 $1,750 $2.03 2d 1 0.80mi
13244 El Cajon Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 4.0 0.5 1320 $3,200 $2.42 43d 1 0.86mi
13715 El Rio Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1318 $2,600 $1.97 7d 1 0.87mi
13322 El Rio Ln Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1215 $2,750 $2.26 43d 1 1.00mi
15490 Avenue Rambla Unit NA Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1088 $2,600 $2.39 24d 1 1.07mi
15490 Avenida Rambla Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1088 $2,600 $2.39 43d 1 1.07mi
66434 Estrella Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 2.0 850 $1,800 $2.12 43d 1 1.18mi
66309 Desert View Ave Unit 1 Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 43d 1 1.21mi
66299 Desert View Ave Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,650 $2.06 43d 1 1.21mi
66444 Desert View Ave Unit B Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1294 $2,275 $1.76 43d 1 1.25mi
66369 Buena Vista Ave Apt A Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 931 $1,499 $1.61 43d 1 1.33mi
66435 Acoma Ave Apt 2 Desert Hot Springs, CA 2.0 1.5 775 $1,525 $1.97 43d 1 1.40mi
65565 Acoma Ave #49 Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1396 $2,300 $1.65 43d 1 1.49mi
12300 Ambrosio Dr Desert Hot Springs, CA 3.0 2.0 1260 $2,400 $1.90 43d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $93,000 Active 106 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $93,000 Active 105 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $93,000 Active 104 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $93,000 Active 103 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,000 Active 101 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $93,000 Active 100 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $93,000 Active 97 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $93,000 Active 96 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $93,000 Active 95 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $93,000 Active 92 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $93,000 Active 91 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $93,000 Active 90 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $93,000 Active 89 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $93,000 Active 88 DOM
  15. 2026-03-04
    listed $93,000 Active 1667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1667 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully situated manufactured home in the heart of Desert Hot Springs, offering comfort, privacy, and stunning desert scenery all in one exceptional package. Tucked away at the rear of the community on a premium corner lot, this property enjoys rare open space on multiple sides—providing added privacy, peaceful surroundings, and unobstructed views. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full-bath home features a functional and inviting layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The interior offers generous living spaces filled with natural light, while the thoughtfully designed floor plan ensures comfort and convenience throughout. For year-round climate control, the home is equipped with central air conditioning, complemented by additional mini-split systems and window units—providing efficient and customizable cooling options during the warm desert months. Outside, you’ll find ample parking space with room to accommodate trailers, RVs, and recreational vehicles—a rare and valuable feature. The utility connections have been recently updated, offering peace of mind and added functionality for today’s needs. Step into the backyard and take in the breathtaking mountain views that define the Desert Hot Springs lifestyle. Conveniently located just off Palm Drive, this property offers easy access to local amenities while maintaining a sense of privacy and retreat. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this well-positioned home with space, versatility, and views in one of the desert’s most desirable communities. Schedule your private showing today and experience the potential for yourself.

  16. 2026-03-03
    historical $93,000 1667-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1667 chars)

    Welcome to this beautifully situated manufactured home in the heart of Desert Hot Springs, offering comfort, privacy, and stunning desert scenery all in one exceptional package. Tucked away at the rear of the community on a premium corner lot, this property enjoys rare open space on multiple sides—providing added privacy, peaceful surroundings, and unobstructed views. This spacious 3-bedroom, 2 full-bath home features a functional and inviting layout designed for everyday living and entertaining. The interior offers generous living spaces filled with natural light, while the thoughtfully designed floor plan ensures comfort and convenience throughout. For year-round climate control, the home is equipped with central air conditioning, complemented by additional mini-split systems and window units—providing efficient and customizable cooling options during the warm desert months. Outside, you’ll find ample parking space with room to accommodate trailers, RVs, and recreational vehicles—a rare and valuable feature. The utility connections have been recently updated, offering peace of mind and added functionality for today’s needs. Step into the backyard and take in the breathtaking mountain views that define the Desert Hot Springs lifestyle. Conveniently located just off Palm Drive, this property offers easy access to local amenities while maintaining a sense of privacy and retreat. Don’t miss the opportunity to own this well-positioned home with space, versatility, and views in one of the desert’s most desirable communities. Schedule your private showing today and experience the potential for yourself.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥111°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,314
− Mortgage interest
−$5,209
− Property taxes
−$1,395
− Insurance
−$465
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,265
− Management
−$2,265
− Depreciation
−$2,705
Taxable income
$14,009
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,362
After-tax cash flow
$11,294/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 75/100 Cosmetic rehab

This manufactured home offers a good condition with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its curb appeal and interior aesthetics.

Repairs flagged

  • Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
  • Minor Paint — Slightly worn condition

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Reconditioning exterior siding — Restores property's visual appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Exterior siding · Weathered appearance Minor $500–3,000
Paint · Slightly worn condition Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 2 items $1,000–6,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
  • Both Landscaping — Improves curb appeal and enhances property value
  • Both Reconditioning exterior siding — Restores property's visual appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Palm Springs Unified
NCES district ID
0629550
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$43,638
Composite
26.76/100
National rank
#7131
State rank
#328 of 517 in CA

Livability — Desert Hot Springs

Score
49/100
State rank
#1149
US rank
#25774

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D- Crime D+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Desert Hot Springs, CA
County
Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
City population
41,615
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
41,615
Household income
$54,023
Rent vs Own
43.2% rent · 56.8% own
Severe rent burden
2095.0

Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,664,475 people
By 2030
2,802,692 · +5.2%
By 2040
3,050,904 · +14.5%
By 2050
3,256,783 · +22.2%
By 2075
3,655,058 · +37.2%
By 2100
3,766,594 · +41.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (64%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 64% Two or more races 27% White 23% Black 7% Native American 2% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 53%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
27% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
47% English-only · Spanish 50% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Riverside

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -102.10%
Current HPI
418.4691
Rent YoY
▲ 3.66%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-04 Listed $93,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Coming Soon $93,000 CRMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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